Logan11 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Turns to rain on the Cape. ECM has an 8C 2m temp at the elbow of the Cape. 0C 850 line back to the former Cweat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Turns to rain on the Cape. ECM has an 8C 2m temp at the elbow of the Cape. 0C 850 line back to the former Cweat. Not on the euro. Not sure what you seeing. Euro ensembles are a BM or close to it, bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On the 111 hr map of wunderground the 2M 8C line is around Chatham and the 0C 850 line to the Canal. Maybe by then it would be over anyway... Not on the euro. Not sure what you seeing.Euro ensembles are a BM or close to it, bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On the 111 hr map of wunderground the 2M 8C line is around Chatham and the 0C 850 line to the Canal. Maybe by then it would be over anyway... That doesn't seems right with a low track like that. The 850 maps I have don't even come close and keep 850 0c se of CHh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Hr 111 would be warmest, but 8c with the low se of CHh seems too warm. Doesn't make sense on those maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The wundergorund maps do look a bit more wound up right near the low center than the WSI maps...so it brings the 850 line a bit further NW....difference is nothing back W for most of the region, but out there it would flip verbatim on wundergorund maps....trivial at this point anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Thanks for telling us about the EURO Ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Redemption (3 hour snowfall, 111 hour on 1/22/13 0z Euro) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Redemption Euro_01_22_13_0z_snowfall_111hr.png (3 hour snowfall, 111 hour on 1/22/13 0z Euro) That's nearly 2.33" of snow/hr! O_o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 That's nearly 2.33" of snow/hr! O_o It is also just a map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Kevin will be happy to know that the -8C isotherm goes from near ORH to near TOL during the height of it. Yup a nice solid 12-16 inch bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 And the 6Z GFS is a near whiff for the entire I95 area up and down the coast. We toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Snow starts after dark Friday and snows heavily after midnite into early Saturday morning..Then a bitter weekend and slight cool up to normal for 2 days. Deep deep winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Wow, me likey. Can we get that s/w up in Canada to capture the southern piece s/w? bob the builder says, yes we can. wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 And the 6Z GFS is a near whiff for the entire I95 area up and down the coast. We toss. I'd like to see some consistency already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY... AS MENTIONED ABOVE WE ARE LEANING TOWARD THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN FOR THE POTENTIAL STORM. PTYPE ALL SNOW BUT STILL COULD CHANGE IF STRONGER STORM TRACKS CLOSER TO SNE. TIMING OF SNOW MAY NOT BE UNTIL LATE FRI WITH BRUNT OF STORM FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THIS WILL BE A MODERATE SNOW EVENT BUT THIS CAN STILL CHANGE WITH MORE OR LESS SNOW AS WE ARE STILL MORE THAN 3 DAYS AWAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I really hope the gfs jumps on board at 12z!! Euro would make alot of people happy that wanted to go jump off a bridge last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Jackpot at 100 hrs, this weenie is nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Congrats eastern folks! I can't remember the last time eastern MA was modeled to be the jackpot........er.......wait a minute.....now I remember. Seriously though, this is a really nice run for you folks. Of course, I can think of a few of folks hoping for something a bit more amped. Funny what the GFS has done to the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 me and you Congrats eastern folks! I can't remember the last time eastern MA was modeled to be the jackpot........er.......wait a minute.....now I remember. Seriously though, this is a really nice run for you folks. Of course, I can think of a few of folks hoping for something a bit more amped. Funny what the GFS has done to the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Pretty nice signal for this far out... Weenie me out, but depictions tonight have some resemblance to Jan 2005 at H5 and track of Miller B... 0z GFS posted above 6 / 12 GEFS members have some kind of Miller B depiction 0z Euro: 00zeuro850mbTSLPUS168.gif 0z GGEM: 00zggem500mbHGHTNA180.gif I'm still a bit skeptical of a full catpure phase E of MA like the Euro shows as the flow is quick, but that is how it would happen ala Jan 2005...looks quite similar in many aspect. Like the Jan 05 comparisons. Not saying the outcome will be that anomalous or anywhere close, but similar setup and evolution as I posted 3 nights ago. Euro had similar solution 3 nights ago (1/19/13 0z). Reappearance of this robust solution after 3 days (and after last night's nor-turd has passed) adds some confidence I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I really hope the gfs jumps on board at 12z!! Euro would make alot of people happy that wanted to go jump off a bridge last night Not that I'm comparing but comparisons to 1/22/05 have been made by some. For that event, the euro locked it in from d5-6 and the gfs whiffed us until a 36 hour lead time when the models came into line. So we may have to wait another day or 2 before we have gfs/ecmwf on board together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 My wife on the bridge this morning trying to talk me down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 When will people learn..Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 EC ensembles/cmc/ukmet is a nice partnership. The opposing party is gfs/nogaps. Kind of like when the MLB all stars play some bright little leaguers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 When will people learn..Ugh I know..going with the snowiest, most extreme model is and will always be the best route. Some will just never learn to let caution go to the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I am back on the train for Friday. Just keeping the chair and rope nearby though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 EC ensembles/cmc/ukmet is a nice partnership. The opposing party is gfs/nogaps. Kind of like when the MLB all stars play some bright little leaguers. Yeah ensembles look a lot like the CMC... probably toss the Op ECM and the Op GFS as outliers on either end of the spectrum. CMC has a SWFE appeal with WAA push of snow followed by dryslot. No real CCB to speak of, but a nice moderate 4-8 incher. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/CMC_0zA/f102.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 When will people learn..Ugh I know..going with the snowiest, most extreme model is and will always be the best route. Some will just never learn to let caution go to the wind. Whom are you guys referring to? No one here (and not ORH or my posts) is calling for a Jan 2005... but the evolution is similar as depicted in last night's Euro. Show me the post that is "going with the snowiest, most extreme model". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I know..going with the snowiest, most extreme model is and will always be the best route. Some will just never learn to let caution go to the wind. GFS op is all alone..as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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