Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 ? Rapid City looks good. If we can just get through these next 10 days winter looks to be upon us with a snowy vengeance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 He's making a funny. Euro was out to D9 when he posted that...D10 looks okay..not amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 uh oh...i think we're losing messenger. stuff doesn't look that bad. my god. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I thought the GEFS improved again. Late next week or next weekend may be dicey, but the overall look isn't that bad at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 uh oh...i think we're losing messenger. stuff doesn't look that bad. my god. We lost him a long time ago. Hopefully 2/3 trends deeper. That was an interesting look, but it only benefits us if we get it even deeper...otherwise the further S vortmax actually gives us less snow than if it goes just under LI...which was the 1-3/2-4 scenario we had yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 We lost him a long time ago. Hopefully 2/3 trends deeper. That was an interesting look, but it only benefits us if we get it even deeper...otherwise the further S vortmax actually gives us less snow than if it goes just under LI...which was the 1-3/2-4 scenario we had yesterday. I think we've lost a lot of people to be honest Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Gefs looked moist and cold post feb 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I am still on board for a few events... if not, meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I thought the GEFS improved again. Late next week or next weekend may be dicey, but the overall look isn't that bad at all. Yeah a certain improvement with the +WPO signal being further west into Russia. If we can manage something like that which keeps the heights higher downstream near Alaska/western Canada sector, then you guys can make out well with the storm threats picking up. Sure that vortex/stratosphere will suck all the major cold air to the other side of the NH, but you can get away with it in the Midwest/New england...its not like we were making out well with the brutal cold in canada anyway, so, why not. Definitely hoping the euro ensembles take a step away from alaska as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Now this is a torch! This winter needs to sh't or get off the pot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Now this is a torch! This winter needs to sh't or get off the pot. Brewing up one massive turd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Now this is a torch! This winter needs to sh't or get off the pot. NCEP says about average temps, wetter than normal. Euro ENS have 1 or 2 decent threats inside of 7 days. Now or never? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Meanwhile, Green Bay and Door County getting good snow today. Much of WI will be subzero the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I thought the euro ensembles tickled better again. This time a weak -NAO...but who's to say if it is for real. No shortages of threats though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 NCEP says about average temps, wetter than normal. Euro ENS have 1 or 2 decent threats inside of 7 days. Now or never? This is the kind of year that we could get something ramp up bigtime inside 84 I would think. That map would imply a ridge in the center of the country - that would suck for us wouldn't it because wouldn't that put the trough axis at a bad angle for us to get anything to develop? Or would it imply swfe events were some of us stay cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I would still be shoveling all the day 10 storms here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Nam now considerably stronger with the first impulses again as well as the second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Nam now considerably stronger with the first impulses again as well as the second. Up chance of weenie flakes from 30% to 50% for 2/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Ugh... you made me look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Up chance of weenie flakes from 30% to 50% for 2/1. This is what it's come to...we're tracking weenie flakes. I feel like every system is on the ski jump out of here, bombing down from the rockies/Canadian Rockies down and up and over the jump. So much potential, just a very difficult setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2013 Author Share Posted January 31, 2013 I have a wish for my birthday on the 10th, yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Pattern going forward is really tough to predict...not just the usual snow, but the temps too. We knew the last 10-12 days of Jan and early February would be cold...or at least had pretty high confidence it would be from a couple weeks out. But this upcoming situation for mid February and beyond looks nasty from a forecasting perspective. The models show somewhat of a relaxation around Feb 9-12, but this easily could end up being more normal with a bit of a gradient....then guidance tries to rebuild the +PNA pattern...esp the GEFs, but now even the 00z Euro ensembles did it at the en dof their run, pumping up the heights over AK and NW Canada again in the D13-15 time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 I'll be quite salty if e mass gets destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 I'll be quite salty if e mass gets destroyed. If we do get a snow bomb just after you've left I think we can safely say you did something to greatly anger the snow titans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Winter is over right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Winter is over right? I love the flip flops in guidance. Rather amusing. What happens when the TC near Madagascar dies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Winter is over right? After Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 I love the flip flops in guidance. Rather amusing. What happens when the TC near Madagascar dies? Head over to philly medium range for more but how long until the C PAC cools down as well and things consolidate in the IO? It's classic model mayhem, enjoy it you sick bastards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Great day, 46 now and windy but working in a protected spot from the wind and we have gotten to that point in the winter where the sun feels nice. Good times ahead for many, snowy week potentially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Eh' still about 50% snow cover W of the Ct River along the Rt 2 corridor. Sad but refreshing to see after two days in the tropics of the CP. My woods are decimated but front yard still a few inches of cover and weenie piles. N facing and shaded neighborhoods obviously fared much better. 37F w/ occasional flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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