Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Here you go Ray ... courtesy of our own KTAN. At first glance it appears as though I am full of s*t. But if find that band of 7, 8 and 9" totals in NE CT as possibly telling that indeed there were some bands in there that were doinking people. Acton situates in the void up there in interior eastern Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 He's less annoying and isn't a weenie so he'll get faster service. You have been on fire lately with your responses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 He's less annoying and isn't a weenie so he'll get faster service. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Yeah, it just misses the phase by New England. Very similar to the 00z run with SLP placement. At 5h it looks better imo. You can tell those that are pushing suppression, but I'll argue this.....are we not tired of everything warm and close to the coast this winter? Heck a 3-6 deal is a win for me. A good vortmax over these warmer than normal waters will do wonders. Maybe a gulf stream miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Well, i would hope you lend me a little more credit than that, but meteorologically speaking it was pretty darn similar on last night's euro run, albeit probably toned down a bit from that 05 storm. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2005/us0122.php Oh, I do, but what I mean is, is that a machine derived analog, such as that provided by NCEP, or is that the human. I suppose it doesn't make much difference, but sometimes you got to admit - people can rip and read stuff and draw up their own headlines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 He's less annoying and isn't a weenie so he'll get faster service.Not a weenie? He won WOTY. Why you don't check pm from your phone is beyond us. Your email directly links you to the Pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Well, i would hope you lend me a little more credit than that, but meteorologically speaking it was pretty darn similar on last night's euro run, albeit probably toned down a bit from that 05 storm. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2005/us0122.php I agree with you that the ECMWF last night looked like a toned down version of this system. Interestingly, that was also a time of MJO looping in mid to late Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 He's less annoying and isn't a weenie so he'll get faster service. All the snow is clearly getting to people. You can tell those that are pushing suppression, but I'll argue this.....are we not tired of everything warm and close to the coast this winter? Heck a 3-6 deal is a win for me. A good vortmax over these warmer than normal waters will do wonders. Maybe a gulf stream miracle. I'm not pushing anything, especially not piles of forecasted snow. I'll stay conservative as I think there's adequate reasons to favor a flatter pattern right now but agree these few inch events are better than nothing. I've had almost 3" this week and Ackwaves is getting it pretty good. --- this seems reasonable for now until the 12z euro tosses the knuckler ...NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH ADVANCING OUT INTO THE PLAINS/MIDWEST ON THURS... ...SURFACE LOW IMPACTING THE UPPER MIDWEST THURS/FRI... ...SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS THURS/FRI... PREFERENCE: 12Z GFS / 00Z ECMWF BLEND CONFIDENCE: BELOW AVERAGE THE NAM HAS TRENDED DEEPER/SLOWER WITH THE NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE AND SFC LOW TO IMPACT THE UPR MISS VALLEY BUT REMAINS ON THE FASTER SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE...WITH ITS SPEED ONLY SUPPORTED BY THE 00Z CMC. THE GFS HAS TRENDED WEAKER AND NORTHWARD WITH THE NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE REACHING THE PLAINS LATE THU. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE SPREAD WITH THIS SYSTEM BUT THE PAST 3 RUNS OF THE NAM/GFS/ECMWF HAVE SHOWN SOME DEGREE OF WEAKENING WITH THE NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE...RESULTING IN A LESS AMPLIFIED TROUGH EAST OF THE MISS RIVER AND LESS EMPHASIS ON THE SRN STREAM SFC LOW MOVING ACROSS THE TENN VALLEY ON FRI. WHILE THE 00Z UKMET/CMC APPEAR TOO AMPLIFIED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AS IT CROSSES THE MISS RIVER...DO NOT FEEL COMFORTABLE GOING FULL ON TOWARD THE WEAKER NCEP GUIDANCE...AND WILL PREFER A 12Z GFS / 00Z ECMWF BLEND WHICH IS A REASONABLE COMPROMISE WITH AGREEMENT BY THE GEFS/EC MEANS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 individual gfs members are kinda meh. 1 tucked a bit closer...the rest are pretty much like the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Randy need to ride the Ukie for Caroga Lake. Indeed. But it's the UKmET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 He'll get back to you within a month. That's his turnaround time for answering PM's I knew you'd comment on that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I knew you'd comment on that lolLol. A board admin and you have to badger him to do his job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 even though the cmc is a bit flat...it's close to a biggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Not a weenie? He won WOTY. Why you don't check pm from your phone is beyond us. Your email directly links you to the PmIt's a pain with 3g and typing with the iphone. I don't have my email setup either. I would think Mr Technology could get his wx station online by now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 even though the cmc is a bit flat...it's close to a biggie. Can't you see...somehow your words just hypnotize me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 You can tell those that are pushing suppression, but I'll argue this.....are we not tired of everything warm and close to the coast this winter? Heck a 3-6 deal is a win for me. A good vortmax over these warmer than normal waters will do wonders. Maybe a gulf stream miracle. I would like a nice 4-8" type deal as well. Something to break the streak. I'm not in the suppression/ or inland camp either but I can't buy the Euro just yet either. Having this antecedent airmass ahead of this will be refreshing (no pun) for once. I think this leading s/w is critical in that it shoves the comfluence S enough. Now we just need to watch the 2 s/w's coming out of Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Not a weenie? He won WOTY. Why you don't check pm from your phone is beyond us. Your email directly links you to the Pm I think you missed his point...his emphasis was on the annoying part...lol jk jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I would like a nice 4-8" type deal as well. Something to break the streak. I'm not in the suppression/ or inland camp either but I can't buy the Euro just yet either. Having this antecedent airmass ahead of this will be refreshing (no pun) for once. I think this leading s/w is critical in that it shoves the comfluence S enough. Now we just need to watch the 2 s/w's coming out of Canada. I'm not sold on the euro at all either....but I don't think we should be Pushing the cirrus smoking camp 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I think you missed his point...his emphasis was on the annoying part...lol jk jkBecause I had to hound him to respond to a pm and take action against a stalker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 individual gfs members are kinda meh. 1 tucked a bit closer...the rest are pretty much like the op. p001 plz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 You only had 5-6" in Acton? Wow....I had 25" here.... I beat you to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Lol. A board admin and you have to badger him to do his jobThink of me as a restaurant server. If you are kind you get prompt service. If you are rude you get a little something extra with your burger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 You only had 5-6" in Acton? Wow....I had 25" here.... Box map was not final check out PNS for NE CT. Finals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Think of me as a restaurant server. If you are kind you get prompt service. If you are rude you get a little something extra with your burger. lolololololol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Think of me as a restaurant server. If you are kind you get prompt service. If you are rude you get a little something extra with your burger.Well your food was over cooked and left too long in the oven. So we chewed and screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Think of me as a restaurant server. If you are kind you get prompt service. If you are rude you get a little something extra with your burger. Kevin is used to getting the special sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Because I had to hound him to respond to a pm and take action against a stalkerlol I'm not going to disrupt this thread anymore, but I don't think I'd call your issue "stalking". Euro time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Sooner or later we are getting qpf. It's been fairly dry for what seems like months. Maybe this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 hypothetical question...if the Euro comes out flatter do people leaning more intense start to lean that way or is there an assumption it'll come back? And of course if it stays more intense... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Sooner or later we are getting qpf. It's been fairly dry for what seems like months. Maybe this system. December was wet. But November and so far January have been dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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