CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 How often does it run? We've got our dusting here, chairs etc have just the slightest dusting. Still very light snow falling. The stuff coming up off Jersey is "it" that'll need to be able to arc up along the line that's forming in RI/SE MA later. The QPF cutoff in the DC area is eye popping...I don't think we'll have that extreme here because it's already been able to saturate and fall. But we'll see. Every 3 hrs. That band near and just east of you may be the one that drops the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I've observed in all of this years events that the Achilles heal of the euro is qpf. lol, aint that the truth it was the driest model for DCA and BWI, then last night put us above .1" and the 12Z run gave BWI .26" and DCA .35" neither station even recorded a trace....but I did see flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 Every 3 hrs. That band near and just east of you may be the one that drops the snow. That line is slowly moving NW. Wherever it stops is probably the edge of the "serious" snow I'd agree. lol, aint that the truth it was the driest model for DCA and BWI, then last night put us above .1" and the 12Z run gave BWI .26" and DCA .35" neither station even recorded a trace....but I did see flurries Heck when I look at the 0z NAM vs the obs I think it was way overdone with QPF in the Delmarva...which can either mean we're cooked up here, or mean I'm reading the wrong obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 lol, aint that the truth it was the driest model for DCA and BWI, then last night put us above .1" and the 12Z run gave BWI .26" and DCA .35" neither station even recorded a trace....but I did see flurries it does this every now and then. don't know why but it does. totally anecdotal - i'm sure there's a stat somewhere that proves me wrong - but sometimes i think this happens on events where the ncep models lead the way. that is, the euro will finally cave...and then overcorrect to a solution the ncep models had 12 or 24 hours earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 0z RGEM has measurable back to the NY border...moved the decent stuff NW here too. Actually gets weenie flakes into NH on this run. I think the NAM farted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 34.8/20 - Light Snow. Dusting on the deck. Few flakes to flurries to light snow in about 10 minutes. Dewpoint hovering between 19 and 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 it does this every now and then. don't know why but it does. totally anecdotal - i'm sure there's a stat somewhere that proves me wrong - but sometimes i think this happens on events where the ncep models lead the way. that is, the euro will finally cave...and then overcorrect to a solution the ncep models had 12 or 24 hours earlier. how did the weeklies look today if you (or anyone else) saw them? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 The key is around KDIX right now..those echoes shooting north while others move east. Those are the echoes that move up over CT and into Worcester or don't. Avalance at Tuckermans Ravine per Fox while people skiing...rescue going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 how did the weeklies look today if you (or anyone else) saw them? thanks Coastal posted about them in the other thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 no way it's snowing here tonight, 23/7. very dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 The key is around KDIX right now..those echoes shooting north while others move east. Those are the echoes that move up over CT and into Worcester or don't. Avalance at Tuckermans Ravine per Fox while people skiing...rescue going on. why in the world were people skiing there this time of year? That always boggles my mind, I never go up before March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 no way it's snowing here tonight, 23/7. very dry. Yeah, the first .1 is getting eaten by the dry air inland in almost every case from DCA north away from the coast. Flurries maybe, I think a dusting to an inch or two is safe from about Duxbury/Marshfield to New Bedford. Dusting to 2 or so around the canal. Somewhere between me and Phil (assuming he's about Exit 5-6) there's going to be a quick jump to more snow, 2-4" maybe, maybe even 2-5". I don't follow this model, but between the 22z and 0z there was a decent bump NW of the sharp stuff on this model. Pretty confident it's coming later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Time to start a thread for the next one. Need a new Juju guy or gal........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Light snow here on Cape Cod, MA. Temps in the upper 30s with dew points near 30F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 33.7/20 - Light(er) Snow - Heavy Dusting Some pretty good bursts of light snow in the last 30 minutes but it is noticeably lightening up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I think this system is coming more northeastward, then ENEward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I think this system is coming more northeastward, then ENEward. meh, is it over the gulf stream yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 time for weenie radar hallucinations. Looks like that baby is headed right for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Time to start a thread for the next one. Need a new Juju guy or gal........ There is no next one yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 The southern low looks like it will eject northeastward or continue on that heading as it exits the US around Va Beach. Doesn't look like an ENE heading, looks more NEward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 I've got my dusting...2nd biggest storm this winter. Thrilling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 time for weenie radar hallucinations. Looks like that baby is headed right for us. diane go to weathertap and look at the radar there. Free trial doesn't require any card, just put in email for like ten day trial. Do it! Then sit back and watch the weenie. Radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 There is no next one yet. There's always a next one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Steady light snow now...Looks good in the backyard flood lights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 meh, is it over the gulf stream yet. Not yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 33.1/21 - Few Flakes. Wind N to NNE @8. Dewpoint edged up to 21 now after a low of 19 about an hour ago. Back to just a few flakes after about 45 minutes of steady light snow. Total Accumulation: Heavy Dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 The real precip is coming in now. KDIX shows the edge..it's right on the Jersey coast cutting towards Block Island and then? Pretty great echoes..considering 2-5dbz provided a dusting. Damn it's going to be a tight squeeze. UK met finally brings me accumulating snow overnight. Wohoo! I'm up for a dusting...maybe in a real good weenie band 3"...I'll see more than that while skiing this weekend from the clippers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Weenie flakes flying in Kingston, we'll see how this goes tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 Weenie flakes flying in Kingston, we'll see how this goes tonight. It's good news that such ridiculously weak echoes are dropping actual snow. dry air near the coast FTL so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 Harv just bumped it up, dusting to 2" from about Marshfield through RI, 1-3" from around exit 5 east and cautioned that there could be more in weenie OES bands. That's a pretty good bump up from what he had earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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