HKY_WX Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 What would the implications of this be? A stronger, more wrapped up system? Yep. Could allow for this stay closed off longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 At hr18 on the RAP, there are a couple small pockets of 1-hour precip totals of 0.25+ inches in W NC / E TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Interesting. Latest RAP(formerly RUC) is showing some northern streaming phasing/interaction on the backside now out to hour 18. So what does that spell, if that is the case? More intense? Widespread? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 This is an incredible upper low...even though the 5h feature is warmer aloft , the shape and tilt and relative vorticity is probably greater than the March 2009 event. Taking the same approximate track (maybe a little more north) Regardless, once your under and north and west of that circulation center, the snow will fall in a fashion you won't see very often in your lifetime. It's short-lived, but will be something to witness thats for sure. And to think, just a couple days ago the ECMWF had this as a weak 1 contour that was fizzling out by Alabama. I am very serious when I say that power lines and trees are going to take a major hit from this. If you've never experienced 2" per hour rates and thundersnow, some of you will on that nw shield. Get ready! the nam for charlotte is crazy! hope your right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 You can really see the 1000-850mb thickness crash on the RAP loop ("1000 850 thick" loop) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Man that thing is wrapping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 The RAP keeps ramping up precip over Knoxville and leaves the heaviest precip until the 32F isotherm passes over us. Incredible. We could be seeing some heavy heavy snow here tomorrow afternoon around 4 or 5PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 The RAP keeps ramping up precip over Knoxville and leaves the heaviest precip until the 32F isotherm passes over us. Incredible. We could be seeing some heavy heavy snow here tomorrow afternoon around 4 or 5PM. soo, i take it the RAP was better than the nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I just took a look again at the high reso. NAM precip panels . It has 6 hour totals from HIckory to Shelby Forest City to Spartanburg in the2.00 to 2.5" range. I surely hope that 's wrong. All of that falls as snow That would be about 4" per hour snowfall . Unreal. Surely , it's overdone. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I just took a look again at the high reso. NAM precip panels . It has 6 hour totals from HIckory to Shelby Forest City to Spartanburg in the2.00 to 2.5" range. I surely hope that 's wrong. All of that falls as snow That would be about 4" per hour snowfall . Unreal. Surely , it's overdone. . So....if you we're to curb projected totals, places like CLT west could see 8"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I just took a look again at the high reso. NAM precip panels . It has 6 hour totals from HIckory to Shelby Forest City to Spartanburg in the2.00 to 2.5" range. I surely hope that 's wrong. All of that falls as snow That would be about 4" per hour snowfall . Unreal. Surely , it's overdone. . NAM's been right so far. would not surprised me if that verified. that would cause major disruptions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 How much for the Dome summit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 NAM's been right so far. would not surprised me if that verified. that would cause major disruptions. lol that would be down right unprecedented/historic. I doubt that happens but even if that gets cut in half it's still a big snowstorm. I'm interested to see if the RAP continues that interaction with the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Jan 25, 2000 Just sayin' TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 So....if you we're to curb projected totals, places like CLT west could see 8"? i think hes talking about this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 NAM's been right so far. would not surprised me if that verified. that would cause major disruptions. Generators will likely be needed. As Robert said, 2" even could smash tree branches/etc.. think about 4". That would be some of the hardest snow most have seen in their lives from the SE. I couldn't even fathom seeing a sight like it, and although if I was in the 4"/hr output area and would want it, I'd most likely regret it in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I just took a look again at the high reso. NAM precip panels . It has 6 hour totals from HIckory to Shelby Forest City to Spartanburg in the2.00 to 2.5" range. I surely hope that 's wrong. All of that falls as snow That would be about 4" per hour snowfall . Unreal. Surely , it's overdone. . Please keep us posted I'll be up most of the night, would LOVE to see 3"+ rates, once in a lifetime kinda thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I just took a look again at the high reso. NAM precip panels . It has 6 hour totals from HIckory to Shelby Forest City to Spartanburg in the2.00 to 2.5" range. I surely hope that 's wrong. All of that falls as snow That would be about 4" per hour snowfall . Unreal. Surely , it's overdone. I must have read your post wrong because 2 inches of qpf as all snow would be 24 inches. And for Spartanburg? Jeez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 NAM's been right so far. would not surprised me if that verified. that would cause major disruptions. We will see 24 hours from now, as I think it will be over about then for this area. Boy oh boy if the Hi-RES nam has got this right, my region is looking at one of the biggest snowstorms of all time, and it all happens in only 6 hours or so. Wild stuff. I am doubtful though. Still, a big event like March 2009 is in the cards for someone close by. Just look at that 7h deformation band and the UVV's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 i think hes talking about this run Yowzers! That would make up for this crappy winter real quick! Thanks sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 i think hes talking about this run Which model run is that? Watauga county bullseye right there, 12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Well it's almost 2am and things have slowed in here a bit. Nice to see Robert. As I suspect all the mods are asleep I will now try and accomplish something I've wanted to do for almost 10 years. How much for Archdale? Damn, that felt good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 How much for the Dome summit? Clingman's Dome? It's better to pick Mt. Leconte as there is someone right now who can measure what falls so we can verify it. It looks like it'll be from 12-16". The rates will be heavier than when Sandy hit, but the snow will fall in 6 hours or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Which model run is that? Watauga county bullseye right there, 12+ this was the 0z run of the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Snow is starting to accumulate in Jackson, MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 It's really starting to come down at I20 in Jackson: More cameras at: http://www.mdottraffic.com/#cameras-list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 It's really coming down along I220 in Jackson right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 what is fayetteville looking like...all focus has been on mountains. local forecast says changeover to snow showers, wet accumulation of 1-3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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