Nittany88 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Check out that inversion: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Looks like the Tilton observer had 15.0" total with a 15" depth this morning so he/she must be reporting the depth as new snow. That matches up well with my 15-17" depth. Interestingly, they must melt down cores for w.e. based on their numbers. Their total was 15.0" new with 1.84" liquid...similar crappy ratios that I had due to wind. I measured 16- 17" at 5am when I went out to plow, right after the deformation band left us. Woke up at 3am, groggy and looked outside...wow! We had heavy snow then from around 7:30 am for a couple of hours so I am pretty sure we got 20, but who know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 GFS still gives 2-4" while the NAM looks a little to warm for anything decent tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Remember the other day when I said someone would be fooked with the transfer of energy with this storm? Yeah, that was KRUT. 2-4" total there. Thank god for that northern energy. Ex gf goes to school there. Karmas a beotch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Remember the other day when I said someone would be fooked with the transfer of energy with this storm? Yeah, that was KRUT. 2-4" total there. Thank god for that northern energy. Ex gf goes to school there. Karmas a beotch Southeast low level winds shadowed them to pieces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Southeast low level winds shadowed them to pieces. Yeah that combined with the local forcing/dynamics minimum over SW VT killed them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Check out that inversion: Warm and balmy at the summit this morning... had -11F at my house and the summit was almost 20F warmer. You could feel it on the chairlift...all the sudden you broke out into a warm breeze (relatively warm). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I'll take this forecast... nickle and dime, lol. Monday: Snow in the morning...then snow or rain in the afternoon. Snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Highs in the lower 30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.Monday Night: Snow or sleet or rain likely until midnight...then snow showers likely after midnight. Additional snow and sleet accumulation a dusting to 2 inches possible. Lows in the upper 20s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.Tuesday: Snow showers likely. Additional light snow accumulation possible. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.Tuesday Night: Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Lows around 16. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Looks ok aside from a potential change to -RN/-DZ tomorrow afternoon/evening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Air was crystal clear this morning above the inversion, with great views all around... Looking south down the Spine towards Camels Hump and Sugarbush... Looking north to Jay Peak... And looking east with the Presidential Range looming on the horizon...MWN high point on the right. One can easily imagine how anything downwind of these mountains downslopes quite severely, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 WWA for 2-4" and a trace of ice in Central NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Awesome AFD from BTV... Could be a nice little event for the ski resorts, and hopefully the neighboring towns, haha SOUNDING PROFILES SHOW DECENT RH THROUGH THE FAVORABLE SNOW GROWTH REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG WITH LOW/MID LEVEL WINDS PERPENDICULAR TO THE GREEN MOUNTAINS. THESE CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE TO DEVELOP UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREENS THOUGH FORECAST FROUDE NUMBERS OFF LOCAL 4KM WRF INDICATE UNBLOCKED FLOW SO EXPECT MOST OF THE SNOW TO FALL ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE GREENS WITH JAY PEAK LIKELY HITTING THE JACKPOT. AS PREVIOUS FORECASTER MENTIONED...THE ONE INGREDIENT MISSING WILL BE STRONG CAA TO HELP SQUEEZE OUT REMAINING MOISTURE AND INCREASE THE FLUFF FACTOR. GIVEN THE WARMER THERMAL PROFILES... SNOW RATIOS WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 15:1 YIELDING ACCUMULATIONS OF 1-3" FROM AROUND 1-2KFT...AND 3-6" ABOVE 2KT. STORM TOTALS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY COULD BE 6-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hvysnow79 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Not a map you see everyday!!! Not only is it upside down with the totals, so many parts of NNE are below 6", just incredible for February!