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NNE Winter 2012-13 Thread III


klw

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-4F at home this morning at 4:30am... but looks like its fallen to -6F since then.

 

Up at the mountain...

 

-12F at 3,600ft (wind chill of <-40F)

-8F at 2,600ft

-3F at 1,500ft

 

Mansfield 3,900ft station is showing -13F with 33G38 and a wind chill of -45F at this time.  Yikes.  Can we hit the illusive -50F wind chill mark?  It will be close and if we don't today, we'll do it next week.

 

Amazingly tomorrow looks to be like 30 degrees warmer or even more... nice WAA light snow event in route, too.

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That would be good if we can score an inch or two

 

Zone forecast for here has 2-4" total from the WAA precip... would be nice to add another nickle to the seasonal total, lol.

 

Today: Mostly sunny. Highs around 9 above. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Wind chill values as low as 26 below.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with a chance of light snow until midnight...then cloudy with light snow likely after midnight. Snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Lows around 8 above. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.

Saturday: Cloudy. Light snow likely in the morning...then a chance of flurries in the afternoon. Total snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Highs in the mid 30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.

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7/-8 and breezy.

 

My forecast FTL...

 

I even played things in the southern half much warmer because of the threat of cirrus and was too cold.

 

It was close in some spots, I see HIE at -13 but BML 0. So just the difference in VRB05 and 00000 and you could make a run at some cold temps.

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-4F at home this morning at 4:30am... but looks like its fallen to -6F since then.

 

Up at the mountain...

 

-12F at 3,600ft (wind chill of <-40F)

-8F at 2,600ft

-3F at 1,500ft

 

Mansfield 3,900ft station is showing -13F with 33G38 and a wind chill of -45F at this time.  Yikes.  Can we hit the illusive -50F wind chill mark?  It will be close and if we don't today, we'll do it next week.

 

Amazingly tomorrow looks to be like 30 degrees warmer or even more... nice WAA light snow event in route, too.

The warmer layer in the 1000-2000 foot range is nicely visible this morning:

 

Capture.png

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I bet these go lower next week if some of the models are right

NOUS41 KCAR 181326

PNSCAR

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME

822 AM EST FRI JAN 18 2013

...MINIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE PAST 12 HOURS...

...LOCATION... ...TIME... ...MIN...

ESTCOURT STATION MAWS (AROOSTOOK ME) 745 AM JAN 18 -30 F

2 WSW CARIBOU (NWS EMPLOYEE) 750 AM JAN 18 -24 F

NORTHERN MAINE REGIONAL AIRPORT 735 AM JAN 18 -24 F

4 E NEW SWEDEN (AROOSTOOK ME) 724 AM JAN 18 -22 F

NINE MILE BRIDGE (AROOSTOOK ME) (GOES) 700 AM JAN 18 -22 F

1 NW CLAYTON LAKE (AROOSTOOK ME) (AWOS) 725 AM JAN 18 -22 F

MADAWASKA (AROOSTOOK ME) (503 FT)(AWS) 745 AM JAN 18 -21 F

DICKEY (AROOSTOOK ME) (590 FT)(GOES) 700 AM JAN 18 -21 F

CARIBOU, ME (AROOSTOOK ME) (ASOS) 654 AM JAN 18 -21 F

1 NE CARIBOU (AROOSTOOK ME) (APRSWXNET) 647 AM JAN 18 -20 F

1 NW PRESQUE ISLE (AROOSTOOK ME) 747 AM JAN 18 -20 F

4 ENE BAKER LAKE (SOMERSET ME) (RAWS) 615 AM JAN 18 -20 F

2 W SAINT AGATHA (AROOSTOOK ME) 714 AM JAN 18 -19 F

BIG BLACK RIVER (AROOSTOOK ME) (GOES) 1200 AM JAN 18 -18 F

1 ENE PRESQUE ISLE (AROOSTOOK ME) 724 AM JAN 18 -18 F

5 NE MARS HILL (AROOSTOOK ME) 747 AM JAN 18 -18 F

1 NW PRESQUE ISLE (AROOSTOOK ME) 600 AM JAN 18 -17 F

NORTHERN AROOSTOOK REGIONAL AIRPORT 653 AM JAN 18 -17 F

HOULTON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT 753 AM JAN 18 -17 F

3 NW MONTICELLO (AROOSTOOK ME) 745 AM JAN 18 -16 F

5 SE WINTERVILLE (AROOSTOOK ME) (MEDOT) 325 AM JAN 18 -16 F

SAINT ZACHARIE (SOMERSET ME) (GOES) 545 AM JAN 18 -15 F

2 SSW ASHLAND (AROOSTOOK ME) (AIRNOW) 600 AM JAN 18 -13 F

MILLINOCKET MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 753 AM JAN 18 -11 F

GREENVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT ASOS 656 AM JAN 18 -11 F

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The old rule of thumb we used to use back at DVN was MSLP isobars across the state of Iowa (every 2mb) multiplied by 5 mph for potential wind gusts (I think I'm remembering that right). Across the GYX CWA an Iowa length area on Sunday we're looking at somewhere around 8 to 10 isobars based off the 06z GFS. That is right in the 40-50 mph range.

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Here are some of the temps this morning.  

 

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&issuedby=BTV&product=HYD

...CALEDONIA COUNTY...ST JOHNSBURY MUSEUM 0.02    30  -6  -6SUTTON              0.04    29 -10 -10   CLEAR        0.8   8SUTTON              0.02    29 -17 -17   CLEAR        0.3   7WALDEN              0.06    25 -12 -12   CLEAR        1.5  11...ESSEX COUNTY VT...AVERILL             0.00    26 -17 -12   CLEAR        0.0  11EAST HAVENGALLUP MILLS        0.00    30 -17 -16GILMAN              0.00                              0.0   0ISLAND POND            T    18 -13   1   PTLY CLOUDY    T   5ISLAND POND AIRPORT 0.02    31 -17 -16
WASHINGTON COUNTY...
KNAPP STATE ARPT       T    17  -8  -7
MONTPELIERNORTHFIELD          0.00    34  -7  -6                      6PLAINFIELD          0.02    27 -15 -15                0.2   8WAITSFIELD          0.04    32   4   4   CLEAR        0.8   9WORCESTER           0.03    30  -4  -4   CLEAR        0.3   6
 
.FRANKLIN COUNTY NY...

 

TUPPER LAKE SUNMNT T 23 -5 -5 CLEAR T 7

SARANAC LAKE ARPT   0.01    28 -19 -19MALONE              0.01    20 -10  -4   CLEAR        0.5   1

post-1533-0-54213400-1358523154_thumb.pn

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