powderfreak Posted January 21, 2013 Author Share Posted January 21, 2013 Well I will go where the snow is. If it looks good here I may stay put. lol I have a hard time believing you'd head north if this stays in SNE...especially if its BOS first chance at over 6" in 2 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Fast-moving, moderate event. Keep the pack fresh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 A 12-15 hour 6-12 event seems likely..starting after dark Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 A 12-15 hour 6-12 event seems likely..starting after dark Friday 9 hours, 4-8/5-10. j/k. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 GFS has like a noon Friday-midnight event. More likely then an early Saturday event I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 lol I have a hard time believing you'd head north if this stays in SNE...especially if its BOS first chance at over 6" in 2 years. Otoh, it is remotely possible that it would be the second time this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 A 12-15 hour 6-12 event seems likely..starting after dark Friday Begins Noon Friday, rips to 9pm, shuts off midnight. 6-10 region wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Begins Noon Friday, rips to 9pm, shuts off midnight. 6-10 region wide. Seems like the timing of this keeps changing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Begins Noon Friday, rips to 9pm, shuts off midnight. 6-10 region wide. Sounds great, lock it please! In all seriousness I would not be surprised to see something close to this as the solution, maybe 4-8" instead of 6-10? GFS has less than .5 QPF except for NYC metro area. Even at 15-20" to 1 I don't see 10" from this. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Begins Noon Friday, rips to 9pm, shuts off midnight. 6-10 region wide. Noon? Euro brings it in after dark here..so more like midnite up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Noon? Euro brings it in after dark here..so more like midnite up there Think he was talking about the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Noon? Euro brings it in after dark here..so more like midnite up there Euro will speed up, Who knows? I'd prefer noon to midnight as I have to get up Saturday morning earlier than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Whatever the SREFS, GFS and NAM show...don't forecast that for this next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 like a good ole' fashion clipper now if you believe the GFS. interesting how this has evolved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 GFS has more of a Miller B look rather than a pure SWFE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Look how hard it will be for models to resolve that energy, It breaks off from a trough west of the CA coast. Models will not like resolving that anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Seems like the southern stream energy is almost irelevant on this new GFS, while it's a much bigger player on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 How do the 00z GGEM and Ukie runs look tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 How do the 00z GGEM and Ukie runs look tonight? The GEM shifted south somewhat but is not terribly different from what it had shown...I did not see the UKIE, the NOGAPS though did shift markedly south, it was one of the more amped up solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 GGEM at 96h. Can't see Ukie past 72h yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 GGEM at 96h. Can't see Ukie past 72h yet. The UKIE looks like its gonna have a bomb...I see a 990 something low near Cincy so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The UKIE looks like its gonna have a bomb...I see a 990 something low near Cincy so far. Yeah its really amped up. Can't see 84h...but saw 96h, and it had it in the eastern gulf of Maine. PRobably a very good New England hit....hard to tell how north mixing would go in between, but likely pretty far north based on the 96h panel...probably into at least the southern part of SNE....but fairly trivial at this stage. The storm is clearly still on the table with details to be worked out in the coming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The trough is a bit disorganized with multiple s/w's, but it was close to a partial phase. Flows still too fast - as is - despite the SPV finally relaxing. Trough is moving too fast for the frequency of embedded waves to phase. It's a problem with the flow that's ear-marked this middle winter period. Probably is the difference between a middling/midland event and vs a near miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Yeah its really amped up. Can't see 84h...but saw 96h, and it had it in the eastern gulf of Maine. PRobably a very good New England hit....hard to tell how north mixing would go in between, but likely pretty far north based on the 96h panel...probably into at least the southern part of SNE....but fairly trivial at this stage. The storm is clearly still on the table with details to be worked out in the coming days. Nice to hear that the GGEM and Ukie are still solid hits... hopefully the Euro will continue to be strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 We are getting closer to a MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Euro looking very Miller B-ish through 96...should be pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Blizzard for a chunk of SNE...BOS prob jackpot on Euro with over a foot easy. NNE gets in on too, esp from E of CT river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Phase bomb on the euro like i was talking about this morning. It was hinting at this in the 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Phase bomb on the euro like i was talking about this morning. It was hinting at this in the 12z run I'm still a bit skeptical of a full catpure phase E of MA like the Euro shows as the flow is quick, but that is how it would happen ala Jan 2005...looks quite similar in many aspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 That would def get the monkey off Boston's back...just crushes E MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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