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Jan 17-18th disco thread--1st big threat of the year


Midlo Snow Maker

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snow is going to be the primary precip type pretty quickly...just stickage is an issue and rates..we are in a much better spot than others...wes is in a very good spot possibly

If the axis of good accumulation is Lake Monticello to LaPlata, you will do ok in Old Town..I've seen that happen many times.

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NAM from 4pm to 1am ( i know I said to ignore it)

 

0.25" DCA

0.10" contour from BWI to LWX

that's gone up from nothing I think

if we're going to have any last minute trends, this is the way to go because it means there's a greater <weenie> chance that it ends up more vs. a drier trend

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I'm actually getting slightly encouraged by the radar trends. Just did a cross section (more of a PPI) from LWX across DC to down towards Wes's house and beyond. zdr shows multiple seeder feeder dentritic growth bands in the range from 21kft down to 12 kft and precipitation making it down to 7000ft, which is knocking on the door of the dry air layer at ~850mb.

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that's gone up from nothing I think

if we're going to have any last minute trends, this is the way to go because it means there's a greater <weenie> chance that it ends up more vs. a drier trend

 

True - given that it's quite hard to go from nothing down...

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