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Not a map you see everyday!!! Not only is it upside down with the totals, so many parts of NNE are below 6", just incredible for February!! That is bass acckwards, usually we leave bare ground and arrive to a healthy snow pack, tomorrow we'll be leaving over 2 feet to a little smaller snow pack, looks like we picked a good week to go up though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Not a map you see everyday!!! Not only is it upside down with the totals, so many parts of NNE are below 6", just incredible for February!! Yeah don't see that all that often, but it does happen. I remember in January 2011 when all of SNE was sitting with snowpacks larger than that map (widespread 30"+ on the ground), and up in NNE we were all much, much lower. I remember at one point during that month that Worcester, MA had more snow on the ground than the Mansfield summit Co-Op. Quite a little difference here locally right now... here on the immediate east side of the Greens, there's around a foot of snow on the ground, while only a few miles away as the crow flies, but on the other side of the geographic barrier of the Spine snow totals are less than 6 inches. The spots in the box are all roughly the same elevation (400-800ft) or at least not enough difference to matter, but its always interesting how sharp a gradient there can be here. On the flip side, a huge blocked flow upslope event can cause those west slope locations to have a lot more than us on the east side. I'm always amazed at how much topography places in the local climate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Air was crystal clear this morning above the inversion, with great views all around... Looking south down the Spine towards Camels Hump and Sugarbush... IMG_2689_edited-1.jpg Looking north to Jay Peak... IMG_2715_edited-1.jpg And looking east with the Presidential Range looming on the horizon...MWN high point on the right. One can easily imagine how anything downwind of these mountains downslopes quite severely, lol. IMG_2706_edited-2.jpg holy crap, those views are awesome! Just beautiful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Remember the other day when I said someone would be fooked with the transfer of energy with this storm? Yeah, that was KRUT. 2-4" total there. Thank god for that northern energy. Ex gf goes to school there. Karmas a beotch I just drove through rutland on the way back to ny. They really got 'nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Air was crystal clear this morning above the inversion, with great views all around... Looking south down the Spine towards Camels Hump and Sugarbush... http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=89300'>IMG_2689_edited-1.jpg Looking north to Jay Peak... [img=https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/attachicon.gif] http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=89302'>IMG_2715_edited-1.jpg And looking east with the Presidential Range looming on the horizon...MWN high point on the right. One can easily imagine how anything downwind of these mountains downslopes quite severely, lol. [img=https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/attachicon.gif] http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=89301'>IMG_2706_edited-2.jpg Wow, you can see me waving in the picture. Looking down from the summit this morning, the cars in the parking lot were shimmering in the sun. I dont think i have ever seen that before. It looked like the light was flashing, undulating and moving on each car windshield. Is that because of something in the air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I just noticed Whitefield was -22 last night... brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Those are some nice pics above, 'freak ... been a couple weeks since I've been in the mountains ... some serious jonesing taking place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Man, the local BTV WRF and the higher-res NAM are absolutely hammering the Greens, especially north of I-89 in the 24 hour period from 7pm today through 7pm tomorrow. BTV AFD is all over it...mentioning possible advisory for upslope snow and 4-10" of accumulations from the upslope portion of the event. .