Stormlover74 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I forgot about that one at the end of Jan 2011. We had that clipper mid month where I think most of the snow fell with temps in the upper teens/low 20s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 So probably a 3-6 or 4-8 inch event as shown by the gfs which I know most would happily take right about now. Also off topic, that's quite a powerful storm east of Greenland, nearly 920 mb wow. LOL, the ECMWF EPS Control Run had shown that over 200 hrs ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 two years by my reckoning. two weeks ago temps were in the mid to upper 20s for the front end dump of snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 LOL, the ECMWF EPS Control Run had shown that over 200 hrs ago. Yeh when a run picks out a 920 low 2 - 3 weeks out , you ignore it .. If it verifies anywhere in the vicinity its more than LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 GGEM has several inches of snow on the front end to rain for NYChttp://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 GGEM has several inches of snow on the front end to rain for NYC http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html I think it's eroding the cold air way too quickly and given that track, I would think we might stay all frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Temps would be in the 20's if the GFS would verify. Haven't seen a snowstorm with temps in the 20's in a while. Last time was exactly 1 year ago today: http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KISP/2012/1/21/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I think it's eroding the cold air way too quickly and given that track, I would think we might stay all frozen. Yeah, the GGEM is still to quick to erode the cold air with two moderate areas of high pressures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 GGEM shifted way south from the 0z run. I suspect it's not done yet. 12z gefs take the low offshore by cape may.looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Back from Boston, and the gift I bring is this mornings DGEX snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Back from Boston, and the gift I bring is this mornings DGEX snowfall map. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Even though the GGEM is one of the warmest models, it still brings 15-20 millimeters of snow for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 12z UKMET shows a 995 mb low on the Benchmark for this system. Trends with this coastal have to be watched IMO. Could throw back some extra precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 GGEM total snowfall in liquid millimeter equivalent. More than the 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 GGEM total snowfall in liquid millimeter equivalent. More than the 00z. Now imagine that as all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Now imagine that as all snow. IIt is mostly snow. It doesn't rain till the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 GGEM total snowfall in liquid millimeter equivalent. More than the 00z. Now imagine that as all snow. All of that precipitation IS snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 All of that precipitation IS snow. Yep. FWIW, it has 6"+ along I-95 N and W. Pretty impressive, considering it's one of the warmest models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Euro has snow breaking out at 108 hours. Looks really good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 21, 2013 Author Share Posted January 21, 2013 Euro further south this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 ECMWF forms a coastal by 114 hours NYC sees a nice moderate-heavy snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 21, 2013 Author Share Posted January 21, 2013 Hr 114 mod snow. 1004 just east of nj. Def a good hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 At D4, the EURO is less amplified than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 The coastal takes over at 114 hours. Looks to ride the benchmark like the Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 D4.5: Big Hit for the Tri-State Area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 21, 2013 Author Share Posted January 21, 2013 .5+ this run. More on Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Ya over 0.5 like the GFS. Could be slightly more maybe 0.6-0.7 increasing south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 The s/w is slowing down on the models, which gives it a better chance to phase with stuff near the lakes once its in the Ohio valley We are pretty close on the euro to an all out phase bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I'll take the EURO, probably warning for NYC just because we haven't seen something like this in 2 years. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I'll take the EURO, probably warning for NYC just because we haven't seen something like this in 2 years. -skisheep What's it look like for up here? does it through anything decent back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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