CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Sooner or later we are getting qpf. It's been fairly dry for what seems like months. Maybe this system. And we've been wet for years. Mother nature balancing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 hypothetical question...if the Euro comes out flatter do people leaning more intense start to lean that way or is there an assumption it'll come back? What does this mean?....any degree flatter than last night? That's almost a lock..that was a KU for us. I'd expect it to come in a but flatter. But if its just a mere strong redeveloping coastal with soldi warning snows...that doesn't change anything IMHO. I suppose it could always go as amped as the Ukie, but I'd be pretty surprised by that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 hypothetical question...if the Euro comes out flatter do people leaning more intense start to lean that way or is there an assumption it'll come back? And of course if it stays more intense... I dont lean either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I just saw AccuWeather's 12z ECM and it has a D4, 988mb low between ACK and the BM, with an ~ one inch QPF from HFD-BED and points SE. More to come though in the next frame... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I just saw AccuWeather's 12z ECM and it has a D4, 988mb low between ACK and the BM, with an ~ one inch QPF from HFD-BED and points SE. More to come though in the next frame... We caught on to the joke about 3 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I just saw AccuWeather's 12z ECM and it has a D4, 988mb low between ACK and the BM, with an ~ one inch QPF from HFD-BED and points SE. More to come though in the next frame... That was 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Oh wait, was that a funny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I just saw AccuWeather's 12z ECM and it has a D4, 988mb low between ACK and the BM, with an ~ one inch QPF from HFD-BED and points SE. More to come though in the next frame... captain unfunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 That was 00z OH, Jesus - sorry. I'm a dumb ass! My buddy sent me an email with the image attached - I made an assumption it was the 12z run. my bad - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I just saw AccuWeather's 12z ECM and it has a D4, 988mb low between ACK and the BM, with an ~ one inch QPF from HFD-BED and points SE. More to come though in the next frame... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 What does this mean?....any degree flatter than last night? That's almost a lock..that was a KU for us. I'd expect it to come in a but flatter. But if its just a mere strong redeveloping coastal with soldi warning snows...that doesn't change anything IMHO. I suppose it could always go as amped as the Ukie, but I'd be pretty surprised by that. Based on the diagnostic discussion about the differences...this 12z just shifted NE in Canada around 60 hours. I thought based on their writing that the flatter camps went that way. I'm looking at maps from two different sources when comparing but it doesn't look much different than the GGEM/GFS at 60...but it is north of at least the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I thought that was the early run of the ECMWF ....................lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I thought that was the early run of the ECMWF ....................lol Nope just me being a moron - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Remember, Tip has access to the early-release Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 And we've been wet for years. Mother nature balancing out. Yes but it's not helpful for snow weenies. I'm just making an observation that perhaps should be factored. The current regime is dry and were asking wet. December had a. It last week but outside of that its been mainly dry all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Euro much, much weaker and flatter 60h vs 72 on the 0z. Still a bit flatter by 72, but there's hope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I think its safe to say that the 12z won't look like the 0z run on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 This is not what I wanted to see when I logged on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Congrats DC. lol Sorry Randy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I think its safe to say that the 12z won't look like the 0z run on the Euro We toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 winter of our discontent continues...just damn dry, that's for sure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 well on the plus side plenty of room to move back NW as time goes on haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 not even close I think its safe to say that the 12z won't look like the 0z run on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Euro much, much weaker and flatter 60h vs 72 on the 0z. Still a bit flatter by 72, but there's hope? Nah, the difference don't add up to that "much" on, 60 to 72 hours. Here's the 12z, and it appears this 72 hours wants to attempt to phase that N stream beyond this frame - we'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Congrats DC. lol Sorry Randy I don't think its good for DC either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Doesn't show a snowstorm, we toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 hits E MA pretty hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Last minute turn north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It trys late on this run to amplify and still scrapes SNE Edit: Left hook on the end, Its close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Doesn't show a snowstorm, we toss. It shows a snowstorm, it's just eastern and southeastern areas. It's not one of those goofy norlun deals either, it's a legit storm. I really like where Phil and Ackwaves are, great week for both of them. hits E MA pretty hard Cape/coast pattern. What was it that tipped you off....I did not see this coming until after the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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