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January 25-26 Storm Potential


powderfreak

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Still a good ribbon of mid level RH overhead which would probably wring out some light snows.  This was never supposed to be a KU..so hopefully people treat it as such. It was an opportunity for light snows at the minimum.

I was telling people in the NYC thread to watch the overrunning potential of the northern disturbance hitting into the exiting high, with temps as cold as they are we could see some surprise light snows that the models are not grasping and that mid level RH I agree is always a great thing to look at for overrunning.

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anyway, still think there's room for a few NW ticks...might not save everyone in this forum but keeps the threat on the table for some 

I think even with zero interaction between the north/south disturbances that coastal is going to tick north the next few runs but its probably only going to save ERN LI and the S Coast of SNE...we'd need some sort of interaction with those 2 systems over PA/OH/WV to really get the whole coastal thing going more N and W

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well...i'm just saying...if the euro moved anymore SE and that was consensus (not saying it will happen that way) no one gets much of anything and "a few inches" would be relegated to ACK and maybe the Outer Cape.

I thought 00z Euro looked better than 12 z.  Had about .20 here..That would be a few inches with more out east

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Euro 0z looked better vs 12z or at least not worse. 6z gfs ticked a tad closer. And don't shoot me but after this event gfs tried to thwart the torch in favor of 1993-94 style overrunning.

 

 

well...i'm just saying...if the euro moved anymore SE and that was consensus (not saying it will happen that way) no one gets much of anything and "a few inches" would be relegated to ACK and maybe the Outer Cape.

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