Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Just give it a chance guys, that's all we said. This place is insanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Courtesty of Ag3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 And there we are. It has begun. No where near done either this post was as predictable as the GFS was. we said there is room for NW. personally, i think we're talking about getting the region into some snow vs. a complete whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 this post was as predictable as the GFS was. we said there is room for NW. personally, i think we're talking about getting the region into some snow vs. a complete whiff I agree. Like some of the other systems though there is always that chance that things come together at the end. 2 days away, if I had to forecast here it'd be 1-3", you end up shoveling again as does Ack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Isn't it preferable to have crappy model runs and improve incrementally as we get closer rather than have an awesome KU modeled further out that just turns to garbage as we get close to it anyway? There's clearly room for improvement here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 This place is insanity. The past two days have proved it. Let's all hope for 4-8" of snow from an inverted middle finger that we said will not happen, and then say the sky is falling when we said give Friday a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 sorry I was not an english expert in school lol. perhaps an idiotic comment by me...frustration building Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 It is definitely a little revenge pattern for the Cape and Islands though lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Rookie question. Could that lobe forming off the Cape at 75hr be considered the formation of a Norlun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Well that was kind of AWT regarding some improvement. Lara hope the euro looks better. Who's Lara...I thought you were married? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Just give it a chance guys, that's all we said.Yuppers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I see the specifics from Phil and Ryan when it comes to this area, I may have missed them from some of the others which is why I think there's general confusion. Lots of talk about what may or may not happen, what may come together, what may not, warning flags and such, but not a ton of specifics unless I'm missing them. All systems have a chance. Eventually we will have the 24 hour warning snowstorm again that pops onto the maps at the last minute. JMHO. We're 2-3 days away, it's forecast time. If we're going to rip DT, Tim Kelly etc....at least they're sticking it out there right or wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Good trend but more work needs to be done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 And there we are. It has begun. No where near done either Well considering it was the GFS and it was the furthest S of the global guidance, it's not saying much. It just brought it back to where the Euro is. Now if the Euro comes in better, than we're talking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Well that was kind of AWT regarding some improvement. Lara hope the euro looks better. Yes Lara, whoever you are...I hope it looks better too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Who's Lara...I thought you were married? Damn, ninja'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Damn, ninja'd 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10...owe me a coke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Somebody had posted an image of the 12z Ukie, Where was the Vort located on the 0z for comparisson? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Change your screen name please What why? How do you even change your name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Yes Lara, whoever you are...I hope it looks better too. Fooking phone. Was meant to be lets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Rookie question. Could that lobe forming off the Cape at 75hr be considered the formation of a Norlun? yeah there's a bit of an inverted trough hinted at - i think that's primarily due to the arctic jet energy trying to catch up...so you get those persistent pressure falls on the backside of the first LP. ideally...that wouldn't be there and we'd have one stronger LP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I see the specifics from Phil and Ryan when it comes to this area, I may have missed them from some of the others which is why I think there's general confusion. Lots of talk about what may or may not happen, what may come together, what may not, warning flags and such, but not a ton of specifics unless I'm missing them. All systems have a chance. Eventually we will have the 24 hour warning snowstorm again that pops onto the maps at the last minute. JMHO. We're 2-3 days away, it's forecast time. If we're going to rip DT, Tim Kelly etc....at least they're sticking it out there right or wrong. I get the fetish for making snowfall forecasts at day 3 and beyond, but its not very practical and causes more harm than good most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Any more posts about random models shifting se? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Here we go! This is lookin good...trending as we thought. I will start at 3-6 for all of SNE...could adjust upward pending Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 this post was as predictable as the GFS was. we said there is room for NW. personally, i think we're talking about getting the region into some snow vs. a complete whiff Now that the data is onshore who's to say it doesn't come all the way back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Good trend but more work needs to be done I don't know if this is technically a trend. More of a shift. I like the rule of: 1 is an aberration, 2 is a coincidence, and 3 is a trend. When talking of model runs in a row. So this a good shift, but more work definitely needs to be done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I don't know if this is technically a trend. More of a shift. I like the rule of: 1 is an aberration, 2 is a coincidence, and 3 is a trend. When talking of model runs in a row. So this a good shift, but more work definitely needs to be done. Well based on above...this is a good aberration... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I don't know if this is technically a trend. More of a shift. I like the rule of: 1 is an aberration, 2 is a coincidence, and 3 is a trend. When talking of model runs in a row. So this a good shift, but more work definitely needs to be done. Yup, Would need successive runs of bumping NW for a trend, We will go with shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 [snow88] UKMET [/snow88] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I think you still have a few more hours to wait for that Now that the data is onshore who's to say it doesn't come all the way back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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