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Storm Obs and discussion 1/15-1/16


Mr Torchey

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  On 1/16/2013 at 11:20 AM, CT Blizz said:

Sometimes in these cases..we get some backbuidling as it pushes east.  We'll see though.

 

This performed almost exactly as we thought

 

Yeah probably wouldn't change the forecast at all. The typical slant-stickers in New Haven County are a bit over my upper total but that's to be expected. 

 

AWT along and north of I-84. Everything did tick like an hour or two faster but that seems to always happen. I think someone between me and you tickles 5" with this. Nice advisory event.

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  On 1/16/2013 at 11:22 AM, CT Rain said:

Yeah probably wouldn't change the forecast at all. The typical slant-stickers in New Haven County are a bit over my upper total but that's to be expected. 

 

AWT along and north of I-84. Everything did tick like an hour or two faster but that seems to always happen. I think someone between me and you tickles 5" with this. Nice advisory event.

Let's top it off with a bit of ice to lock it in

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  On 1/16/2013 at 11:18 AM, CT Rain said:

Yeah there will be some meh stuff after 8:00... but I think most of the accumulating snow is done in next 2 hours. Radar sucks around Poughkeepsie and that stuff is moving east.

 

The collapse of steady stuff is moving more N-S than E-W, so folks above 84/hartford are probably less than an hour to go on any good accumulating stuff.  longer as you head south of there.  Of course, that's where mixing will be taking place, too.

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  On 1/16/2013 at 11:24 AM, moneypitmike said:

The collapse of steady stuff is moving more N-S than E-W, so folks above 84/hartford are probably less than an hour to go on any good accumulating stuff.  longer as you head south of there.  Of course, that's where mixing will be taking place, too.

 

I should say 'steady, heavier'.  The steady lighter stuff will continue.

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  On 1/16/2013 at 11:27 AM, moneypitmike said:

I should say 'steady, heavier'.  The steady lighter stuff will continue.

 

  On 1/16/2013 at 11:25 AM, CT Blizz said:

:lol:

 

 

  On 1/16/2013 at 11:27 AM, moneypitmike said:

I should say 'steady, heavier'.  The steady lighter stuff will continue.

 

I clarified my comment--steady yes.  But lighter than what you've had.  That'll continue into afternoon I think.  As the models showed and the radar suggests.

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  On 1/16/2013 at 11:32 AM, CT Rain said:

MPM is right things are shutting down quickly in SE NY. Models agree with not a whole lot of accumulating stuff after 12z (maybe an inch of snow?). 

 

Thanks for the acknowledgement--good to know that I might not be completley off-base.  There are still soe nice little bursts after the heavy stuff breaks.  Having one right now.  Essnetially I htink the general advisory amounts of 3-6 were spot-on.  Some folks will go over the top throughout the region (perhaps even here)I don't think too many people will come under.

 

  On 1/16/2013 at 11:32 AM, Yukon Cornelius said:

Just went out to take a measurement.  3.75" and ripping!  28/27

 

 

Nice--you got into the stuff that went through Mitch and Pete I think

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  On 1/16/2013 at 11:36 AM, Quincy said:

Looks like pretty uniform 3-4" totals so far across most of CT NW of I-95, but the northeast hills near Tolland, Stafford and Union may make out the best with storm totals of 4-6" possible.

 

 

  On 1/16/2013 at 11:32 AM, CT Rain said:

MPM is right things are shutting down quickly in SE NY. Models agree with not a whole lot of accumulating stuff after 12z (maybe an inch of snow?). 

i would say another 2-3 before it ends

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