dmc76 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Well it might be a few hours early to start this thread but EURO has been pretty consistent with a storm around this time frame. Hopefully it brings a good accumulating event for most of the sub forum and plus I think I can bring some good luck to us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Well 00z EURO did look better for SSC and me at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I have been liking the prospects with this one locally, the models have had this system for days now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 12z GFS looks a lot like the Euro. Decent little event here but better further east. Actually the setup reminds me of that event in January? Last year. Sfc low well south into the plains/MO river valley with snow band along the baroclinic zone aloft. Haven't really compared a lot yet besides at the sfc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 the 12z GFS does look interesting this way, I worry, as Hoosier mentioned also, it has the look of ice for us here in Indiana.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 The nice part about this system is that there's plenty of cold air to work with. We just need a little more ridging ahead of it so it an dig a little more, then we're in business. BTW, below is what shows up as a top 5 analog at 120hr... :weenie: :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 UKMET Hr 144: 994 over southwestern L. Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 UKMET Hr 144: 994 over southwestern L. Erie. What site do you use for that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I like the "spread the wealth" look to it. There is more wiggle room for it to move without completely cutting somebody out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 12z GEM with a 992mb low just west of GRR over the lake at 132hr, really strong looking mid-level wave. Southern WI looks like it does well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 What site do you use for that? http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=120&fixhh=1&hh=144 Updates the quickest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I think we'll at least have enough cold air at the start to get something wintry. Beyond that is too hard to say as it really depends on how the evolution/track of the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 12z Euro is weaker and further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 so ggem is a snowstorm for the western and central lakes and the euro is a snowstorm for the TN valley and southern midatlantic... oh well, I wouldn't bet against the euro at 144 hrs out and a switch to a suppressed solution. Seen that many times in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 so ggem is a snowstorm for the western and central lakes and the euro is a snowstorm for the TN valley and southern midatlantic... oh well, I wouldn't bet against the euro at 144 hrs out and a switch to a suppressed solution. Seen that many times in the past. Lets go w/ something in between (says the weenie in me)! Does the euro bring any precip up this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Lol @ the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 so ggem is a snowstorm for the western and central lakes and the euro is a snowstorm for the TN valley and southern midatlantic... oh well, I wouldn't bet against the euro at 144 hrs out and a switch to a suppressed solution. Seen that many times in the past. Dayton and Columbus get 4 inches of snow not taking ratios into account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Dayton and Columbus get 4 inches of snow not taking ratios into account. I'd tk that all day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 one of the most bullish runs for west side of the lake LE i've seen from the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 19, 2013 Author Share Posted January 19, 2013 Lol @ the euro 1990's redux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 one of the most bullish runs for west side of the lake LE i've seen from the Euro. Pretty much 2+ days of LE snow, impressive for this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Pretty much 2+ days of LE snow, impressive for this far out. You don't normally see the Euro showing .1+ of LE for 3 hr periods. If this thing passes south, we are going to be in pretty much as good as it gets of a thermal environment. Definitely a consolation prize worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Pretty much 2+ days of LE snow, impressive for this far out. I was surprised to see that. Nice setup with convergence along our shoreline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 GFS showing east winds in Madison from late Thursday afternoon through early Friday morning along with 850s of -10 to -15 C, if that occurs I would not be surprised to see some LES bands as far west as Madison. 12z GFS shows about 1" of snow in Madison and 2" in Milwaukee. Global models don't capture the LES aspect of the event well though, grid points are way wider than LES bands, so there could be quite a bit more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 You don't normally see the Euro showing .1+ of LE for 3 hr periods. If this thing passes south, we are going to be in pretty much as good as it gets of a thermal environment. Definitely a consolation prize worth watching. 3" lakeside on accupro maps. Seeing a wide spectrum of solutions today from the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 The event from last winter that the 12z GFS run reminded me of, comparing sfc and it's not too far off http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lot&storyid=77934&source=2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 The event from last winter that the 12z GFS run reminded me of, comparing sfc and it's not too far off http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lot&storyid=77934&source=2 I remember that event well. I think this time around it will be a bit warmer though, especially with winds off the lake. If I remember this event was in the teens all day with pixie dust type snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 LAF crew will like the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 LAF crew will like the 18z GFS A nice 4-6" snow event it looks like. Even better points east through Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Like this setup for I-80 north. reasons?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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