SR Airglow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 GFS through 60 looks like it's about to give us some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 the weenies on the bus go round and round, round and round, round and round Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 A definite positive in the trend there at 60h...we might even get a 1-3" result from this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 gfs actually looks much better then 6z threw 54 Ok...i can handle its vs. it's. I can handle too vs to. I can even handle effect vs. affect. But I can't handle threw when you mean through. "Threw" means you throw something, like a ball, or it better time you toss or "throw" a weenie. come on now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 sorry I was not an english expert in school Ok...i can handle its vs. it's. I can handle too vs to. I can even handle effect vs. affect. But I can't handle threw when you mean through. "Threw" means you throw something, like a ball, or it better time you toss or "throw" a weenie. come on now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 A definite positive in the trend there at 60h...we might even get a 1-3" result from this run. Deval has already put the National Guard on alert....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 GFS is a solid 2-4"(Assuming 15-1") for the entire region. Progress! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 still ots but a much better trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Bobby approves of the 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 GFS looks more reasonable (than the NAM) given the synoptics in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 GFS is a solid advisory event out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 1-2" for most on the 12z GFS with 2-4" (maybe a 5" spot) on the Cape this run. So that was at least a notable improvement. More like a 00z Euro solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 GFS is a solid 2-4"(Assuming 15-1") for the entire region. Progress! I wouldn't say that yet. Maybe for SNE/Cape/Islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 GFS is a solid advisory event out this way. 3-6" for all of SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 1-2" for most on the 12z GFS with 2-4" (maybe a 5" spot) on the Cape this run. So that was at least a notable improvement. More like a 00z Euro solution. it's so close with that energy coming down from Hudson Bay. It almost catches up...just not quite. I think the NAM slp placement is bogus based on the track of the mid-level energy and the upper jet structure. something coming off of NJ makes more sense...now just a matter of how quickly it can intensify and how fast that arctic jet can get infused into the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I wouldn't say that yet. Maybe for SNE/Cape/Islands. It's .1-.25 area wide so with 15-1 ratios(which are highly likely for this event) that gives us 1.5-3.75. OK I guess 1-3" is more accurate but still it's SOMETHING which we are all desparate for. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 were still about 9 hours from out main player coming ashore once that happens I think we will see close to our final outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 EURO is going to be very intresting.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 And there we are. It has begun. No where near done either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 At least this us measurable snows! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 3-6" for all of SNE? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Well that was kind of AWT regarding some improvement. Lara hope the euro looks better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 GFS looks more reasonable (than the NAM) given the synoptics in play. You know what makes me happy about this run? The 8h map. For the first time in one of these events we have a bonafide chance of serious OE enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 it's so close with that energy coming down from Hudson Bay. It almost catches up...just not quite. I think the NAM slp placement is bogus based on the track of the mid-level energy and the upper jet structure. something coming off of NJ makes more sense...now just a matter of how quickly it can intensify and how fast that arctic jet can get infused into the trough. Yeah there are two vortmaxima...if that second one (which is much stronger) can catch the first one before we get too far east, then we would have a much more significant system. 12z Ukie is similar to the GFS...though maybe a bit more bullish. It also has the two vortmaxima. Getting a more amped ridge out west will help out as we'd rather have the shortwaves travel more south rather than east in this fast flow to give time for them to phase a bit sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 And there we are. It has begun. No where near done either What are you thinking? 4-8''? 6-12''? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 No. lol I was just beating kevin to the punch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGod Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Weenies stepping slowly back from the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Yeah there are two vortmaxima...if that second one (which is much stronger) can catch the first one before we get too far east, then we would have a much more significant system. 12z Ukie is similar to the GFS...though maybe a bit more bullish. It also has the two vortmaxima. Getting a more amped ridge out west will help out as we'd rather have the shortwaves travel more south rather than east in this fast flow to give time for them to phase a bit sooner. yeah need that to come south down into ND/MN instead of running out over superior - would aid the process in multiple ways: phase timing and strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Just give it a chance guys, that's all we said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 EURO is going to be very intresting.... Euro is less prone to the wild NCEP model extremes. No two runs are ever identical this year so I'm sure there will be change but to assume it's going to move to a major snowstorm may not be logical. It tends to plod along towards the inevitable outcome. This run of the GFS is very similar to last nights Euro and Ens. RGEM was also a little better at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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