NaoPos Posted January 21, 2013 Author Share Posted January 21, 2013 scary to have some consensus 4 days out?.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 So the Euro is the coldest and farthest South of all guidance wrt the surface low attm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 should mention city gets down to 5 for overnight low the following night with burbs pushing 0 What does it say for NYC? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 What does it say for NYC? Thanks about 5-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard96 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 hr 120 precip is out of here...everyone gets .25-.5 extreme se pa lower montco,bucks,delco,chester co and phl on east and south .5-.75 Tombo, does the Lehigh Valley up towards Luzerne get the shaft on the Euro? Haven't seen the run but I think further south is less snow up this way. Thanks for your input. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 norfolk va whoa....I guess we can only hope this stays the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Shore snow Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Simply put....that was an awesome Euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Tombo, does the Lehigh Valley up towards Lucerne get the shaft on the Euro? Haven't seen the run but I think further south is less snow up this way. Thanks for your input. you guys get over .25 prob like .25-.35 qpf. Remember, even though you have less precip, your temperatures are a lot colder so it would make some ground up on ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Wow. .69 of precip and all snow. I have a feeling it might be a little too far south though so I won't get my hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Well done as always Tombo! How about up in the NW part of NJ? We've done well this year, so I'm happy for you guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Tombo, if you get a chance, how does it look for SWPA area on the Euro? Sounds colder than the GFS, but maybe less QPF as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
540line Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Wow. .69 of precip and all snow. I have a feeling it might be a little too far south though so I won't get my hopes up. It is going too be a long week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Good job Tombo, and thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Tombo, if you get a chance, how does it look for SWPA area on the Euro? Sounds colder than the GFS, but maybe less QPF as well. you guys get like .4-.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard96 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 you guys get over .25 prob like .25-.35 qpf. Remember, even though you have less precip, your temperatures are a lot colder so it would make some ground up on ratios. Thanks a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 you guys get like .4-.6 Thanks! Its not often it seems that a storm affects both ends of the state favorably. I appreciate you taking the time to respond with the info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Congrats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Euro Ensembles spot on with the Op run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 At this point the GFS individual members are all over the place with the intensity and precip field for the Friday storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 21, 2013 Author Share Posted January 21, 2013 i see about 7 in decent agreement. Looks good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 i see about 7 in decent agreement. Looks good to me. I like P008 myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I like P008 myself GEFS look better than they did yesterday or even at 06z. The NW cluster has been has been trimmed back considerably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 21, 2013 Author Share Posted January 21, 2013 through 54, no considerable changes on the gfs compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 21, 2013 Author Share Posted January 21, 2013 little bit less emphasis on the northern side of the trough and short wave interaction... should be a tick less than the 12z i would imagine (saying this @ 87hrs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 By hr 84 low in Arkansas is a little further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 21, 2013 Author Share Posted January 21, 2013 96-99..NICE HIT pa north! 850's Dc- cape may.. surface line runs 95 or just east.. all snow though for 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 21, 2013 Author Share Posted January 21, 2013 could be looking at .75" qpf here. Gets close for se pa,.. bt .5" precip over us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Similar to 12z. Low moves up the Ohio River. Then jumps to near phl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 21, 2013 Author Share Posted January 21, 2013 sweet run! gets close to pa /md border.. but verbatim, we stay snow. .75 -1" qpf contour over Extreme se pa to NYC... .5-.75 back towards lehigh valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 could be looking at .75" qpf here. Gets close for se pa,.. bt .5" precip over usYou mond looking at MDT? Temps an issue at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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