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Jan 17-18th disco thread--1st big threat of the year


Midlo Snow Maker

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Officially 1.6" of snow at the airport. We set a daily record of 1.56" for precip that day.....up to 4.24" for the month with almost all of that falling since Monday.

 

thats pathetic for a storm of that magnitude. thats like a decent clipper total

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just to show how bad even the Euro shiat the bed at the last minute with this storm, the 0Z run (based on 7PM conditions from last night) gave DCA .10" and BWI .06" qpf for the 6 hrs ending 1AM

neither airport recorded even a trace (of anything)

Maybe, but wasn't the EURO the most consistent model on this storm for the past week?

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give it up, we are not going to sniff anything close to normal. I need 20" just to get to about 75 percent of normal. We will be lucky to end up half of normal. At this point I would be happy if we just got 7 days of normal cold and solid snowcover from a 4-6" type storm. At least it would be something. Even hope for that is fading in my mind.

I still think we get a storm between 4-8 along with a couple 1-3's. We are roughly at 8 right now so I think we will break 20 inches. I know that sounds depressing and is not want you're looking for but I would sign up for that right now.

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Easily had over 1/2 inch of QPF after the chnageover, but only 1 inch on the ground.

 

Typical RIC snowstorm. Shafted even when we win.

^2

Would have easily been over 6 inches if it we had not gotten 4 inches of rain before, kind of like trying to accumulate snow on top of the ocean. Amazing it even accumulated at all, especially on the roads.

Just engough to sled this AM and make for a crusty snowball fight, I'll take it but it's going quick!

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^2

Would have easily been over 6 inches if it we had not gotten 4 inches of rain before, kind of like trying to accumulate snow on top of the ocean. Amazing it even accumulated at all, especially on the roads.

Just engough to sled this AM and make for a crusty snowball fight, I'll take it but it's going quick!

 

You're elevation probably helped you quite a bit in Powhatan. I'm assuming that's why Mike Seidel set up shop there. If you look in the lower VA thread you'll see a few pictures by Midlo showing the difference 100 or 200 feet makes.

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Why do people in southern Virginia think this storm was anything but a bust.. According to Richmond paper, only 1 to 3 inches fell,  when forecasts called for at least double that amount.

 

If that had happened in DC, and warnings were out, people would be calling bust.

 

I can't speak for the folks in the RIC area, but predicted totals in SW VA pretty much verified. The further east away from the mountains you went, the less you'd see. I measured around 5" and NWS had around 6" forecasted for my area.

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Why do people in southern Virginia think this storm was anything but a bust.. According to Richmond paper, only 1 to 3 inches fell,  when forecasts called for at least double that amount.

 

If that had happened in DC, and warnings were out, people would be calling bust.

 

Most forecasts around here called for 2-5" of snow. I received 2" with some of the greatest compaction I have ever witnessed in addition to thunder and lightning. Just 10-15 miles from my house there were reports of 3 and 4". Most individuals in the piedmont will have a similar story. What is there to be overly upset about?

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This was a thread the needle event for anyone who was lucky enough to get snow and many of us incl me to some extent lost sight of that.  It was a bootleg air mass with a meh pattern and unpredictable confluence along with a impotent southern stream. 

What exactly is a "bootleg" airmass?

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