SnowMan Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I miss 2010... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I don't see anyone saying anything about a miss. Really? I think a whiff with maybe an inch of fluff is a definite possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 We're good folks. STC @MattNoyesNECN: Undoubtedly, trend this winter has been to strengthen storms quickly, argues for substantial Southern NewEng snow Fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 We're good folks. STC @MattNoyesNECN: Undoubtedly, trend this winter has been to strengthen storms quickly, argues for substantial Southern NewEng snow Fri phew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Has the timing of this sped up or are we still looking at Friday nite hit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 We're good folks. STC KFS has had a rough week... I would leave the forecasting up to Ryan and the others in red. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I don't see anyone saying anything about a miss. Its a legit possibility. I'm not sure why it wouldn't be at this stage. I personally think it won't be a total whiff, but saying its not possible is foolish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Really? I think a whiff with maybe an inch of fluff is a definite possibility. i'm not ready to make that call yet but yeah i agree. it's definitely one of the possible outcomes. i don't think you swing to that position yet but also don't ignore every piece of operational and ensemble guidance to this point today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 phew Don't you feel better now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Its a legit possibility. I'm not sure why it wouldn't be at this stage. I personally think it won't be a total whiff, but saying its not possible is foolish. watch 00z go over Logan11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 KFS has had a rough week... I would leave the forecasting up to Ryan and the others in red.We always do and 99% of them lean Solid hit. Comprende? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Nice to see all mets on board for a solid hit. Thank you for bringing reality back here I dunno - we're currently in conference call over this early run of the KURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I dunno - we're currently in conference call over this early run of the KURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I think the models are seeing more of the exiting PV's influence and are losing the core of the PAC s/w. As Will suggested, I suspect this trends stronger as we get closer and this comes back NW. E NJ to E MA zone could end doing well again with this one while I watch 30 miles to the West. By the way, nice catch with the clipper dynamics down south yesterday..MPV for the win. I drove through legit 1/4 mile on the GSP at 730 last night and a quick 1-2" blanket in central NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Even in a good hit I doubt were talking major. Not like there is slow enough track Considering the recent run of bad luck, for many 4"- 8" would be major. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I just saw the run...I didn't think it was that bad? I didn't expect a KU solution again. The PAC energy looks weaker on the 12z suite...my guess is it will come back some on the 00z suite. Most of our systems this year have not trended weaker with vortmax strength once inside of 4 days. That's how I feel too. I think we're fine so long as you aren't expecting a KU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 We always do and 99% of them lean Solid hit. Comprende? I don't think any red tagger is "lean solid hit" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 By the way, nice catch with the clipper dynamics down south yesterday..MPV for the win. I drove through legit 1/4 mile on the GSP at 730 last night and a quick 1-2" blanket in central NJ. We had some decent Lake Effect snow squalls up this way this morning also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I don't think any red tagger is "lean solid hit"Well then I'm not sure what to tell you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I don't think any red tagger is "lean solid hit" They say the definition of insanity is continuing on the same path and expecting a different result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Any snow is good snow, a whiff would be a real bummer with this decent pattern we are in, hopefully it pans out this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 By the way, nice catch with the clipper dynamics down south yesterday..MPV for the win. I drove through legit 1/4 mile on the GSP at 730 last night and a quick 1-2" blanket in central NJ. Thanks. I have my moments. Let's hope I continue to have my moments through the first half of Feb. It was a pretty sick snowfall for 20-30 minutes last night. I still find it hilarious that this storm was being modeled and argued (friday storm) by mets to be a north / interior track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Thanks. I have my moments. Let's hope I continue to have my moments through the first half of Feb. It was a pretty sick snowfall for 20-30 minutes last night. I still find it hilarious that this storm was being modeled and argued (friday storm) by mets to be a north / interior track. Nobody north of Phl should be worried about taint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Nobody north of Phl should be worried about taint I wouldn't say that any more than I would say a KU or complete whiff is likely. There are no guarantees of anything at this time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Nobody north of Phl should be worried about taint Taint is the last thing on my mind, Actual snow is where my thinking is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Seems like there has to be so many absolutes lately, thats dangerous thinking 4 days out in a very progressive pattern, makes following things a lot less enjoyable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 JB still seems to be riding the UKMET and JMA more. What a surprise that is. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Howes the norlun working out today? Taint is the last thing on my mind, Actual snow is where my thinking is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I wouldn't say that any more than I would say a KU or complete whiff is likely. There are no guarantees of anything at this time range. With the pv to the north and progressive pattern a whiff to your south is more likely, then you seeing sleet. This is not a typical swfe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Euro Ens east from 00z... no surprise there. More amped than 12z GEFS mean. A touch less amped than 12z operational but close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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