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January 25-26 Storm Potential


powderfreak

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  On 1/23/2013 at 4:47 PM, Tropopause_Fold said:

i think it'll be pretty amazing if we get this all the way back where it gives you snow. Doubtful, but not impossible. 

lol zinger bada bing. Many of us said this pattern favors your neck of the woods, I will take a side of potatoes while you enjoy the steak  Next month we eat Lobster together.

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  On 1/23/2013 at 4:47 PM, ChrisM said:

He comes in here and posts the ukmet about twice a Eeek.

Pssssst...caroga ny isn't New England either lol

 

Pssssst, I'm a vistor and don't post the Ukmet twice a week.   Psssst, at less than 90 miles from the NE border, it's closer to New England than any other region.

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  On 1/23/2013 at 4:40 PM, ORH_wxman said:

GGEM looks pretty awful...maybe coating to an inch for the Cape. Its a lot different than the RGEM by 48 hours...RGEM much slower with the energy which obviously gives it more time to amplify a bit. Less time to amplify = GGEM solution.

 

It's better than the last run though Will.  We're far enough out that we're going to still have models on the sides.

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  On 1/23/2013 at 3:20 PM, Ginxy said:

I am convinced we are populated with a bunch of spoiled weenies. My recollection is that Jan was always a cold dry month on average, this year much drier, so far. Feb is the climo snowiest. Time is on our side.

Dude, e MA has every right to complain...especially the Boston area....now even ACK is cashing in more than us :lol:

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  On 1/23/2013 at 4:59 PM, ORH_wxman said:

A bit drier than the OP, but not a surprise. Its a heck of a lot better than the last few ensemble runs

yeah i'm interested to see the individual members...last couple of runs have had only like 1 or 2 members with a real solid hit with the rest being either complete whiffs or just barely scraping this area. hopefully the "trend" is more big hits and not simply a shift NW with the way offshore members. 

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  On 1/23/2013 at 5:06 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Dude, e MA has every right to complain...especially the Boston area....now even ACK is cashing in more than us :lol:

 

 

Not really - the complaint its self it utterly futile, because it does nothing to change the status.  

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  On 1/23/2013 at 5:14 PM, Rollo Tomasi said:

I've heard Boston is behind last years total, LOL.

 

 

Anyway here's the GEFS

 

Can someone tell us what the SREF snow probabilities are?

Atrocious. 1"+ probabilities only reach about 10% on the outer Cape and Islands.

 

I don't think any of the members show accumulating snows inland.

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  On 1/23/2013 at 5:18 PM, Quincy said:

Atrocious. 1"+ probabilities only reach about 10% on the outer Cape and Islands.

I don't think any of the members show You accumulating snows inland.

You look for trends not qpf. The NW shift many of us expected just began at 12z. Sit back and enjoy the next 24 hours of NW moves
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