AppsRunner Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I know this isn't the "DT/JB" thread, but this has to do with this potential storm. Last night in his video, DT said he saw similarities to the January 22, 2005 storm when a clipper combined with a southern low. That storm gave Toronto 4" of snow, with the temperature hovering around 0F. Do any of the mets here believe a similar set-up is possible? Really doubt this will compare to that "super clipper" as far as totals go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I know this isn't the "DT/JB" thread, but this has to do with this potential storm. Last night in his video, DT said he saw similarities to the January 22, 2005 storm when a clipper combined with a southern low. That storm gave Toronto 4" of snow, with the temperature hovering around 0F. Do any of the mets here believe a similar set-up is possible? That was a strong storm for this area. 13.0" here. Temperatures around 20° for most of the storm. Highly doubt it would end up like that system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Jan 2005 was like a two part storm. And Toronto got kinda screwed if they only got 4", considering how ORD (11.1") and DTW (12.2") did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Really doubt this will compare to that "super clipper" as far as totals go Yeah I agree, this thing wont even be close to the strength of that clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Shoot for the stars Chad. He's going out on a limb so gotta give him that. I'm not totally convinced about great ratios if we get some warmer mid level air sneaking in. I have an early range in mind but don't want to post it and look like a dummy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 He's going out on a limb so gotta give him that. I'm not totally convinced about great ratios if we get some warmer mid level air sneaking in. I have an early range in mind but don't want to post it and look like a dummy. Obvious he's banking on favorable ratios. Too early for that IMO. And come on, let's hear your first call...don't be scared. I'd go with something like T to 5", lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 first call for LAF, 1.1" take it to the bank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Obvious he's banking on favorable ratios. Too early for that IMO. And come on, let's hear your first call...don't be scared. I'd go with something like T to 5", lol. Alright, my early guess is less than what we got on Dec 26 but good enough to be our 2nd biggest storm so far...perhaps something like 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 first call for LAF, 1.1" take it to the bank Adjusting for Alek deflation, 2-3" it is then. Sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Alright, my early guess is less than what we got on Dec 26 but good enough to be our 2nd biggest storm so far...perhaps something like 2-4" That's a good call to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Adjusting for Alek deflation, 2-3" it is then. Sweet. to be fair, I haven't busted low yet this year...including my LAF calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Kind of a strange looking map updated recently... http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/707/bamyj.jpg/'> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 to be fair, I haven't busted low yet this year...including my LAF calls. What was your call for Dec 26? Sorta funny, but I was reading through the Feb 2007 Blizzard thread at Eastern awhile ago and you posted a prediction map. It's still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Kind of a strange looking map updated recently... lol, nice work. LAF, DTW, CLE, YYZ, and Lima OH? lollipops...with ORD screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Kind of a strange looking map updated recently... hpc straight trolling What was your call for Dec 26? Sorta funny, but I was reading through the Feb 2007 Blizzard thread at Eastern awhile ago and you posted a prediction map. It's still there. post it! let's have a laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Jan 2005 was like a two part storm. And Toronto got kinda screwed if they only got 4", considering how ORD (11.1") and DTW (12.2") did. At the rate this winter has been going, 4" would be a jackpot bonanza for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 post it! let's have a laugh. Let me go look for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 That is an odd map. Kinda surprised to see no 8" prob areas near Lake MI in Michigan. 8" for LAF?... The way the 10% line hugs around NE IL and the STL metro is odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I know this isn't the "DT/JB" thread, but this has to do with this potential storm. Last night in his video, DT said he saw similarities to the January 22, 2005 storm when a clipper combined with a southern low. That storm gave Toronto 4" of snow, with the temperature hovering around 0F. Do any of the mets here believe a similar set-up is possible? That storm dropped 12.2" at DTW. It had a massive area of 6"+ from the upper midwest to the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 That is an odd map. Kinda surprised to see no 8" prob areas near Lake MI in Michigan. 8" for LAF?... The way the 10% line hugs around NE IL and the STL metro is odd. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 That is an odd map. Kinda surprised to see no 8" prob areas near Lake MI in Michigan. 8" for LAF?... The way the 10% line hugs around NE IL and the STL metro is odd. lol Yeah that sounds about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 That is an odd map. Kinda surprised to see no 8" prob areas near Lake MI in Michigan. 8" for LAF?... The way the 10% line hugs around NE IL and the STL metro is odd. Dude, cyclone drew that map. Alek, I can't find it. May have been another storm thread over there. If I ever see it again, I'll definitely pass it along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Yeah that sounds about right. Dude, cyclone drew that map. Alek, I can't find it. May have been another storm thread over there. If I ever see it again, I'll definitely pass it along. Lol. You got me. Thought that was a serious map. No wonder I couldn't find it on the HPC site! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Lol. You got me. Thought that was a serious map. No wonder I couldn't find it on the HPC site! He got Alek and I as well clearly. The ultra ORD screwage would be to have a thin area of probs stretch across NC Illinois and then NE into SE Wisconsin, leaving them in a true bubble. Thankfully that kind of scenario would never happen for Chitown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Kind of a strange looking map updated recently... Lol. The "measles" storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Success! Alek's map for Feb 13-14, 2007, posted on Feb 12. A little low on max amounts, and maybe a touch too far north with southern edge of that zone...but really, not a bad call at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Aleking in his prime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 http://148.61.49.119/view/index.shtml Meh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 http://148.61.49.119/view/index.shtml Meh... Is there a reason why you are posting this in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Is there a reason why you are posting this in this thread? Yes, so that at least we watch this while the pattern is so boring..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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