weatherwiz Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 This storm could really be loads of fun. Also, once that system passes we see yet another strong and fresh Arctic (or could this be considered Polar given the source it's coming from?) airmass...really hard to see us getting any sustained above average temps really anytime soon which is pretty crazy given what we have seen the past several years. That would be crazy though to have like a 5-8'' of pure fluff then ontop of that start getting snow a bit more wet in nature for some and compacting the snow down like crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Could there be some mixing around say.., Dobbs Ferry? Still a good thump here but could mix with the north trend kicking in. Regardless, at least I didn't forecast 2-4" for northern CT last week with a system 500-1000 miles off the coast and then highs in the 30s with 850s of +2 and SW winds ahead of a frontal passage. Not time for you to be going out and criticizing anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 You have failed me! Can't see the euro. What's doing at Caroga Lake? Looks good!. Where's the fail? 6-10 there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 It's not a KU storm, but a regionwide 6 to 8" (lollies to 10") would be nice for this winter. Yeah classic SWFE. And as we mentioned, suppression isn't the worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Tip......keep the explanations coming. As one who doesn't post much, I really appreciate the time, thought and science that goes into your posts. I read an article last year that discussed how global warming could increase mid latitude wind flow and more effectively bottle the cold air up north , and lead to a positive ao. Interesting stuff. Hopefully things can relax a bit so we can get a few more hours out if this storm. Ha ha... yeah, well... I can tone it down and talk in simple non-informed terms just as good as anybody, but some people might actually like to know "why" a faster flow is detrimental. Sometimes I get the vibe that people just want to be served and fed and entertained, when I think if they understood more about the science behind why x,y,z happened or a,b,c failed to, that might go miles toward them serving, feeding, and entertaining them selves, as opposed to being reliant on others - which is a recipe for disappointment. but ... you can't penetrate folks' minds with logic if there is no willingness to receive the message ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Looks good there to me. Also I suspect they get some bouts of LES during this week. It's not like Pulaski, but decent plumes can reach that area. You have failed me! Can't see the euro. What's doing at Caroga Lake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Looks like the timing will allow me to 1) enjoy the snow on Friday 2) get to the airport on time for my flight to Orlando on Saturday and 3) bask in relative warmth while bottom drops out at KPIT. No tears from my daughter, and my wife will be thrilled to miss the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Still a good thump here but could mix with the north trend kicking in. Regardless, at least I didn't forecast 2-4" for northern CT last week with a system 500-1000 miles off the coast and then highs in the 30s with 850s of +2 and SW winds ahead of a frontal passage. Not time for you to be going out and criticizing anyone. Is everything ok? Has the elastic worn out on your socks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Euro is snowing during Fri afternoon here with a temp near 10F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Euro is snowing during Fri afternoon here with a temp near 10F. I might be up to enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Euro is snowing during Fri afternoon here with a temp near 10F. That does not happen often Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 That does not happen often It happens sometimes with overrunning events. 2011 we started a SWFE below zero. Full fledged coastals are definitely rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Nice big ole thumpity dumper followed by colder. Oh lots o fun incoming as far as the eye can see. Chuck um high chuck um far chuck um up Tubes exposed thigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 In 1994 we had a super cold SWFE ...started snowing with temps near 0F. And people south of me had FZRA with teens.... It happens sometimes with overrunning events. 2011 we started a SWFE below zero. Full fledged coastals are definitely rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Nice big ole thumpity dumper followed by colder. Oh lots o fun incoming as far as the eye can see. Chuck um high chuck um far chuck um up Tubes exposed thigh. Hopefully we can pinch off that central US torch d9-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 In 1994 we had a super cold SWFE ...started snowing with temps near 0F. And people south of me had FZRA with teens.... I had frzra start at 9 degrees, talk about dumbfounded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I had frzra start at 9 degrees, talk about dumbfounded And 3' of OES duriong a severe tstm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Hopefully we can pinch off that central US torch d9-10. after the 8 day run, couple days of relaxation then back in the goods. 11-15 Ens and weeklies show Pos PNA Neg NAO. First week of Feb for a KU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 In 1994 we had a super cold SWFE ...started snowing with temps near 0F. And people south of me had FZRA with teens.... Coldest synoptic snow I can remember was in Jan 04...I believe it was a clipper. The entire event was about -2F to -5F and it was so cold that the snow growth sucked. The crystals were those little columns and bullets that you get in extremely cold temps in the arctic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I had frzra start at 9 degrees, talk about dumbfounded Jan 99? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 And 3' of OES duriong a severe tstm. LOL, you might want to look that day up sonny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Jan 99? 94, same storm Rick is talking about. My worst ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 That would be an total insult if we finally got some decent snow in here to replenish my worn dpwn snow shoeing trails and then it torched a few days later. Hopefully we can pinch off that central US torch d9-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I recall that storm (Jan or early Feb) and the area near SWF (Newburgh) in NY had a lot of ice while I escaped with all snow 45 miles north in Saugerties. I was extremely lucky..14" total. 94, same storm Rick is talking about. My worst ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 That does not happen often didn't 12-19-08 start really cold? In London btw...snowing all day here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 That would be an total insult if we finally got some decent snow in here to replenish my worn dpwn snow shoeing trails and then it torched a few days later. 12z ECM is a torch at Day 9-10 with 8C 850s moving into the Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic. Would be a very short-lived cold spell if that occurred. Hope the reload happens fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 12z ECM is a torch at Day 9-10 with 8C 850s moving into the Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic. Would be a very short-lived cold spell if that occurred. Hope the reload happens fast. You've got 99 Problems....Dobbs Ferry might be one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Looks good!. Where's the fail? 6-10 there. Bring it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Looks good there to me. Also I suspect they get some bouts of LES during this week. It's not like Pulaski, but decent plumes can reach that area. Feels good to be an honorary New Englander Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Euro is snowing during Fri afternoon here with a temp near 10F. That does not happen often It happens sometimes with overrunning events. 2011 we started a SWFE below zero. Full fledged coastals are definitely rare. Morning of Jan 23, 2005... stuff of legend for Boston area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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