weathafella Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Snow numbers coming up on MAV. Already a 2 for bos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 LOL at Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 i think it'll be pretty amazing if we get this all the way back where it gives you snow. Doubtful, but not impossible.Lol so temperamental Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 i think it'll be pretty amazing if we get this all the way back where it gives you snow. Doubtful, but not impossible. lol zinger bada bing. Many of us said this pattern favors your neck of the woods, I will take a side of potatoes while you enjoy the steak Next month we eat Lobster together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Love these days my dewpoint keeps dropping. -5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 So what exactly is this using when generating amounts of 4-6 inches for many of us ? Lolhttp://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/forecast/graphics/MAV/MAV.BSNA24_004.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 gfs ens mean still outside the BM but a bit stronger/closer. looks a bit like the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 He comes in here and posts the ukmet about twice a Eeek. Pssssst...caroga ny isn't New England either lol Pssssst, I'm a vistor and don't post the Ukmet twice a week. Psssst, at less than 90 miles from the NE border, it's closer to New England than any other region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 gfs ens mean still outside the BM but a bit stronger/closer. looks a bit like the op A bit drier than the OP, but not a surprise. Its a heck of a lot better than the last few ensemble runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Wheeeeeeee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 GGEM looks pretty awful...maybe coating to an inch for the Cape. Its a lot different than the RGEM by 48 hours...RGEM much slower with the energy which obviously gives it more time to amplify a bit. Less time to amplify = GGEM solution. It's better than the last run though Will. We're far enough out that we're going to still have models on the sides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 It's better than the last run though Will. We're far enough out that we're going to still have models on the sides. Looks good for Phil and ackwaves. No snow for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I am convinced we are populated with a bunch of spoiled weenies. My recollection is that Jan was always a cold dry month on average, this year much drier, so far. Feb is the climo snowiest. Time is on our side. Dude, e MA has every right to complain...especially the Boston area....now even ACK is cashing in more than us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Notice any action now is delayed to Saturday vs earlier guidance from a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 A bit drier than the OP, but not a surprise. Its a heck of a lot better than the last few ensemble runs yeah i'm interested to see the individual members...last couple of runs have had only like 1 or 2 members with a real solid hit with the rest being either complete whiffs or just barely scraping this area. hopefully the "trend" is more big hits and not simply a shift NW with the way offshore members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Dont include me in that whineHe didn't. He clearly said interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Dude, e MA has every right to complain...especially the Boston area....now even ACK is cashing in more than us I've heard Boston is behind last years total, LOL. Anyway here's the GEFS Can someone tell us what the SREF snow probabilities are? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Prediction: BOS is above last years full winter snow total by Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Notice any action now is delayed to Saturday vs earlier guidance from a few days ago.its always been Fri nite into Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 They'd need 2 inches to do that btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I don't know if the Will NOGAPs rule is in effect but the 12z continued east. No reversed trend here. I think 1-3 was too aggressive, dusting to 2" for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Dude, e MA has every right to complain...especially the Boston area....now even ACK is cashing in more than us Not really - the complaint its self it utterly futile, because it does nothing to change the status. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 its always been Fri nite into Saturday Guidance has slowed by 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 They'd need 2 inches to do that btw. Dinner bet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I've heard Boston is behind last years total, LOL. Anyway here's the GEFS Can someone tell us what the SREF snow probabilities are? Atrocious. 1"+ probabilities only reach about 10% on the outer Cape and Islands. I don't think any of the members show accumulating snows inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Guidance has slowed by 12 hours. Jerry's right. A few days ago the models were showing it as a morning/afternoon deal on Friday. I think we did start to see a slowing trend after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I've heard Boston is behind last years total, LOL. Anyway here's the GEFS Can someone tell us what the SREF snow probabilities are? Pretty much zilch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 CMC is a complete whiff as well. Maybe a trace on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Atrocious. 1"+ probabilities only reach about 10% on the outer Cape and Islands. I don't think any of the members show accumulating snows inland. Thanks. Probably have to discount for the same reasons I've hated them all year, WRF members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Atrocious. 1"+ probabilities only reach about 10% on the outer Cape and Islands. I don't think any of the members show You accumulating snows inland. You look for trends not qpf. The NW shift many of us expected just began at 12z. Sit back and enjoy the next 24 hours of NW moves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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