beanskip Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 18z slightly south of 12z position, but 850 low is one contour weaker -- will be interesting to see if this is a net win or loss for N.C. folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Slightly colder at the surface as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Hard to tell what will happen moving forward in the run but for MBY that hair is going to be a big difference in totals I'll bet. It's maybe 50 miles south and a hair slower, and I don't see the weakening you guys mentioned, it actually looks stronger to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 18z slightly south of 12z position, but 850 low is one contour weaker -- will be interesting to see if this is a net win or loss for N.C. folks. Skip I'm seeing two contours at 27 as opposed to 12z @33 which only has one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Looks to switch over much quicker in Virginia. Curious to see how much this affects the snow output this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 At 22z NAM is slightly further south and a little more bundled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 At hour 27, 850 low catching up in strength to 12z version -- 850 OC line further south into Virginia than 12 run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Still two contour at 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Looks to switch over much quicker in Virginia. Curious to see how much this affects the snow output this run. QPF is a lot lower in VA on this run out to 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 18z NAM F27 and F30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Looks like it's about to go BOOM all over WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Yes, a little slower and a little further south this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 WSW for Metro Atlanta doesn't make much sense to me, but what do I know. And I was going to the grocery store later, not anymore! My theory is maybe they were accounting about the black ice on Fri morning as apart of a reason to warrant it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 @33 BOOM for WNC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 This was written at 3:00 this a.m. I saw, but they were still holding that thought at the 1:00pm release. FWIW I had not looked at the discussion prior to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 N GA mtns under a heavy deformation band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 F33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 It should be noted 2m temps are warmer on this run but 850's look to be colder. VA is getting the shaft compared to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 At Hour 30, 850 low weaker than 12z run. Here is 18z. Here is 12z. Impact is that 850 temps not crashing as hard as on 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 This is a beautiful run for WNC... Heavy QPF and quickly crashing 850's.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 @33 BOOM for WNC! Ya burger looks like the mountains get crushed on the is run again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 F36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Winter Storm Watch issued for DC-Baltimore area, WS Warning for Charlottesville area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 lol @36 CLT is right under a closed low Let me restate this under a very cold pocket of air little 540 circle right around CLT. This should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 18z a big step back on BL issues -- at 33 hours 10m OC line barely clips far NW corner of NC. Hopefully sounding look better than the map does. Wow -- even worse at 36 hours -- still barely covering the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 18z a big step back on BL issues -- at 33 hours 10m OC line barely clips far NW corner of NC. Hopefully sounding look better than the map does. Wow -- even worse at 36 hours -- still barely covering the mountains. On the SFC maps lots of snow falls in NC...so soundings will probably look good. Has over an inch falling in CLT between 33 and 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncwinterwxman Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Looks like RDU is quickly changing over to all snow by 36 hours there Allan...still looks good for 1-3" in your area... F36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Looks like RDU is quickly changing over to all snow by 36 hours there Allan...still looks good for 1-3" in your area... Need to get one of those deformation zones to come over us and pick up a quick couple of inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 18z NAM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 It looks like a decent, but brief changeover for the Upstate if SC as well, according to 18z nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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