SR Airglow Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Feel like we've seen this story before with regards to the tuesday threat... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Feel like we've seen this story before with regards to the tuesday threat... -skisheep Sunday is the main threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I told him 2 hours ago how icy it was..lol now they have kids out in buses on the side of rds Tolland Works For everyone out there that has children going to school I just stop all the buses The temperature drops and this fog is freezing all buses are stopped on the side of the road till I make it safe enough for them to roll there's going to be a delay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Sunday is the main threat I thought sunday was a 1-3 kind of deal with the clipper, and larger snows next tuesday? At least thats what the GFS had at 18z, saw 6z and they all looked scaled back. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I thought sunday was a 1-3 kind of deal with the clipper, and larger snows next tuesday? At least thats what the GFS had at 18z, saw 6z and they all looked scaled back. -skisheep Baaaaaaahhhhhhhhhh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I thought sunday was a 1-3 kind of deal with the clipper, and larger snows next tuesday? At least thats what the GFS had at 18z, saw 6z and they all looked scaled back. -skisheep You are probably right IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I thought sunday was a 1-3 kind of deal with the clipper, and larger snows next tuesday? At least thats what the GFS had at 18z, saw 6z and they all looked scaled back. -skisheep Euro argues for regionwide 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Euro argues for regionwide 3-6 For sunday even back to my area? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Euro argues for regionwide 3-6 No it doesn't but carry on.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 For sunday even back to my area? -skisheep Euro has t-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Euro has t-2. as I suspected At this point 2" would be my biggest storm in stamford since november(Wasn't here for 12-29 but think we got screwed in that one), so even that would be nice. Have a feeling we get nothing/flurries sunday, but still holding out hope for tuesday. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Euro has t-2. Not talking qpf Jerry..Look at Euro track s of Li. Look deeper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Nice bit of accretion overnight with some decent icicles abounding. Temp still stuck at 31.0/31. I wonder how things are at the 2000' and 500' regions of the school district wrt retaining cold air. What a hoot if they had to cancel on a torch day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Gotta love life in the hill towns.. Buses on side of rds with kids on them..Thankfully not mine Bob Maxon @bobmaxon Ice in Tolland. Buses are on hold, with kids on them! Need sand now! Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I told him 2 hours ago how icy it was..lol now they have kids out in buses on the side of rds Tolland Works For everyone out there that has children going to school I just stop all the buses The temperature drops and this fog is freezing all buses are stopped on the side of the road till I make it safe enough for them to roll there's going to be a delay Were you below freezing all night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Were you below freezing all night? From the mesosites, looks like that area was above freezing for measuring purposes, but the lowest level due to residual cold were likely at/below allow freezing. That's my guess. 31.1/30 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Were you below freezing all night? Until after midnite. It's now 37..But even at 34 the ground was so cold the rds were a mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Until after midnite. It's now 37..But even at 34 the ground was so cold the rds were a mess It was close here, stayed at 33 now 34. Wonder what the roads are like. I guess ill find out in about 20 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Ct is horrible. All those taxes going to waste. You should be ashamed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 2 hour delays for wife and I. Not for Quabbin lol. Up to 40 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 2 hour delays for wife and I. Not for Quabbin lol. Up to 40 now You for the win. Your son ftl???? (doesn't he go there?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Ok so looking at a few things this morning here is my opinion. As far as the MJO goes, there are two signals. One in Africa and the other near the dateline. The one in Africa would correspond to phase 1 and move east into the IO. This would cause warming for us towards mid February and beyond which IMHO is what the euro ensembles is keying on. The GFS on the other hand seem to keep the dateline convection going and moving it east. This would keep the colder look it is showing. The GFS doesn't seem bullish with the Africa wave right now. Also, models I think are too bullish with the amplitude of this MJO in general. Looking at the CPC page, (http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/clivar_wh.shtml )I think the wave may be more modest as the euro especially just all of the sudden increases the amplitude of the wave around P8 to P1. I think it may move closer to the COD but stay modest..not as strong as the euro has...but JMHO. What it comes down to is whether the euro or gfs is right. You could make an argument for both and it's rather clear to me that the differences in the models handling the tropics is really having a chaotic affect on the solutions of the GFS and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2013 Author Share Posted January 30, 2013 wow what a crash I saw this morning, looks like a car carrier hit an abutment on 395 sending brand new Land rovers I think, rolling down the highway. I do not think anyone was hurt but man one land rover looked like a tonka toy and all the rest were damaged,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Here is what I mean.This is from Mike Ventrice in the philly forum yesterday. The blues are 200mb divergence and notice how it's over Africa. Models seem to blow this up in the Indian Ocean..well at least the euro does. Now look at the GFS. See how it moves it east towards South America? Note the greens indicating 200mb divergence. Now look over Africa and the Indian Ocean Notice how the greens are minimal and there is actually suppression. So this is where models are differing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Well a nice change to models last night. GEFS looked a bit better and so does the EC. Like we said, can't always hug models. I'm not which is why I said a week+ ago that I thought by the 8 th things would start to unload. One run of the models looking better isn't going to change that. We will see how it develops but my expectations are super low. Jerry, I'm of the same mindset as you. Eventually the law of a averages comes into play. Something has to go right soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Yeah model runs last night were def less hostile in the LR...I do like the much stormier look in the long range, even if it means we risk tainting. I like pure snowfall as much as anyone, but the 1-3" events get kind of old after a while. We may be dealing with another on Sunday. SREFs finally backed off a good amount on their 03z run for the 2/1 pipe dream. They have been a joke this winter. Not sure why they were obsessed with blowing that system up. Ay any rate, back to focusing on the 2/3 threat....which looks like a 1-3 type event at the moment. I'm sure it will change some though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Good posts scooter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Not sure why folks aren't more excited for Sunday. ESP with the look on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 You for the win. Your son ftl???? (doesn't he go there?) Yup... they did get to sleep in a little. Just dropped them off and ontyo cup #2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Good posts scooter Mike and this other gentleman Nick have some good stuff. http://mikeventrice.weebly.com/tropical-waves.html http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/nschiral/gwo.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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