DAFF Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Going out and saying 3+ in the Windsor Detroit area which will settle within 6hours to 2".... I think the next 2 weeks will have lots of things to talk about WRT snow rain and sleet. It has been trying to snow here for the last week, with the artic cold overhead the accumulations will be kept to a minimum. Once the artic air scours out then we will be having some fun!! Torchy at first but the cold will be back with more stormy action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Going out and saying 3+ in the Windsor Detroit area which will settle within 6hours to 2".... I think the next 2 weeks will have lots of things to talk about WRT snow rain and sleet. It has been trying to snow here for the last week, with the artic cold overhead the accumulations will be kept to a minimum. Once the artic air scours out then we will be having some fun!! Torchy at first but the cold will be back with more stormy action. Sounds like a plan, though Id be a bit skeptical of 3"+. Season snowfall is slowly but surely rising at DTW, and come Monday morning, IF tomorrow and Sunday nights events perform at least as expected, we should be just a few inches below normal (and snowcover is right near normal I believe). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I'll say 2" for east end Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I will say within an hour of the snow falling I will know which way to go. If its pixie dust....Ill go with 1-1.5"....if its fluff Im going with 3-4"....powder 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I will say within an hour of the snow falling I will know which way to go. If its pixie dust....Ill go with 1-1.5"....if its fluff Im going with 3-4"....powder 2". That'll be a good gauge to by I would say! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Who is saying 2-4? I see 1-3 in the zone and thats it? I think 1-3 is a safe call. I admit i was thinking 1-2 but with that lake i think 3 is still possible but nothing more. Haha GRR says 2-4" in their AFD and Weather Story. I haven't looked at the zone forecast yet. NWS just being vague saying 2-4" area-wide with 4-7" northwest. I was just referring this to "one of those events" were we go to bed set on an amount and wake up only to see "an inch or less". --- those are by far the biggest let downs. Or when snow is supposed to be "ongoing by 09z" and it's 10-11z and still nothing. The gentle let-down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 0z NAM is a complete whiff with the LES. Sets up across southern Durham and never makes it into Toronto. This winter is sure pure unadulterated death. Hours 00Z-05Z for Sat Jan 26 (F24-29) on the 0Z WRT look decent for the GTA now. Models can't make up their minds, this (LES) event is like a trying to figure where and when a popcorn kernel will... pop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 And I'm not by any means "throwing the towel in", just thinking accumulation forecast is a little on the high/optimistic side. As one said earlier and is 100% correct, dry air is underrated! It will most likely limit our snow from what would be 2-4" to like what Harry said, 1-2". I agree 100% with Michsnowfreak on his last post about pixie dust, powder or fluffy. Spot on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 DVN catching on. Point now has little or no accumulation. Expecting brown grass tomorrow morning when I wake up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 updated SPS from LOT.. straight up disagree with Krein ...ACCUMULATING SNOW LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...A FAST MOVING WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING A PERIOD OFSNOW TO THE AREA FROM THE PRE-DAWN HOURS INTO LATE FRIDAYMORNING. ONCE THE SNOW BEGINS...THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OFTIME WHERE THE FLUFFY...CRYSTALLINE SNOW MAY INCREASE ININTENSITY...WITH PERHAPS UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW FALLING IN ANHOUR...ESPECIALLY OVER FAR NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS. TOTAL SNOWACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD RANGE FROM AROUND AN INCHSOUTH OF A PAXTON TO DIXON LINE TO 2 TO 3 INCHES IN FARNORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 updated SPS from LOT.. straight up disagree with Krein ...ACCUMULATING SNOW LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING... A FAST MOVING WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW TO THE AREA FROM THE PRE-DAWN HOURS INTO LATE FRIDAY MORNING. ONCE THE SNOW BEGINS...THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME WHERE THE FLUFFY...CRYSTALLINE SNOW MAY INCREASE IN INTENSITY...WITH PERHAPS UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW FALLING IN AN HOUR...ESPECIALLY OVER FAR NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD RANGE FROM AROUND AN INCH SOUTH OF A PAXTON TO DIXON LINE TO 2 TO 3 INCHES IN FAR NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA Won't be enough precip left once saturation occurs. In line for another snowfall measured with the decimal in front of the number... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Virga city, not much getting below 4000 ft around Madison, official cloud base at the airport at 8500 ft. Winds out of the SE at 5-10 mph, temp has risen to 16 F, dewpoint of 7 F so it's still fairly dry. Forecast didn't call for any snow before 3 am I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Virga city, not much getting below 4000 ft around Madison, official cloud base at the airport at 8500 ft. Winds out of the SE at 5-10 mph, temp has risen to 16 F, dewpoint of 7 F so it's still fairly dry. Forecast didn't call for any snow before 3 am I think. Snowing at Fond du Lac now with a 13°/8° reading. Snow is making some progress. Looks like something is trying to get going over the Driftless area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Snowing at Fond du Lac now with a 13°/8° reading. Snow is making some progress. Looks like something is trying to get going over the Driftless area. Precip being detected as low as 2300 ft near Madison and steadily lowering, 3 am start time looks about right. Temp up to a balmy 19 F on southerly winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Well this tells a lot of the story... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Hours 00Z-05Z for Sat Jan 26 (F24-29) on the 0Z WRT look decent for the GTA now. Models can't make up their minds, this (LES) event is like a trying to figure where and when a popcorn kernel will... pop. Yeah, hi res WRF doesn't look so bad. Gets a nice band into the city. Even I'd get a bit. RGEM also looks like it paints in some decent QPF, but more focused around the east side of the city. And the 4km 6z NAM is a little better than the 0z run, taking a streamer into Toronto, but hugging the shore. For Toronto proper, I think the further S & E you go, the better. I'd like to live near the Bluffs for this one. We'll see shortly. BTW Blake, I don't think I welcomed you to the board! So here it is...welcome! Where in Toronto are you located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 not a flake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Dropped wife's sister and husband off at Midway. Snow just started after we left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Looking forward to an inch. Lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Snowing nicely in Naperville. Ground covered. If the NAM was right, this wouldn't be happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Best virga storm in months. Oh, the humanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Snowing nicely in Naperville. Ground covered. If the NAM was right, this wouldn't be happening. The model that knows Nothing About Moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 It's snowing at ORD and MDW both at 2SM vis, I guess those 0.0" calls are wrong already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I doubt even alek seriously called for 0.0" very light dusting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I doubt even alek seriously called for 0.0" very light dusting here. Didn't say he did, he went with 0.4" mentioned several times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Didn't say he did, he went with 0.4" mentioned several times. And I never said you did. Point i was trying to get at ffs was why would you take anybody's (if they even did) 0.0" call as anything other than sarcasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 And I never said you did. Point i was trying to get at ffs was why would you take anybody's (if they even did) 0.0" call as anything other than sarcasm. I guess my sarcasm back was not apparent lol. Oh and on the snow note, it is starting to snow here as well, GFS/moistening 1 NAM/dry air 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Snowstormcanuck: I'm near Jarvis and Wellesley I moved here from Vancouver in September 2011 so you can feel my pain when it comes to expecting a real Canadian winter when I moved out here ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Snowstormcanuck: I'm near Jarvis and Wellesley I moved here from Vancouver in September 2011 so you can feel my pain when it comes to expecting a real Canadian winter when I moved out here ;-) Wow, what an awful time to move to Toronto if you're a winter wx lover. I feel for you. You actually just missed out on a decent winter in 2010-11. Well, the LES band impacting the south shore Lake Ontario is starting to lift north. Let's see how this goes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Virga is done, light snow just started here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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