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Jan 17-18th disco thread--1st big threat of the year


Midlo Snow Maker

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18z GFS with the cliff hangar..

 

It's interesting. over past 3 months the Euro has been the QPf king in terms of verification at 24 and 48 hrs.  HPC does not run  it for 36 hours but I suspect it would win there too.  The GFS has been second at the .25 and .50 inch thresholds.  The SREF mean and NAM have generally been lower.   The euro has been resolution than the GFS which may be of benefit in this case but sometimes spreading out precip helps in terms of verification of ETS. 

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sorry about my meltdown earlier...anyway....maybe the GFS is too far north but not by much?

It was understandable.... don't worry about it.  I would say the GFS has the right idea probably right where its at now.. maybe there will be some slight movement but I think its probably right where it will likely end up

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