MillzPirate Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 SREFs drop 50% qpf from 15z. I'd say that's a horrible trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Well, so far, compared to 18z, NAM looks a little better with the precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Well, so far, compared to 18z, NAM looks a little better with the precip shield. yeah.. tho not sure how it will be 'good'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 0z NAM threading the needle between the 12 and 18z run of itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Well, so far, compared to 18z, NAM looks a little better with the precip shield. 5H vort is better too, but how much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 yeah.. tho not sure how it will be 'good'. I believe it'll translate to a slightly farther north precip shield for us. Nothing really jumps out so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 yeah.. tho not sure how it will be 'good'. rough hour for snow chances in DC. Starting to look like we might have trouble sneaking by the 2" line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 QPF actually reaches DCA by hr 21... so its not a complete whiff... fringe looks likely but what kind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 one good thing is it doesnt really even get here till near sundown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Yeah, up to 21 hr now, it's definitely not going to be a total whiff this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mpikesnowlover Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 The big ? is when and if RIC will change over to SN. Ive seen this trend all to often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 gotta love the sim radar ... could be uglier around the dc area tomorrow than today .. hallucinations for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 ain't gunna be pretty at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 gotta love the sim radar ... could be uglier around the dc area tomorrow than today .. hallucinations for all Yeah, was just about to post that. If the radar looked like that, it would be a weenie killer for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Ouch, qpf cutoff just gets to Rt. 50, no more. RIC is gonna get whacked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Yeah, up to 21 hr now, it's definitely not going to be a total whiff this run. As long as the 0Z GFS has a similar variance to the NAM as with the 18Z suite, I think we're looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Nice to see the precip shield back north again. The only holdout snaps back into line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MineralFrosty Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 No one caresSure they do, that's where the meaningful precip is gonna fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Similar to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Nice to see the precip shield back north again. The only holdout snaps back into line. it looks pretty terrible up here tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 No one cares see ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Forest is in the southeast Don't be hating when I'm posting snow pics tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 North trend back? Doubt it. Just a blip 18z run I guess. This run looks colder for central Va at a glance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 it looks pretty terrible up here tho the vort is not coming as far north as it was from yesterday 18z thru today 12z <looking for that d@mn towel aaaagain> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 it looks pretty terrible up here tho Yeah. See ya at 10:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 the vort is not coming as far north as it was from yesterday 18z thru today 12z <looking for that d@mn towel aaaagain> Dude, hold off. Let's check the GFS first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 0.05" bisects DC. Brutal run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mpikesnowlover Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 42hr GFS snow depth showing 5-8 in RIC wonder if its picking up on a quicker change over from RN to SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 0.05" bisects DC. Brutal run. Watch when the 4km nest turns that borderline number into zero, and a few good tens of miles on top of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 awful...worse than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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