mitchnick Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 It actually can....get a little more spin in the upper levels and we can get a solid 3-6" waa and another 2-4" from the deform on the back of the comma. Plenty of runs to go... I'm sasified with this run, my friend...nor more is needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 this storm is really moving along; we might get a little better qpf totals out of it, but not much in light of its projected path and speed just freeze it here anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 this storm is really moving along; we might get a little better qpf totals out of it, but not much in light of its projected path and speed just freeze it here anyway I think QPF maxes around .75 could work, and there will as always be heavier rates in some bands that will bring down more totals anywhere heavy snow occurs. Ratios would be good, but as I said, I'm not going there until we have nailed down a track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 nobody is being picky...it is a great snow pattern with cold air in place...I just want liquid...i really dont care about anything else...the chances of a driving rainstorm even with an awful track is pretty low...we'd still get frozen on the front end Sorry if it came off that way, was not insinuating that. I agree, thats why I've been rooting for wet/warm runs over dry/cold ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Another thing to note is that we'd have "stickage" on all surfaces right from the get go and if the Euro solution is what other models come to, the salt on the roads wouldn't really do much, just a note if colder outcomes prevail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Another thing to note is that we'd have "stickage" on all surfaces right from the get go and if the Euro solution is what other models come to, the salt on the roads wouldn't really do much, just a note if colder outcomes prevail. A lot of jurisdictions are using combinations of chemicals now that work to much lower temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 red it .5"+ blue is .75"+.. tho my tracing sucks a bit. Untitled-3.jpg For those who may remember him, this graphic resembles something Wally Kinnan the Weatherman may have put together. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 A lot of jurisdictions are using combinations of chemicals now that work to much lower temperatures. True, we'll hopefully get to find out if temperatures at 20-24 degrees and heavy snow can put them to shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38951-125-126-storm-disco-thread/ Storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 ^^oh god...it's over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 ^^oh god...it's over Yep. Whoever did that... Get ready for dusting to an inch on the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 We're 4 days out with decent model agreement. I don't see what the problem is. Yep. Whoever did that... Get ready for dusting to an inch on the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 We're 4 days out with decent model agreement. I don't see what the problem is. We have resorted to superstitious behavior due to lack of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 We're 4 days out with decent model agreement. I don't see what the problem is. I know... but each time this winter the thread has given off bad mojo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 there isnt a breathing soul who likes winter who wouldnt lock in the 12z euro as is.....0.6" liquid into a massive cold dome....I dont know if there is an unstable layer or if snow growth is ideal but low viz +SN during the day is likely.....can you imagine getting raked by fat dendrites at 20 degrees at 4pm on Friday with 0.25mi viz?....of course it probably wont be best case scenario, but we can dream... Could you imagine rush hour...... luckily my boss comes to me for office weather situations, we'd be home by the time anything was near. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 LOL at Henry..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 LOL LOL at Henry..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 LOL at Henry..... my reaction: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 He must not have seen the EURO or Ensembles....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 He must not have seen the EURO or Ensembles....... He mentions both of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 LWX hitting the freezing rain and sleet in their p.m. discussion, mentioning a track along the Mason-Dixon line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmac Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 LWX hitting the freezing rain and sleet in their p.m. discussion, mentioning a track along the Mason-Dixon line. yeah i heard that on the news this AM "will it snow this week? who knows!! Maybe? tune in at 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 very simple, until the NAM and GFS come on board for a Euro type solution or HPC tells LWX they are going that way, LWX will blindly follow the NAM/GFS Margusity is and always has been in his own, inexplicable little world deprived of adequate oxygen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Dt NOAA has sent some winter storm recon planes into the pacific to gather more upper air dats for the models. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Dt NOAA has sent some winter storm recon planes into the pacific to gather more upper air dats for the models. lol If you are gonna quote a post you should probably do it right....DT shared the page from Brad Panovich in which he made the statement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Dt NOAA has sent some winter storm recon planes into the pacific to gather more upper air dats for the models. lol What's wrong with that statement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 What's wrong with that statement? Really. Surprised it didn't happen earlier with so much of this hanging on that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Really. Surprised it didn't happen earlier with so much of this hanging on that area. I'm pretty sure they sent them out for the past two 00z GFS runs..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I'm pretty sure they sent them out for the past two 00z GFS runs..... Thanks. Where do you get that info? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Thanks. Where do you get that info? I just remember reading it..... can't remember if it was here or accuwx. Edit: It's in the nws discussions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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