snowfan Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 dream storm...cold snow...powder. I wish it wasn't so far away dont get sucked in.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 See no reason to back down from my storm cancel. If the GFS shows 10" with 20f surface temps 24hrs out, I might reconsider with emphasis on might. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 -17c 850s Day 3 on the 00z EURO... brrrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Day 4 Euro looks a lot like 12Z so far wrt the system being suppressed plenty time (in the run) to come north, I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Day 4 Euro looks a lot like 12Z so far wrt the system being suppressed plenty time (in the run) to come north, I guess Looks like it wants to come north at 108, fair warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Looks like it wants to come north at 108, fair warning. Doesn't look that way at 120..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Looks like it wants to come north at 108, fair warning. day 5 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=4&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=strm&in=4&pl=ln&ft=h96&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 definitely further north than 12z but I don't think a shut out, at least at the start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 day 5 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=4&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=strm&in=4&pl=ln&ft=h96&cu=latest Barely holding on at the 850 fwiw... CHO would be rain/ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 day 5 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=4&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=strm&in=4&pl=ln&ft=h96&cu=latest Yes it came pretty far north, way north actually. Big run to run inconsistency, GGEM and UK are that track as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 definitely further north than 12z but I don't think a shut out, at least at the start low goes right over top of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Day 4 Euro looks a lot like 12Z so far wrt the system being suppressed plenty time (in the run) to come north, I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 next I am so sick of having you have to post that, I want to scream wtf do we have to do around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 next Really 5 and a half days in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Lol euro and Gfs trade who goes north and south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Day 4 Euro looks a lot like 12Z so far wrt the system being suppressed plenty time (in the run) to come north, I guess well, I was right, plenty of time in the run to come north, and it did so what's your point?....I was right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Euro went from 22 snow to 42 rain in on run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 This run is good for Boston however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Euro went from 22 snow to 42 rain in on run It wasn't that warm was it? I'm stuck at 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 nyc 850 temps jump 10 degrees C in 6 hrs and they get rain too lol what a winter fall we're having Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Euro is likely too amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Problem is euro is not cold before the storm. It's shows Tuesday -Thursday way warmer than recent runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 it is worth watching...i imagine it could trend south...but no reason to get caught up now...or even 48 hrs out....i'll wait until we are on the brink....euro solution seems perfectly reasonable to me with the caveat that I do think it will be a closer call on the front end.... when the antecedent air mass is as cold as it has been around here in what, 5 years, and the best we can do is a brief period of sleet then rain, that pattern says winter is not over, it just never starts for us on the plain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Does anyone further NW get snow on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Does anyone further NW get snow on the euro? even nyc turns to rain it seems Hartford on north is safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Use the ensembles now. Gfs ensembles supressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Does the euro have the Wednesday disturbance? That seems to be the key to keeping the Friday storm cold enough, from what I've heard. Anyway, still 4+ days out, no reason to panic....yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Use the ensembles now. Gfs ensembles supressed more than the gfs operational? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 even nyc turns to rain it seems Hartford on north is safe Thanks no way to see from 24hr panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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