Chicago WX Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Looks like the 12z Euro bumped NE IL a touch. LAF close to being shut out. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 hi-res nmm looks good for those cheering on the end of futility Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 LOT's new snowfall map. MKX's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Coolstorybro. Go slant stick some more. Lol, so true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Noticed the NAM hard trended to the GFS in terms of QPF locally here. Around .2" I would say it has pretty good credence too looking at the soundings. DGZ over 250mb deep for 8 or 9 hours. If we saturate like both the NAM and GFS show now, could be a pretty good hit, maybe in the 3-4" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Lol, so true you think dmc slant sticks? I thought he was in some topographically favored area of SE MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 you think dmc slant sticks? I thought he was in some topographically favored area of SE MI. My aunt lives in the same part of the county as he does, unless there is a crazy micro climate between the 2 I'd have to say it is possible. Either that or the correct protocol of a snowboard isn't being used correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Enhancement becoming apparent on the hi-res WRF now. Nothing out of this world, but should make up for this lackluster storm. In fact, the system snow is looking so meager now I might just move discussion of this to the LES thread. Great posts snowstormcanuck! Honestly considering last winter, and being away for the last week of Dec/first week of January, the possibility of 4" would be like getting 20+ cm during a normal season. I think accumulations will be pretty spotty across the GTA as, like you said, this looks like more of a LES event. Models are usually fairly poor and detecting this type of set up; I reckon most places will have about an inch of snow, with luckier areas receiving up to 2-3 inches. I hope your 4" possibility prediction prevails, however! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 My aunt lives in the same part of the county as he does, unless there is a crazy micro climate between the 2 I'd have to say it is possible. Either that or the correct protocol of a snowboard isn't being used correctly. I know how to measure snow buddy. My location is roughly 2 miles south of Lakeville and 6 Miles ENE of Lake Orion DTW: Season totals 13.4" MBY: 19.0" 5.6" difference DTW MBY DIF Nov 26th 0.3" 1.5" +1.2 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/display_event.php?file=snow201211251256 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_11_2012/post-4267-0-49446200-1353853980.jpg Xmas 0.5" 1.6" +2.3 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/display_event.php?file=snow201212251443 Dec 26/27 6.2" 8.0" +4.1 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/display_event.php?file=snow201212271153 Jan 5th 0.3" 1.8" +5.6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 anyone else think 'Event' might be too strong of a word for the title of this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 anyone else think 'Event' might be too strong of a word for the title of this thread? How do you think it should be worded? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I know how to measure snow buddy. My location is roughly 2 miles south of Lakeville and 6 Miles ENE of Lake Orion DTW: Season totals 13.4" MBY: 19.0" 5.6" difference DTW MBY DIF Nov 26th 0.3" 1.5" +1.2 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/display_event.php?file=snow201211251256 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_11_2012/post-4267-0-49446200-1353853980.jpg Xmas 0.5" 1.6" +2.3 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/display_event.php?file=snow201212251443 Dec 26/27 6.2" 8.0" +4.1 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/display_event.php?file=snow201212271153 Jan 5th 0.3" 1.8" +5.6" Then there is an insane microclimate change in the 3 miles between where you live and where my aunt lives........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Snow measuring pissing match. Good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 you think dmc slant sticks? I thought he was in some topographically favored area of SE MI. Thats correct. He lives within the northern flank of the irish hills. They tend to do good in otherwise marginal temp events. Also tend to average slightly more snow than DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 How do you think it should be worded? maybe just Potential January 24-25th weather. just messing with you. It just shows how bad this season has been that a t-3" 'event' for most of the forum region is now 22 pages long. This is what you usually see in the southeast region forum... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Snow measuring pissing match. Good times. yea someone is cheat'n... or as it's often referred to, 'measuring from the taint' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Environment Canada is calling for 3-4" for Toronto tomorrow and tomorrow night, but only 1-2" for Mississauga/Oakville. This is likely due to the potential of some lake effect/enhancement off Lake Ontario being factored in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 yea someone is cheat'n... or as it's often referred to, 'measuring from the taint' Literally choked on my drink and died from laughter at that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 yea someone is cheat'n... or as it's often referred to, 'measuring from the taint' Yeah I'll trust the measurements at my airport and Flint over some random locale that has one of the highest totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Yeah I'll trust the measurements at my airport and Flint over some random locale that has one of the highest totals. Yea but you trust your aunts measurements? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Clipper moving into Minnesota, even some light reflectivity entering Wisconsin: http://tempest.aos.wisc.edu/radar/mwcompflash.html 12z GFS says Madison gets 0.5-1", it would be funny if this event is less significant than the event yesterday which was barely even expected to happen but gave us 1.2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Great posts snowstormcanuck! Honestly considering last winter, and being away for the last week of Dec/first week of January, the possibility of 4" would be like getting 20+ cm during a normal season. I think accumulations will be pretty spotty across the GTA as, like you said, this looks like more of a LES event. Models are usually fairly poor and detecting this type of set up; I reckon most places will have about an inch of snow, with luckier areas receiving up to 2-3 inches. I hope your 4" possibility prediction prevails, however! Thanks for this. Just for clarification, the 4"+ I am calling for is highly localized. Most of us will stay south of that mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Snow measuring pissing match. Good times. Ready to give up on this winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Snow measuring pissing match. Good times. Yeah, this winter just (and forum) just keep getting better and better. Am I the only one over 30 in this f'n place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Thanks for this. Just for clarification, the 4"+ I am calling for is highly localized. Most of us will stay south of that mark. EC is calling for 7-9 cm... no longer "Local" accumulations either. We'll see; it's close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Yeah, this winter just (and forum) just keep getting better and better. Am I the only one over 30 in this f'n place? Outside of the UP of MI, I would say so! At least the EURO didn't back off. MKX going with 20:1 ratios tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Outside of the UP of MI, I would say so! At least the EURO didn't back off. MKX going with 20:1 ratios tomorrow. I meant age but damn funny you were thinking snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 18z NAM back to a shutout here. Really having trouble figuring out how quickly to moisten the lower atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I meant age but damn funny you were thinking snow totals. O lol! I thought I saw " mark after the 30! I figured you'd be over 30" or near that for the season, since you were ground 0 for the solstice storm! I am at 30. I know there's some other people over 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Enhancement becoming apparent on the hi-res WRF now. Nothing out of this world, but should make up for this lackluster storm. In fact, the system snow is looking so meager now I might just move discussion of this to the LES thread. Unless I'm reading the map wrong, it looks decent for northeast Scarborough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.