Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 This NAM solution is going to be something quite different due to the cutoff in the SW...the energy is skipping along across the Canada/US border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:15 AM, Rollo Tomasi said: Based on WSI: "Most of the objective forecasting guidance suggests that above-normal temperatures will return to the eastern U.S., likely persisting through much of the spring," said Crawford In February, WSI forecasts: Northeast: Colder than normal In both March and April, WSI forecasts: Northeast: Warmer than normal (their graphic had us " a lot warmer" than normal for Morch and April. that forecast is like a CFS2 copy and paste http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/htmls/usT2me3Mon.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSUIZZY Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Matt Noyes thinks the system will trend closer to the coastline...sweet. 70 percent chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Noyes just now went on saying most likely everything is coming NW, 70% chance that it snows in SNE, and he said he would bet on some mix getting to the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:21 AM, mitchnick said: that forecast is like a CFS2 copy and paste http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/htmls/usT2me3Mon.html That forecast was made a lot earlier than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:10 AM, dryslot said: For me march snows are useless, By that time i am switching gears To mud? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSUIZZY Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The weird part about Matt Noyes Model forecast was it showed a mix in SE Southern Mass., how is that possible with temperatures this cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The Nam solution is not going to change any of my thinking no matter what it has, Yesterday should be the only example you would ever need Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:24 AM, CoastalWx said: That forecast was made a lot earlier than that. I don;t know how long ago WSI was made, but as you know the CFS2 comes out with a daily forecast. It has been looking like this for weeks, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:22 AM, weatherMA said: Noyes just now went on saying most likely everything is coming NW, 70% chance that it snows in SNE, and he said he would bet on some mix getting to the cape. Before your time laddie, but: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:22 AM, weatherMA said: Noyes just now went on saying most likely everything is coming NW, 70% chance that it snows in SNE, and he said he would bet on some mix getting to the cape. If cape gets rain we big snows in Amherst - certain of 16". You will even get some in Plymouth for when you get back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:24 AM, FSUIZZY said: The weird part about Matt Noyes Model forecast was it showed a mix in SE Southern Mass., how is that possible with temperatures this cold? He is thinking the low gets close enough I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:24 AM, PWMan said: To mud? lol, To golf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:25 AM, mitchnick said: I don;t know how long ago WSI was made, but as you know the CFS2 comes out with a daily forecast. It has been looking like this for weeks, however. All guidance agrees with cold feb and Morch right now. Caveat is stratospheric warming and -QBO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:25 AM, dryslot said: lol, To golf To smoking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:25 AM, CoastalWx said: He is thinking the low gets close enough I guess. Its very possible, But we will need to see some shifts in that direction soon in the guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:26 AM, SnowMan said: To smoking That to Dominicans and Hondurans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 To be clear he didn't say 70% chance it mixes on the cape. He said 70% chance that the snow shield makes it to SNE, but he favors even the mix getting to the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:19 AM, dryslot said: Yeah, They are not like a cig, They require a longer draw timeBlunt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:19 AM, CoastalWx said: Unless this stratospheric warming continues, Morch very well may happen. Some of this is thanks to the Plains drought. Voodoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:29 AM, Ginxy said: Blunt? Not in 25 yrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I smell a whiffer... 51h at h5 vm is further north, more held back... don't think we catch the southern energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:32 AM, wxsniss said: I smell a whiffer... 51h at h5 vm is further north, more held back... don't think we catch the southern energy Does not really matter with the Nam does it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:27 AM, dryslot said: That to Dominicans and Hondurans To Rocky Patel and reminiscing about two years of failed winters lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Who gives a phuck about the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:31 AM, dryslot said: Not in 25 yrsThe cigar fool, not that lmao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:22 AM, weatherMA said: Noyes just now went on saying most likely everything is coming NW, 70% chance that it snows in SNE, and he said he would bet on some mix getting to the cape. We toss. -- NAM has a wee bit of separation between the systems this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 After I poo pood the **** out of yesterday and today I'm saying give Friday a chance....give it a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:34 AM, SnowMan said: To Rocky Patel and reminiscing about two years of failed winters lol 1991 box pressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 On 1/23/2013 at 2:32 AM, wxsniss said: I smell a whiffer... 51h at h5 vm is further north, more held back... don't think we catch the southern energy NAM was pre-tossed even though the changes it made are well within it's normal strike zone. NAM may be un-pre-tossed by the time the rest of the 0z suite is in or if it develops a bomb later in the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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