Carvers Gap Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 This run goes nuts on the mountains. It even paints 6+ inches for KTRI. Was crazy. I bet this run gets tossed as an outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 That is a "tree snapper" as depicted by the 0z NAM...............would be too much too fast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 VA up to DC will like this run espeacilly. This is razor thin and has potential to be huge hit and slap in the face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Here's the snowfall map: If this verifies I'm quitting school and moving back to Chapel Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 What is interesting is Deltadog is saying it's underdone on qpf (i assume he means for his area), as it looks to MAX out over ours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Here's the snowfall map: Be nice if any other model showed this, hopefully the GFS shows something atleast in the same ballpark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 crazy run for N NC and E VA. obv the mtns cash in too....but the ULL which guidance had sheering out, being absorbed by the huge vortex, the nam forms a pretty big CBB up the coast to DE even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Here's the snowfall map: If this verifies I'm quitting school and moving back to Chapel Hill. At least it gives Knoxville an inch. It's a very sharp cutoff though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Nope, just south Harnett county and SW of there to CLT. Ug. I live in SE Wake, and there's about 21 miles between me and the airport. South is not usually the winner between the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Here's the snowfall map: If this verifies I'm quitting school and moving back to Chapel Hill. Someone needs to show this to Brick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Love the lee side screw job in the foothills ! Great run for wnc... Here's the snowfall map: If this verifies I'm quitting school and moving back to Chapel Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Ug. I live in SE Wake, and there's about 21 miles between me and the airport. South is not usually the winner between the two. I live even further south than you now! RDU gets it good this run, I get maybe 0.5-1" out of this at school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Sorry charlotte..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Love the lee side screw job in the foothills ! Great run for wnc... Ya the triangle in full force for sure.....still a lot left to play out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Easy folks...this is by far the northern most model with all of this....Kick back and Chillax and watch the models... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 That snowmap is a nightmare for us in McDowell... Snow to the West.. Snow to the East, but it is quite common for a deformation band to fizzle out here on the lee side with strong downsloping winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 16, 2013 Author Share Posted January 16, 2013 Asheville is snow after hour 45...question is how much qpf is left? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I live even further south than you now! RDU gets it good this run, I get maybe 0.5-1" out of this at school. That's right, I forgot that you were down there. Hey, but you know what, I'll take an inch. If you'd have told me a couple of days ago that we could squeeze an inch out of this one, I'd have taken it and ran. I still will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Easy folks...this is by far the northern most model with all of this....Kick back and Chillax and watch the models... it is, but it's been fairly consistent today as compared to other modeling (last 3 runs). Seems to be centering on the southern apps. It's not like we are 84 hours away anymore. It will be interesting to see this play out and how close the NAM will be to actual. Thanks for posting your knowledge on this board for us amateurs to see..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Depending on how a system rolls through this is this is the case. I feel like this system will leave the lee areas looking around for fun.. But do not quote me on it.. Either way, shapeing up for a good clip to rock some folks ! That snowmap is a nightmare for us in McDowell... Snow to the West.. Snow to the East, but it is quite common for a deformation band to fizzle out here on the lee side with strong downsloping winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Sorry charlotte..... That second sounding is pretty dang close to being snow if rates were heavy enough. Edit: minus the warm nose at 800 mb... missed that. Yeah that's rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 it is, but it's been fairly consistent today as compared to other modeling (last 3 runs). Seems to be centering on the southern apps. It's not like we are 84 hours away anymore. It will be interesting to see this play out and how close the NAM will be to actual. Thanks for posting your knowledge on this board for us amateurs to see..... Sure, but the MUCH more reliable models (GFS and EURO) have not even been that close to moving that far north and until they do...I wouldn't bite on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I think this is a little too far North and East and will correct with the next run. Looks like the northern counties of NC will get hit the hardest from 95 to 77 and basically 40 north. If the low slows down a bit, could be a very good event for NC and southernmost Va. IMO Edit** Also meant to include the mountains with the normal elevation enhancements Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 What does this mean? all rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Asheville is snow after hour 45...question is how much qpf is left? Looks like a huge difference for snowfall in Buncombe county if you take it verbatim. Down by the airport hardly any then the very northern fringes are painted with 7". Anything over at or over 3" would be a joy for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Any thoughts on northern central NC / south central VA (northern Person, Granville counties in NC and Halifax county in VA?) -- Roxboro, South Boston, Clarksville? Thanks everyone... SW VA and S VA get a good thump of snow from 45-54hrs if taken verbatim. Soundings from those areas are below freezing all the way up. Seems to be trending slightly north each run so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 243 user(s) are reading this topic.....explosion! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 That snowmap is a nightmare for us in McDowell... Snow to the West.. Snow to the East,....and off the escarpment of death rode the 600. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Sure, but the MUCH more reliable models (GFS and EURO) have not even been that close to moving that far north and until they do...I wouldn't bite on the NAM Agreed. The NAM is going to have to score a victory here.................. but it's happened before and ULL's are a tricky animal to figure out (even while it's unfolding directly over your head) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 We used to say the nam was the go to model inside 48. Is that still the case? Tw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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