chubbs Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 So far at 12z the GEM is in the middle ground between the weak GFS and strong ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Put it this way, if it was the other way around, meaning the EURO was dry and ots yet the GFS was cracking a MECS we wouldn't be too confident right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 So far at 12z the GEM is in the middle ground between the weak GFS and strong ukie. I think the ggem is a more realistic solution. I think the gfs is to far south but the euro is to far north so you get the gem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I'd probably end up with more snow last night than Friday if the GFS is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I'd probably end up with more snow last night than Friday if the GFS is correct. I think many people would including myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 yeah Tom, I actually think the GGEM solution makes sense given the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 yeah Tom, I actually think the GGEM solution makes sense given the pattern. Def. seems the middle ground as of now. Ukie coming in the way it did is promising... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Going towards a gfs like solution. Not really... doesn't look bad at all to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 EURO 42 hrs the shortwave looks less robust than 00z at this time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I think the ggem is a more realistic solution. I think the gfs is to far south but the euro is to far north so you get the gem. The GEM with a little Euro thrown in would be a good compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fwarder Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I think the ggem is a more realistic solution. I think the gfs is to far south but the euro is to far north so you get the gem. The GEM with its 2nd coupe in a row. Wait til Rainshadow sees this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Euro much flatter. Lower heights on the East coast. (thru 54) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 EURO much weaker with the shortwave, this won't look anything like last night : / Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 yep, @ 60, not as much digging with the shortwave entering the conus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Had a hunch the Euro would cave, been a repeating theme 'this' winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 72, a lot weaker with the southern SLP and precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 72, a lot weaker with the southern SLP and precip shield Starting to look a lot like lastnights event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 euro is pretty much 1-3 for everyone...down in south jerz and del might be 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It's all about how strong the shortwave entering the CONUS is...last night's EURO & todays Ukie were much stronger than 12z EURO & GFS etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Avg system on the way as expected. Big one comes at end of month....see weeklies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It's all about how strong the shortwave entering the CONUS is...last night's EURO & todays Ukie were much stronger than 12z EURO & GFS etc. Is the shortwave in the conus yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 euro says .1-.25" qpf overall for everyone except the delmarva... .25".... 5 DAY OUT BULLEYES BULL$HIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Avg system on the way as expected. Big one comes at end of month....see weeklies. That's as we flip to normal temps I take it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Glorified fropa....gotta love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 That's as we flip to normal temps I take it? Yep, close to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I'm not ready to totally give up yet, the shortwave associated with the storm is still not on shore yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Glorified fropa....gotta love it. What's timing of this event like start end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I still don't see why people are giving up on this just yet. We're 3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 What's timing of this event like start end? fri afternoon, done by midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 only thing I've given up on is this being a 'major' storm. looks merely avg to my old eyes...2-4" maybe give or take an inch either side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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