FallsLake Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 If the precip keeps up like it is now I think it might actually changeover sooner here. Brick, There were reports of snow mixing in Roxboro a half hour ago. Also up towrds the Vir line. It's on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pack83 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 http://www.wcnc.com/weather/neighborhood-cameras/Camera-1-129957183.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Clock is ticking. We shouldn't have wasted those time outs when we couldn't get the play called ... (that's what it feels like, anyway) Link? Feels like we are on the verge of changing over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Link? Feels like we are on the verge of changing over. In mooresville? Its still too warm. Do you still think we could see 6 inch snows here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 RDU issued a special weather statement: AS OF 700 PM EST...THE TRANSITION TO SNOW HAS BEGUN OVER THETRIAD AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT. SPOTTER REPORTS ANDOBSERVATIONAL DATA HAVE CONFIRMED THAT RAIN HAS CHANGED TO SNOWAT LEXINGTON IN DAVIDSON COUNTY...WINSTON SALEM IN FORSYTHCOUNTY...HIGH POINT AND GREENSBORO IN GUILFORD COUNTY...ANDROXBORO IN PERSON COUNTY. RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW FROM NORTHWESTTO SOUTHEAST OVER RANDOLPH...ALAMANCE...ORANGE...DURHAM ANDGRANVILLE COUNTIES BETWEEN 730 AND 830 PM. Still seems on schedule. So what was up with the model that everyone was freeking out about showing less snow? Did it show the changeover coming later or less precip or what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 RDU issued a special weather statement: AS OF 700 PM EST...THE TRANSITION TO SNOW HAS BEGUN OVER THE TRIAD AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT. SPOTTER REPORTS AND OBSERVATIONAL DATA HAVE CONFIRMED THAT RAIN HAS CHANGED TO SNOW AT LEXINGTON IN DAVIDSON COUNTY...WINSTON SALEM IN FORSYTH COUNTY...HIGH POINT AND GREENSBORO IN GUILFORD COUNTY...AND ROXBORO IN PERSON COUNTY. RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST OVER RANDOLPH...ALAMANCE...ORANGE...DURHAM AND GRANVILLE COUNTIES BETWEEN 730 AND 830 PM. Sounds like the changeover is as scheduled, maybe early, hopefully RDU transitions by 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Congrats north of CLT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 In mooresville? Its still too warm. Do you still think we could see 6 inch snows here? Yes.. only a couple of degrees away at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pack83 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Yes.. only a couple of degrees away at most. Sleet mixing in around kannapolis. Closer than many think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 722 PM EST THU JAN 17 2013 NCZ026>028-041>043-078-089-180200- FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-WAYNE-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT... RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...GOLDSBORO...CLINTON 722 PM EST THU JAN 17 2013 ...STRONG WIND GUSTS THROUGH 900 PM... AS OF 700 PM EST...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WERE SUSTAINED AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TRIANGLE AND COASTAL PLAIN...IN ASSOCIATION WITH A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFFSHORE THE CAROLINA COAST. THE RALEIGH DURHAM AIRPORT REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 39 MPH AT 629 PM...AND POPE AIR FORCE BASE REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 46 MPH AT 705 PM. THESE GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH SATURATED SOIL FROM RECENT RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN A FEW DOWNED TREES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Nice dry slot off to the west. Sure would like for that mess to fill in totally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 The model consensus of QPF for 1 PM+ is turning out to be way too high for N GA. They failed to pick up on the drying that is common with systems like this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Still seems on schedule. So what was up with the model that everyone was freeking out about showing less snow? Did it show the changeover coming later or less precip or what? The rap basically started weakening the ULL (after blowing it up last night) and seems like it was right. Then the NAM started following etc. It's currently 1 contour and not nearly as large. Also, the RPM model (in-house weather tool in broadcast meteorology) started to show less snow and a late changeover earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Thunder snow and lightning here about 10 minutes ago and we've got a good dusting on our deck, grill cover, etc. A friend is heading towards Greensboro and said roads are already getting bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 The next 4-5 hours look to be great for the triad based on the latest reflectivity on the HRRR model. And just had THUNDERSNOW here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 The next 4-5 hours look to be great for the triad based on the latest reflectivity on the HRRR model. And just had THUNDERSNOW here! It's going to be a fun few hours, eh? 1-2"/hr rates! I am finally over to all-snow now after wrestling with a snow/sleet mix for 45 minutes or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellow1 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Thundersnow in Burlington! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 It's going to be a fun few hours, eh? 1-2"/hr rates! I am finally over to all-snow now after wrestling with a snow/sleet mix for 45 minutes or so. I'm having a blast running from window to window. I have been in thundersnow before but it was only two or three strikes. This was more like a summer storm with frequent lightning for 10 minutes straight. Crazy! I keep thinking about what Robert said yesterday that this might be the heaviest snow rates we may ever experience. By the way, what radar do you like to use? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 500 mb low still closed and centered over the GA/SC state line. Still looks neutral tilt. Will it go negative? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I'm having a blast running from window to window. I have been in thundersnow before but it was only two or three strikes. This was more like a summer storm with frequent lightning for 10 minutes straight. Crazy! I keep thinking about what Robert said yesterday that this might be the heaviest snow rates we may ever experience. By the way, what radar do you like to use? We live in an area with a metro population of 1.5 million. We don't deserve a radar station within 100 miles. I jump between RAX, GSP, and Blacksburg, but we're towards the end of either's range, so it's a crap-shoot. I do use GRLevelX, if you were curious which software I use. And, BOOM, another clap of thunder! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Busick Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 big flakes now moderately falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDUBRDU Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Sleeting and lightning in Raleigh near Rex Hospital. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Precip is coming down good and it looks like it is trying hard to change over but can't quite make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DueUCMe Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Power just flickered on and off...seems to be a transformer blown nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Report of snow in Creedmoor on facebook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Cold rain here. Looks like the dry slot is trying to fill in. That would be good for those of us in the Triangle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I really like the way the radar is starting to fill in to the west. We might just be able to pull out 2 inches if we can get a change over to snow before 10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Power just flickered on and off...seems to be a transformer blown nearby. I was anticipating such. I filled up a spare tank for the generator today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Okay, my dog is starting to act like he does when he hears thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Mike Maze saying on Twitter that there are reports of sleet in Apex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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