WxMan1 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 maybe for DC but for ezf and places like it...this system please. Sure, I can buy that. It may be a 4-6 hour period later this evening into the early overnight, but I think you certainly can get decent snowfall rates during that time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Guys it's over for DC. Face it. Radar trends look horrible. Move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 if i didn't know any better i would say the WV imagery looks good, but since i don't know any better i'm probably wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Sure, I can buy that. It may be a 4-6 hour period later this evening into the early overnight, but I think you certainly can get decent snowfall rates during that time.. Yes I think two to four is possible for those va counties south of dc and since haven't seen snow really in two years...thats a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Definitely. The 1st half is rain/slop. Skew-T soundings support snow for the last half of the storm. Will probably only stick to grassy areas (becasue of surface temps), but snow is snow. P.S. I dont live anywhere near this area. I'm just trying to help out since I see people are pretty down in this sub-forum. Thanks for the efforts, I guess, but helping some in the area find a car-topper ain't gonna improve anyone's mood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 shocker You played this storm really well. I wish I had gone with higher probabilities for scenario 2 versus one yesterday. The problem with edging the storm north is unless you get into the true deformation zone and have the upper center work its magic, you end up relaxing the pattern a little and not getting as deep in the cold air to start with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 i guess this is the area to watch...http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=JKL&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Its days like this you need to be thankful the NGM no longer exists, can you imagine how much snow it would have shown in DC? It always was too far north with precip in these sort of situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Congrats NC. Again. They've had, what 2 or 3 legit winter storms in the last two years down there while we continue to get basically shutout? Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 The infamous DC Snow Hole strikes again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 well... if we still follow the models any... 12z NAM finally tosses us in DC a bone... but is it too late? Funny thing about it is that if the small improvement on the 12 Z run is duplicated on the next run, we could be in the .5 area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Its going to be ironic if we actually get some precip and it ends up rain due to warm BL temps. Lame winter II strikes again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Funny thing about it is that if the small improvement on the 12 Z run is duplicated on the next run, we could be in the .5 area. Anything that does fall would be a positive based on the fact that this wasn't modeled to come anywhere near this area 48 hours or so ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Congrats people who punted 4 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Congrats people who punted 4 days ago. There wasn't anything to punt 4 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I was really hoping you guys were going to get hit with this one. I think you DC guys will still see flakes. It is over for me and WInterWX. It's fun being one of the 4 VA counties without an advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 The NAM was correct yesterday when it took the precip south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Anything that does fall would be a positive based on the fact that this wasn't modeled to come anywhere near this area 48 hours or so ago. I would not consider rain a positive. I don't think many others on here would either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I would not consider rain a positive. I don't think many others on here would either. Especially when heavy snow is falling 60 miles south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 One small point before we go into tonight. The Richmond crew on here has sat back and watched DC and environs celebrate numerous snows that never did a thing down this way. In fact, as everyone well knows, that's the general rule each season, you guys get multiple events that we just miss out on. So, while I get the dissapointment from some in the DC/Balt area, how about a little bit of perspective here that you're just looking at an exception to the overall norm. This is the stuff we, Richmond and south posters, have to deal with every year. Is what it is. Hey I'm with you. Enjoy your snow. I hope you get blasted. But.............in 2010-2011, and 2011-2012 you've had far more real storms than has the DC/Balt area. You (central VA) had the clipper in early Dec 2010, the Christmas morning storm 2010, some from Boxing Day 2010, and at least one late last year. All DC has had was Jan 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Nice banding down in MS/AL. http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=GWX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Hey I'm with you. Enjoy your snow. I hope you get blasted. But.............in 2010-2011, and 2011-2012 you've had far more real storms than has the DC/Balt area. You (central VA) had the clipper in early Dec 2010, the Christmas morning storm 2010, some from Boxing Day 2010, and at least one late last year. All DC has had was Jan 2011. True, But what about us Richmonders who moved up to the DC area early last winter, AFTER the 2009-2010 snowmaggedons and nice Jan 2011 event? Missed out on those...and now that I'm up here...missing out on snow to the south where I used to live. I am definitely NOT the snow magnet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Accums in VA will verify on the low end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 If anyone wants to watch the snow progress northward in VA. I use this site. Its kind of cool. There is a legend on left to see current weather road closures and other incidents. I am not seeing any snow in VA at this point though. http://www.511virginia.org/ Actually it is snowing at my goto spot in the GW National Forest. Check out the furthest west cam US-250. Only about 50 miles from here. Might have to drive down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Accums in VA will verify on the low end. What makes you say that exactly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 What a horrible two weeks of forecasts. Last week was supposed to get warm, with record highs on the weekend and sun. We end up with gray and fog. I had no idea about this snowstorm until a coworker said we were going to get some snow. I got sucked into the disco last night, only to have my weenie heart broken this morning. Bah humbug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 True, But what about us Richmonders who moved up to the DC area early last winter, AFTER the 2009-2010 snowmaggedons and nice Jan 2011 event? Missed out on those...and now that I'm up here...missing out on snow to the south where I used to live. I am definitely NOT the snow magnet! lol, DT used to say almost the same thing during his short stint here. Since the late 80s, we've been in a boom or bust cycle with bad 6 or 7 bad years in a row and then a 40 plus inch year. 16-30 inch years like we had from 58-69 have pretty much vanished. You arrived here at a bad junction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 What makes you say that exactly? Temps don't seem to be dropping yet.....need that to start soon, or a lot more rain will fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 It's still an impressive storm system... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Wow, Dewey Beach is going to get 2-4" and central MD zippo. Didn't this happen last year as well? Snow to the West, East, North, and South? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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