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...AS OF 345 AM EST MONDAY...TONIGHT FOCUS WL SHIFT FROM SYNOPTIC SCALE TOMESOSCALE FEATURES...AS UPSLOPE FLW DEVELOPS AND ACCUMULATINGSNOWFALL OCCURS ACRS THE MTNS. SOUNDING PROFILES CONT TO SUPPORTGOOD SFC TO 700MB RH IN THE FAVORABLE SNOW GROWTH REGION...ALONGWITH SFC TO 85H WINDS PERPENDICULAR TO THE MTNS...WHICH HELPS TOENHANCE LLVL UVVS FIELDS. BTV 4KM SHOWS SEVERAL IMPRESSIVE BURSTOF SNOW POSSIBLE AT JAY PEAK...ESPECIALLY WHEN LOOKING AT THEQPF/OMEGA FIELDS...ONE AROUND 03Z TONIGHT AND ANOTHER AROUND 12ZTUES. THINKING THIS LONG DURATION UPSLOPE EVENT WL YIELD QPFVALUES BTWN 0.35 AND 0.55 ACRS THE NW DACKS AND BTWN 0.40 AND0.60" ACRS THE NORTHERN GREENS FROM JAY PEAK TO STOWE. AS STATEDBY PREVIOUS FCSTER...FROUDE NUMBER SHOW VALUES BTWN 1 AND2...SUPPORTING UNBLOCKED FLW AND POTENTIAL FOR SNOW SHOWERACTIVITY TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM OF THE THE GREEN MTNS INTO THENEK...BUT OVERALL MAGNITUDE OF LLVL WIND IS LIMITED. IF PARAMETERSCONT TO LOOK FAVORABLE...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF AN ADVISORY ISNEEDED ACRS THE NW DACKS AND PARTS OF THE WESTERN SLOPES/GREENMTNS FOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE BY 12ZWEDS. MEANWHILE...ACRS THE CPV/SLV AND PARTS OF THE LWR CT VALLEYVERY LIGHT QPF WITH ONLY DUSTINGS OF SNOW ARE LIKELY. WL MENTIONSCHC/CHC POPS AND TRY TO SHOW A TIGHT POP/QPF GRADIENT IN GRIDSFROM VALLEYS TO MTNS. TEMPS TONIGHT WL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMALACRS THE CPV...WITH VALUES IN THE 30S...BUT WL COOL INTO THE 20SACRS THE MTNS/NEK AND SLV. WEAK LLVL CAA CONTS ON TUES...BUTWESTERN FLW WL WARM CPV BACK INTO THE U30S TO NEAR 40...WITH U20STO M30S MTNS. 925MB AND 85H TEMPS WL GRADUALLY COOL TUES NIGHTINTO WEDS...AS WEAK CAA CONTINUES. LOWS TUES NIGHT WL BE TEENSMTNS TO 20S WARMER VALLEYS AND HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 20S TO L30S BYWEDS...VERY CLOSE TO NORMAL. IN ADDITION...EXPECT THE AREALCOVERAGE/INTENSITY OF UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO WEAKEN BYWEDS...AS 1000 TO 700MB RH DECREASES SIGNIFICANTLY BY 18Z WEDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 This should keep us occupied over the next couple of days in the weather world. Today Snow before 4pm, then rain and snow. High near 33. South wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Tonight Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 24. South wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Tuesday Snow showers. High near 29. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Tuesday Night Snow showers likely, mainly before 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 12. Northwest wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 ^ Getting 0.25" of love from the WRF here. Every little bit helps. Man, quite a temp spread across VT this morning. 30s west of the Greens and single digits/teens this side. We have been warming all night. Was 3F when I hit the sack, 9F when I got up and now already up to 12F. Skied at Burke yesterday--while it was fun and good to get out, their cover is very thin. We have more snow here in our yard than they do at the top of Burke Mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Awesome AFD from BTV... Could be a nice little event for the ski resorts, and hopefully the neighboring towns, haha Man, the local BTV WRF and the higher-res NAM are absolutely hammering the Greens, especially north of I-89 in the 24 hour period from 7pm today through 7pm tomorrow. I just listened to Roger Hill’s broadcast, and he’s thinking a mostly snow event east of the Greens with possibly some sleet. Fairly unblocked Froude Numbers between 1 and 2 were mentioned in the AFD. Roger also seems pretty intrigued by a potential storm in the weekend range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Yep...looking great for 24-36hrs of upslope snow from tonight thru wed. am. Widespread 6-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 A few flurries starting to fall....hopefully we can pull off a couple inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Snowing hard in CON. Probably moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Just noticed a few stray flakes falling here in Montpelier. Temps warmed overnight, was 6° when I went to bed at 11:30 and 16° when I got up at 6:15, I was surprised to see that it was 30° in the CPV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 SN 0.50vis 21/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Had some burts of moderate snow both at home and now down in Hanover. Tappered to not much atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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