January 25-26 Storm Potential

[Zeus]

Another bad nights sleep? You're grumpy.

 

Disabuse yourself of the false notion that any amount of sleep could possibly make me pleasant when in your company.

 

This is how I am, and I'll have you know that it's fantastic.

[Great Snow 1717]

Bone dry January so far. BOS to date about 25% of normal. That's our biggest problem, we do have the cold which seems predominant for awhile now but minimal qpf.

Having a dry pattern was one of my 2 main concerns going into January. The other was warmth.

[mahk_webstah]

Like i had said yesterday, This winter is as bad as last year so far, We are just doing it differently this year then last year

unfortunately, I agree with this.  Was expecting to return home tonight to an impending storm.  Instead, I've experienced my 2nd or 3rd largest storm of the year, at 4 inches, here in London.  lol.  I still think we will get a snowy period but unfortunately we probably won't have the weeks and weeks of deep snow pack.  It's very frustrating.

[SouthCoastMA]

FWIW, the 09z SREFs are well SE of the BM with SLP.

Not worth anything. With that being said they are probably right.

[snowman21]

that's how you know it's truly over. What a waste of cold air. Boring boring boring-warm and dry to cold and dry

Well it is February next week, so we will be down to the last four weeks of met winter with a moderation in temperatures next week, at least early on. I know March is still pretty wintry for far inland and elevated areas of SNE, but for most of us in Conn. we average more days in the 60s than snowstorms, and what falls doesn't stick around anyway.

[Ginx snewx]

The Euro did not look that bad, people with KU fetishes of course held their hat on that one run. A nice 3-6 hoping for more is fine with me.

[mahk_webstah]

So. Are those suppressed solutions on the table for being believed at this point, or is anyone here still content with his head firmly snuggled up the confines of his own rectum?

I feel that this is sig worthy.  May I?

[SouthCoastMA]

Well it is February next week, so we will be down to the last four weeks of met winter with a moderation in temperatures next week, at least early on. I know March is still pretty wintry for far inland and elevated areas of SNE, but for most of us in Conn. we average more days in the 60s than snowstorms, and what falls doesn't stick around anyway.

A lot can happen in a month. Just as a lot of nothing can also happen in a month. Still a solid 6-8 weeks of winter potential left

[Allsnow]

Well it is February next week, so we will be down to the last four weeks of met winter with a moderation in temperatures next week, at least early on. I know March is still pretty wintry for far inland and elevated areas of SNE, but for most of us in Conn. we average more days in the 60s than snowstorms, and what falls doesn't stick around anyway.

Yep. Back to back dead ratters. At least NYC hot colder then last winter

[CoastalWx]

The ironic thing is that this flat flow might actually limit the duration and possibly strength of the moderation next week.

[codfishsnowman]

i am surprised this has petered out so quickly as in some form it was advertised by most of the guidance for four or five days in a row.

 

can always hope but otherwise what a waste of cold air.

 

that stretch in the 80s to early 90s was abysmal, sure there were a few half way decent events but my god was most of that stretch depressing. I remember a six to eight inch snowstorm being epic with a few of those years not even producing one of those.

[SR Airglow]

Verbatim what does the 0Z EURO show for the area? Some people on NYC forum and accuweather still saying it has 3-6" but that dosen't match up with what i've heard.

 

Thanks

 

-skisheep

[CoastalWx]

Why is Kevin claiming Phil and I are calling for a big hit? I'm not on the Noyes insanity train.

[dryslot]

i am surprised this has petered out so quickly as in some form it was advertised by most of the guidance for four or five days in a row.

 

can always hope but otherwise what a waste of cold air.

 

that stretch in the 80s to early 90s was abysmal, sure there were a few half way decent events but my god was most of that stretch depressing. I remember a six to eight inch snowstorm being epic with a few of those years not even producing one of those.

 

 

It was on the models even longer then a week, The signal for the 25th had been on the models for at least 10 days that's why it looked favorable

[mahk_webstah]

The ironic thing is that this flat flow might actually limit the duration and possibly strength of the moderation next week.

What is the chance that the cutter actually becomes a SWFE or redeveloper?

[dryslot]

The ironic thing is that this flat flow might actually limit the duration and possibly strength of the moderation next week.

 

A consolation to cold and dry

[Damage In Tolland]

Why is Kevin claiming Phil and I are calling for a big hit? I'm not on the Noyes insanity train.

I didn't say that to Ryan at all. All I said is you were allowing for a trend back NW possibly and he twisted my words

[codfishsnowman]

It was on the models even longer then a week, The signal for the 25th had been on the models for at least 10 days that's why it looked favorable

even more depressing

[CoastalWx]

What is the chance that the cutter actually becomes a SWFE or redeveloper?

I suppose a SWFE for NNE is possible for sure. Models are everywhere right now.

[CoastalWx]

Well if Friday whiffs we still have a good looking pattern heading into Feb...probably not a fast flow as this current pattern.

[dendrite]

It's like weenies gone wild in here. We're only at the climo coldest point of the year.

[danstorm]

It's like weenies gone wild in here. We're only at the climo coldest point of the year.

 

i think that's adding to the misery.

[Damage In Tolland]

The trend NW starts at 12z . If not then we worry a little

[dryslot]

The trend NW starts at 12z . If not then we worry a little

 

 

You are certainly in a better spot for this then up here, If i was down there i would not be as concerned

[Damage In Tolland]

You are certainly in a better spot for this then up here, If i was down there i would not be as concerned

Yeah I look at us we either get a few inches as modeled now or more if NW trends

[Tropopause_Fold]

I didn't say that to Ryan at all. All I said is you were allowing for a trend back NW possibly and he twisted my words

 

i think there is room for NW...but i still suggest keep expectations in check...especially central and western areas.

 

there's some reason to believe it can develop closer and make a closer pass...at least similar to what the euro is doing. 

[Ginx snewx]

suppression, depression

made worse by the recession

zeus’s rectum 40/70s weenie

jerrys 93 drysluts snowtotals are teenie

great snow 1717 worried warm and dry

mahkwebstah pattern won’t fly

bobby ain’t pimping the srefs

backyard no snow gefs

suppression depression

end of my session

[TalcottWx]

Wow...next week's front looks pretty potent with a decent warm sector? Thunder maybe?

Nothing more bone chilling then early February rumble of thunder, go to a clinic and get yourself checked out

[ineedsnow]

I think we will know right away once the gfs starts if the vort stays intact and does not have a piece head towards southern cali I think we are in good shape if it breaks off then were screwed 

The trend NW starts at 12z . If not then we worry a little

[mahk_webstah]

suppression, depression

made worse by the recession

zeus’s rectum 40/70s weenie

jerrys 93 drysluts snowtotals are teenie

great snow 1717 worried warm and dry

mahkwebstah pattern won’t fly

bobby ain’t pimping the srefs

backyard no snow gefs

suppression depression

end of my session

I don't think you should connect these 2 things...

 

I did fly to a different pattern but I'm flying back to the same old sh it only colder.