ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Any upslope sig as storm departs? Not really, the closed circulation should ring out most of the LL moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Not really, the closed circulation should ring out most of the LL moisture. Agreed. As for the LP/KSLK area: Not sure what you plan on skiing/doing but the base is really really thin in the BC. As in "non-existant" in some places. With 15+ to 1 snow ratios this isn't going to "open" a lot of new terrain. Should make WF great skiing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Agreed. As for the LP/KSLK area: Not sure what you plan on skiing/doing but the base is really really thin in the BC. As in "non-existant" in some places. With 15+ to 1 snow ratios this isn't going to "open" a lot of new terrain. Should make WF great skiing. Gonna try to get some time on the face but mostly just going to get away w the family, empire state winter games and luge world cup thus weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Note: ratios will be very high in NNE. Wouldn't be surprised for 20:1. But please, for your own sanity, if you're in northern VT/NY temper expectations. You will be disappointed in this set up if you don't, especially with all the hype/potential in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Note: ratios will be very high in NNE. Wouldn't be surprised for 20:1. But please, for your own sanity, if you're in northern VT/NY temper expectations. You will be disappointed in this set up if you don't, especially with all the hype/potential in SNE. Wait you mean you are not buying the Nam's 2+ feet for all of VT and 60+ inches for the coast of Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Wait you mean you are not buying the Nam's 2+ feet for all of VT and 60+ inches for the coast of Maine? LOL...pssh totally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Wait you mean you are not buying the Nam's 2+ feet for all of VT and 60+ inches for the coast of Maine? BOOK IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Thank god there's like that inverted trough feature being modeled which still could bring some decent totals (not 2 feet), but add 15:1 ratios to 0.75" QPF or something and that could be decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Speaking of which is it snowing surprisingly hard right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 To stay in NNE or go to SNE...that is the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Speaking of which is it snowing surprisingly hard right now. Coming down nicely here in Montpelier too. Big flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Good discussion from BTV. I like the explanation they give about holding off on warnings. .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...AS OF 315 AM EST WEDNESDAY...OVERALL MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTERAGREEMENT WITH PHASING OF COASTAL SYSTEM WITH NORTHERN STREAMENERGY ON FRIDAY NIGHT...AND RAPIDLY DEVELOPING SFC LOW PRES OFFTHE NEW ENGLAND COAST. THE NAM CONTS TO BE THE FURTHEST EAST ANDWEAKEST WITH SFC LOW DEVELOPMENT...WHILE GFS/ECMWF TAKE DEVELOPINGLOW PRES VERY CLOSE TO THE 40/70 BENCHMARK BY 00Z SAT. STILLTHINKING INTERACTION/PHASING OF SYSTEM TAKES PLACE TOO FAR EAST TOPRODUCE A BLOCK-BLUSTER SNOW STORM FOR OUR CWA...BUT STILL FEEL AWIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL LOOKS LIKELY FROM FRIDAY INTOSATURDAY. BOTH GFS/ECMWF SHOW DEEP LAYER RH AND OMEGA IN FAVORABLESNOW GROWTH REGION FOR FRIDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN HIGH SNOWRATIO`S AT 15 OR 20 TO 1. ECMWF HAS SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED QPF ACRSOUR CWA FOR THE EVENT AND NOW HAS AROUND 0.30" NW CWA TO 0.75"SOUTHEAST ZNS...WHICH LOOKS REASONABLE BASED ON TRACK OF LOW PRESNEAR THE BENCHMARK. ALSO...ALWAYS CONCERNED WHEN NORTHERN STREAMENERGY QUICKLY JUMPS TO THE COAST AND RAPID CYCLOGENESISOCCURS...WHICH CAN LIMIT QPF ACRS OUR CWA. STILL WE HAVE AFAVORABLE RRQ OF 25H JET ACRS OUR CWA...ALONG WITH POTENT 5H S/WENERGY AND GOOD DEEP LAYER MOISTURE...WHICH WL RESULT IN AWIDESPREAD PLOWABLE SNOWFALL. GIVEN A 18 TO 30 HOUR WINDOW BTWNBOTH SYSTEMS AND NEEDING 9 INCHES OR MORE IN 24HRS...PARTS OF OURCWA WL HAVE DIFFICULTIES REACHING WARNING CRITERIA...BESTPOTENTIAL WL BE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN VT AND PARTS OF THE DACKS. STILLHIGH FLUFF FACTOR WL PROBABLY RESULT IN GETTING THE MOST