Ian Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 dang; there goes my poll idea for guessing DCA's sea level pressure, pressure tendency, rate of rise/fall, wind direction and speed, and dp at 8:25 A.M. on 1/25/13 You forgot the ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 20, 2013 Author Share Posted January 20, 2013 looks like the gfs is heading toward the 12z euro for friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 looks like the gfs is heading toward the 12z euro for friday I was just about to say the same thing. Looks good so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 20, 2013 Author Share Posted January 20, 2013 yep snowing in dc ric by 7am friday -- ric goes to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 20, 2013 Author Share Posted January 20, 2013 0.50" in dc by hr 138 all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I don't know what to say there's no Low in the Great Lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I don't know what to say there's no Low in the Great Lakes The ns isn't all juiced. Why the change? Good luck? Pretty simple setup imo. Batch of waa precip with no ns surface low. I'll take that all day long over some jacked up convoluted wtf setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 not as cold as the Euro but definitely all snow at DCA, IAD and BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 The ns isn't all juiced. Why the change? Good luck? Pretty simple setup imo. Batch of waa precip with no ns surface low. I'll take that all day long over some jacked up convoluted wtf setup. sort of reminds me of how 12/5/02 started to look 3 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 sort of reminds me of how 12/5/02 started to look 3 days out Mitch, was a 6-8" event around Baltimore IIRC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Not surprised to see this move away from the north tracking low. Let's hope the Euro holds and this keeps trending wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Mitch, was a 6-8" event around Baltimore IIRC? I know, and I'm not saying that's what we'll get it's just that a few days out 12/5/02 went from going to our north starting with a 12z NAM run (which I obviously still remember) Stormtracker and I were going crazy; it actually started out with qpf between .24-.5 and then gradually increased again, I'm not suggesting that will happen here, just that the synoptic proged a few days look similar if my recollection is still with me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 dream storm...cold snow...powder. I wish it wasn't so far away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 dream storm...cold snow...powder. I wish it wasn't so far away Euro never wrong.. Plus you canceled winter to help our mojo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 dream storm...cold snow...powder. I wish it wasn't so far away it only seems far away because it's been 3 years since we had a storm anything like it area wide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 dream storm...cold snow...powder. I wish it wasn't so far away dont get sucked in.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 See no reason to back down from my storm cancel. If the GFS shows 10" with 20f surface temps 24hrs out, I might reconsider with emphasis on might. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 -17c 850s Day 3 on the 00z EURO... brrrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Day 4 Euro looks a lot like 12Z so far wrt the system being suppressed plenty time (in the run) to come north, I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Day 4 Euro looks a lot like 12Z so far wrt the system being suppressed plenty time (in the run) to come north, I guess Looks like it wants to come north at 108, fair warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Looks like it wants to come north at 108, fair warning. Doesn't look that way at 120..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Looks like it wants to come north at 108, fair warning. day 5 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=4&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=strm&in=4&pl=ln&ft=h96&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 definitely further north than 12z but I don't think a shut out, at least at the start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 day 5 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=4&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=strm&in=4&pl=ln&ft=h96&cu=latest Barely holding on at the 850 fwiw... CHO would be rain/ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 day 5 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=4&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=strm&in=4&pl=ln&ft=h96&cu=latest Yes it came pretty far north, way north actually. Big run to run inconsistency, GGEM and UK are that track as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 definitely further north than 12z but I don't think a shut out, at least at the start low goes right over top of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Day 4 Euro looks a lot like 12Z so far wrt the system being suppressed plenty time (in the run) to come north, I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 next I am so sick of having you have to post that, I want to scream wtf do we have to do around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 next Really 5 and a half days in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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