Ji Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Euro must be rally amped...lot of qpf in Richmond after warm start. 1 inch liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 yeah...looked like that on my maps...maybe even .25"....such a sharp cutoff How are we doing in the interior with QPF on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 4-8 You meant an inch of snow not QPF?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 There might be a surprise tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 You meant an inch of snow not QPF?. Euro shows maybe 2 inches dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Euro has 6-8 for richmond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 There might be a surprise tomorrow Yeah I dont think it's game over. Look like lot of energy getting going down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 similar to the gfs no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Huge snowstorm for Virginia. They will finish snowfall above average for the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Yeah I dont think it's game over. Look like lot of energy getting going down south. And the SE ridge is flexing it's muscles still..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 From the SE thread, thoughts? Interesting. Latest RAP(formerly RUC) is showing some northern streaming phasing/interaction on the backside now out to hour 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Looks good http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/ruc/05/ruc_namer_018_500_vort_ht.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Really hit or miss with models like the rap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Really hit or miss with models like the rap. Especially at that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 You gotta believe the nam gfs and euro would handle 5h better than rap esp at that range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 DC getting in on the precip shield right now. Matters at all? Confusing storm, nothing to do but sleep and see if we make it or break it tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Punt. Save a few flurries for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 All of the energy is saving up for the coastal low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 06z NAM fringes DC. No hope from that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Watches replaced by advisories for most around dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Winter Storm Warning now. ok.http://www.weather.gov/akq/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Well, I'm glad the data overnight held for my region. It was a little unnerving watching a SLOW trend south. W the banding USUALLY a little north of the models, I like where I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I knew all I needed to know about this storm when I woke up this morning and saw no one had posted in this thread in 2.5 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I knew all I needed to know about this storm when I woke up this morning and saw no one had posted in this thread in 2.5 hours... Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 not sure it matters but it is sleeting right now in Woodbridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I have noticed that when the RGEM and NAM differ significantly its usually the NAM that is wrong, I know that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I knew all I needed to know about this storm when I woke up this morning and saw no one had posted in this thread in 2.5 hours... Well, I didn't want to gloat or anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Well this is more of an obs/nowcasting post but since there is no thread for that yet I'll post it here. The 6 hr sim radar panel of the 6z nam is pretty close to what I'm looking at on the real radar. The 9 hr panel shows the northern edge of the precip dip south and then at 12 and 15 comes back north a little and sits just south of DC metro. Still too close for me to write this one off. If that northern edge is 50 miles north we could be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Well this is more of an obs/nowcasting post but since there is no thread for that yet I'll post it here. The 6 hr sim radar panel of the 6z nam is pretty close to what I'm looking at on the real radar. The 9 hr panel shows the northern edge of the precip dip south and then at 12 and 15 comes back north a little and sits just south of DC metro. Still too close for me to write this one off. If that northern edge is 50 miles north we could be in business. Agreed. With the EURU bumping north a bit, maybe there is another bump left during nowcasting. That SE ride is still evident on the sat images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Well this is more of an obs/nowcasting post but since there is no thread for that yet I'll post it here. The 6 hr sim radar panel of the 6z nam is pretty close to what I'm looking at on the real radar. The 9 hr panel shows the northern edge of the precip dip south and then at 12 and 15 comes back north a little and sits just south of DC metro. Still too close for me to write this one off. If that northern edge is 50 miles north we could be in business. even 25 miles would make a difference...I was trying to find anything that showed precip edge further north... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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