SNOWFALLOUT OF QPF BTWN 0.25" AND 0.75". WL MENTION CAT POPS SE ZNS TO HIGHCHC ON FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH MTN CHC POPS FOR SAT...ASSOCIATED WITHSOME WRAP AROUND MOISTURE/LIFT. GIVEN...5H/7H CLOSED CIRCULATIONSAND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW PRES TRACKS MAINLY EAST AND NOT INTO THEGULF OF MAINE...WL LIMIT UPSLOPE/WRAP AROUND QPF ACRS OUR CWA ONSATURDAY. ADDITIONAL QPF/SNOW WL BE LIGHT. TEMPS WL BE ABOVENORMAL ON FRIDAY NIGHT WITH CLOUDS/PRECIP...MAINLY TEENS...AND INTHE MID TEENS TO LOW 20S ON SATURDAY WITH BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Man it is full on whiteout all the sudden. Absolutely ripping. Nice surprise today. BTV and MVL both down to 1/2sm Moderate Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Wow. Can't see anything. Web cam at base of ski area: Otherside of the Spine in Nashville/West Bolton: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GYX has issued watches, BTV will follow I bet. 4-8" seems likely, maybe upwards of 12" if thing break right outside of the NEK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 2-3" down today at the ski resort. Still ripping. Nice surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Any chance Attitash closes on Saturday? I have lift passes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Any chance Attitash closes on Saturday? I have lift passes I would think you will be okay. I don't think the NW winds will put wind holds on Saturday but Powderfreak would know much better than me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I would think you will be okay. I don't think the NW winds will put wind holds on Saturday but Powderfreak would know much better than me! I have absolutely no idea what wind direction affects them most... but honestly, with a big hype snowstorm coming, even if the ski areas may not be in the sweetest spot, they're going to do everything in their power to stay open. I honestly haven't looked at wind that much though nor do I know anything about that mountain. I just know that no one wants to close in a snowstorm, so it would take some pretty high winds, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Had few flurries around this morning but nothing more at the house but ran into a nice burst of fat flakes up on the heights above us (1800'). Looks like a squall is headed in though. One day at a time, yo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Ok thanks I appreciate it. I think my concern is more about driving up there mid afternoon Friday. Should be interesting! I may just stay put though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Any chance Attitash closes on Saturday? I have lift passes If wind is very high Bretton Woods is the least likely to be affected. You could drive there during the day if Attitash happens to go on hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEK_VT_Upslope_Event Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 When all is said and done on Saturday valley parts of western NNE may have the least snow on the ground out of all NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Euro kills NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Euro kills NNE Please elaborate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 ^ Indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Euro kills NNE Please elaborate Yes, please elaborate. Kills NNE as in crushes us with snow or kills us as in having to watch something epic so close yet have nothing to show for it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Please elaborate 0.75" to Sherbrook, QC 1.00" Canadian border 1.25" RUT-LEB-BML 1.5" PSF-EEN-PLY 1.75" CON-Gray, ME 2.00" coastal NH-ME Ratios probably 12-15:1 for CNE, 15-18:1 NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 0.75" to Sherbrook, QC 1.00" Canadian border 1.25" RUT-LEB-BML 1.5" PSF-EEN-PLY 1.75" CON-Gray, ME 2.00" coastal NH-ME Ratios probably 12-15:1 for CNE, 15-18:1 NNE Ah, the good kind of kill! Much appreciated. Have fun forecasting this for VTRANS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 0.75" to Sherbrook, QC 1.00" Canadian border 1.25" RUT-LEB-BML 1.5" PSF-EEN-PLY 1.75" CON-Gray, ME 2.00" coastal NH-ME Ratios probably 12-15:1 for CNE, 15-18:1 NNE I really appreciate your attention to NNE, ct. Hard to feel the love on the other threads...lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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