Ian Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 6:23 AM, AmericanWxFreak said: Euro has a .50-.75 shade over most of the area at 114 no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 i'll have the precise qpf in a few; sit tight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 6:23 AM, mitchnick said: seems to be moving fast, which is the likely reason, but who cares it's a lot better than 12z with the sfc low .. which is all that really matters probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 no posting pay maps.. especially if you can't read them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 6:22 AM, zwyts said: You get 3-4" of snow. Thanks i wish i could lock that in now. Worth staying up for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 clown map has everyone in 3-4" pretty much.. trails lesser SW of Potomac but mainly outside DC area.. max 4"+ near Balt, n DE area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 BWI-.44" DCA-.36" IAD-.31" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 6:27 AM, zwyts said: What's with that weird precip max over SW va? It's like the opposite of what usually happens with redevelopment. I'm Now worried about the DC split. ha, dunno. looks like it still sorta has 2 lp centers over the apps at 108? wouldn't worry too much.. yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I'd much prefer the low qpf/low temp outcome over the high qpf/mix one. And based the cold before and after, that seems like the more logical solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 6:30 AM, swimmatte said: I'd much prefer the low qpf/low temp outcome over the high qpf/mix one. And based the cold before and after, that seems like the more logical solution. everyone would be pretty f'in psyched for the euro to verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 6:28 AM, mitchnick said: BWI-.44" DCA-.36" IAD-.31" That usually puts me at .40 in the burg..... that'll work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 6:30 AM, Ian said: everyone would be pretty f'in psyched for the euro to verify gfs better for mby, byt eh, I'll take either one, just gimme 1! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 this turn of events with the northern stream sending its energy first acts to reinforce the cold as well as keeping the storm to our south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 6:32 AM, mitchnick said: gfs better for mby, byt eh, I'll take either one, just gimme 1! still lots of time but gotta feel somewhat good with where we are for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Euro has BWI well below freezing starting Tuesday 6z through Sunday 6z, and maybe a little beyond that cold and snow....oh please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 6:35 AM, mitchnick said: Euro has BWI well below freezing starting Tuesday 6z through Sunday 6z, and maybe a little beyond that cold and snow....oh please Just when the evening light is starting to make you believe spring is somewhere. Damn our snow climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 That was a joke.. I want to see snow. Yay cold. Don't hate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 cold pattern breaks down on day 7...how long? it'll come back http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=nhem&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=7day&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 6:38 AM, Ian said: That was a joke.. I want to see snow. Yay cold. Don't hate. it's OK, we're all paranoid at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 yeah, I'll take the GFS http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=MD&stn=KBWI&model=gfs&time=current&field=prec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 6:38 AM, mitchnick said: it's OK, we're all paranoid at this point We will all crash the bus when 12z shows something we dont like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 So we had a few good GFS/Euro runs followed by some crappy ones followed once again by some nice ones just now. I'll feel much better if they consistently pump out solutions that are at least similar to these. With that said, the fact that we have this cold air present gives some hope that we've been lacking all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Moisture starved and moving way too fast to even have time to drop much. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 6z gfs mid week clipper wetter than the end of week event...cold snow just not a lot of moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 11:56 AM, leesburg 04 said: 6z gfs mid week clipper wetter than the end of week event...cold snow just not a lot of moisture You guys have seen me post it many times....dry is always my biggest worry. Please don't let us get screwed to the south again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Anybody with UKIE data for Friday. HPC leaning on it heavily for their forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 9:56 AM, zwyts said: 6z GFS has the clipper wed night...maybe we can sneak out an inch It actually has two light snows, the clipper Thursday morning and not a clipper but weak low Friday. Right now I'd settle for either one. How much QPF did the euro have over us for the second event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 1:34 PM, usedtobe said: It actually has two light snows, the clipper Thursday morning and not a clipper but weak low Friday. Right now I'd settle for either one. How much QPF did the euro have over us for the second event? Looked like about .4 for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 12:27 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Anybody with UKIE data for Friday. HPC leaning on it heavily for their forecast. It has a 1005 low going across Richmond which should be far enough south for snow. The product doesn't give precip beyond 72 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 1:38 PM, H2O said: Looked like about .4 for the area. So wetter than the GFS. That's somewhat encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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