Ian Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Thanks for your response. Honestly, I'm not looking for any good news tonight. I'm just looking for that SE Ridge to stand tall and bump this thing north. You bring up the last time the models busted favorably, but if my memory serves me correctly, we've busted last minute many many times in an unfavorable way. Call me a fool, but I can't completely punt something this close. It's like 50x easier to screw up snow around here than get it right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I am worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 It's like 50x easier to screw up snow around here than get it right... Fair enough, and I respect you guys out there that do it for a living. And speaking of people that do it for a living......DT released his final call map.....sure does go North with the precip http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=471457219568208&set=a.148807335166533.25889.129478830432717&type=1&theater What strikes me, is that he's been bashing DC North snow chances all day until now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I'm going back to tracking my job applications. It has way more potential than watching me get fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Fair enough, and I respect you guys out there that do it for a living. And speaking of people that do it for a living......DT released his final call map.....sure does go North with the precip http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=471457219568208&set=a.148807335166533.25889.129478830432717&type=1&theater What strikes me, is that he's been bashing DC North snow chances all day until now. Ian takes pictures of lightning for a living. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Fair enough, and I respect you guys out there that do it for a living. And speaking of people that do it for a living......DT released his final call map.....sure does go North with the precip http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=471457219568208&set=a.148807335166533.25889.129478830432717&type=1&theater What strikes me, is that he's been bashing DC North snow chances all day until now. His zones actually did jog northwest, in eastern VA anyway. I was in E. Now I'm in F. Joy. Doesn't make much sense, though. Nothing has drastically changed to cause that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 His zones actually did jog northwest, in eastern VA anyway. I was in E. Now I'm in F. Joy. Doesn't make much sense, though. Nothing has drastically changed to cause that. While I typically don't like his forecasts too much, I actually think that map verifies. Call me crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 While I typically don't like his forecasts too much, I actually think that map verifies. Call me crazy. Well out of backyard bias, naturally, I hope it doesn't. He went out of his way to remove just one or two counties from the E zone. Seems a little ridiculous either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 honestly, I was in the process of making that exact post and decided the hell with it that's funny, but it is true sim radar of NAM had almost nothing compared to what's falling....look at hrs. 3 and 6 from the 0Z part of me expects to wake up to good models again. but i've been kinda weenie lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 part of me expects to wake up to good models again. but i've been kinda weenie lately. the boundary on the models was supposed to be south of us, but it's to our west and it's still raining here these radars are great...great sat and wv too http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/ EDIT: click on the NEXRAD site link on the left column Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 now that we look screwed,, I am in full weenie mode...I am about to look at the new RAP well, if we're in weenie mode http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/virginia/weather-radar?play=1 and Blacksburg radar is down and returns still look healthy http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=fcx&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I wrote earlier that I felt good about it but temps needed to cooperate. We gotta get to 30.10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 the boundary on the models was supposed to be south of us, but it's to our west and it's still raining here these radars are great...great sat and wv too http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/ EDIT: click on the NEXRAD site link on the left column i circled what might end up being the real northern edge: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 is there still a d10 ku? There is a d10 puke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 now that we look screwed,, I am in full weenie mode...I am about to look at the new RAP im definitely not staying up for the euro.. call me if it give us .5 qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 i circled what might end up being the real northern edge: Untitled-7.jpg That's what I've been thinking all along (well today at least). We'll see I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 now that we look screwed,, I am in full weenie mode...I am about to look at the new RAP Don't forget the HRRR. Hope it works out down your way Matt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 interesting things on this wv loop first, pretty clear the 5H vort is going negative in western Arkansas....take a look how the high clouds start to curl back west second, that's quite a SE ridge to be moved http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=US&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20130117&endTime=-1&duration=6 *weenie mode* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 FWIW the RAP looks decent I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 FWIW the RAP looks decent I guess. wow, baby, it sure does interesting how that mirrors current radar coverage too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 FWIW the RAP looks decent I guess. Is that the RAP run by NCEP or ESRL? Edit: I got it, its the 2z ESRL version. A reminder to also look at qpf output, not just the sim radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 It looks really good...gets heavy precip very close to DC Are we getting a snowstorm this year. Be honest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 It looks really good...gets heavy precip very close to DC I like weenie zwyts much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 It looks really good...gets heavy precip very close to DC What a shock that you are staying up for the Euro, i guess you decided not to punt yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 What a shock that you are staying up for the Euro, i guess you decided not to punt yet. Deep down, I don't think he ever really punts..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 What a shock that you are staying up for the Euro, i guess you decided not to punt yet. He is looking at d9-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 He is looking at d9-10 I am just waiting for his next that should be coming in 10 seconds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Richmond is blazing hot on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Euro wettest model now. DC gets inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Richmond is blazing hot on the euro Due to increased strength? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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