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Major snow squall event Sunday 20th


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Roger, could you post your thoughts for the potential lake effect in Toronto on Tuesday and Wednesday?

 

On today's guidance I would say trace to 2 cm max on Tuesday, 2 to 5 cm possibly Wednesday, wind fields drop off to 15-30 km/hr most of that time and there's some chance of a trough from southern Ggn Bay ending up turning west just around Toronto so could find some odd localized streamers, in an otherwise dry environment. More generally, looks intensely cold, northern Niagara and Hamilton look more favoured by late Tuesday. I will update that tomorrow, have the feeling the guidance is not all that finalized, this super-cold air coming down over warmer than usual Lakes is bound to create meso-scale lows and intense q.s. squall bands especially now that the very strong winds have passed.

 

With the fresh snow cover to north, might be seeing some very low max temps on Tues-Wed.

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