SouthCoastMA Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 GFS is mainly a whiff. Game over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 HYA - 2", CHH - 4", ACK - 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I didn't get 1 pellet of sleet today and tomorrow I expect to watch a nice deform band miss to the south. I should have moved to S NJ in 2009-10... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 that clipper really trended north and the cold has also backed off on the gfs, PNA breaks down by the end of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Ugh. Ugly GFS. Whiff followed by cold and dry most of next week, leading up to a rainer. Probably won't play out exactly like that, but after all the buzz recently about the pattern and possibilities it's disheartening. I guess I shouldn't complain, since I just got 6" from a system that had been progged to be way SE up until a couple days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 It's close enough to watch. I had so much interest in this because I'm not on the epic pattern train. Take what you can get and this had potential. It's progged to miss by 100 miles which is closer than any other modeled storm for the next week. Mild up Saturday, frigid, then the relax that may be wet before it cools. We will see if this ticks north now that we've established the gutterball route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 Euro has continued it's grueling slow climb north. It's close, but not close enough for more than snow showers and maybe a coating to an inch or two on the cape. 36 hours ago it was 700 miles south. Unlike the other models it gradually shifted never overdoing it like the ncep stuff. Riveting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Euro has continued it's grueling slow climb north. It's close, but not close enough for more than snow showers and maybe a coating to an inch or two on the cape. 36 hours ago it was 700 miles south. Unlike the other models it gradually shifted never overdoing it like the ncep stuff. Riveting. maps? Hows it look for long island? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 maps? Hows it look for long island? Guesstimating a tenth for Long Island arcing and diminishing towards Boston. The cape is maybe .1 to .25 by ack ish. Better stuff is offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Guesstimating a tenth for Long Island arcing and diminishing towards Boston. The cape is maybe .1 to .25 by ack ish. Better stuff is offshore. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 Eyeballing it the euro came NW about 50-60 maybe 75 miles from the last run. Maybe there's time for a Kuro to up it a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 Thanks It's bumped north a decent amount from the last run once offshore. It's close. Enough that if it repeated the bump again .25 would be over parts of li and se ma with the .5 being close. Not a prediction just saying. Everything else has bounced around. The op euro has been steadily getting better for se ne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 relevant at least for our friends in DC... RAP evolves northern stream very differently from 0z NAM/GFS suite... we see significantly more interaction on RAP by 18h... any impacts of this difference are probably too little too late for SNE: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 There's nowhere for it to go. There's an arctic wall to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 Wxniss the euro came north enough...quite a bit for a 12 hr run inside of 48 hours (reminds me of the other day) as it has a tug north at the end. Same deal just not as extreme as earlier ncep runs. We may see this come back a bit, will be interesting to follow. Uk ticked a tiny bit NW from the 12z too. It's going to be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Does Saki have multiple personality disorder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Wxniss the euro came north enough...quite a bit for a 12 hr run inside of 48 hours (reminds me of the other day) as it has a tug north at the end. Same deal just not as extreme as earlier ncep runs. We may see this come back a bit, will be interesting to follow. Uk ticked a tiny bit NW from the 12z too. It's going to be close. I think it is done. The op is now a hair NW of the ens mean precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I was surprised to see I am pretty close to you in snow this year. You did a lot better on a couple of these events then up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Nice read by upton this morning, they still are not discounting something closer, going with two inches on the south fork, but did mention models have been way too far south last few storms, and mentioned what a wretched model the nam was which gave me a chuckle. Enjoy the snow on the cape, it might not be a blizzard but snow is snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 I'm still 39 degrees with warm ground and warm water all around. Even if a few flakes fall, I hardly think any will stick. We really need water temps to be in the low to mid 30's before I am comfortable with accumulations unless it pours snow. Right now, it doesn't look like it will be that heavy except for just offshore. Any mets want to take a stab at totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 There's nowhere for it to go. There's an arctic wall to the north It's going to be steaming through. Op euro was finally on the bus for a weak hit just as the others get off. Super sharp gradient will be cool on radar to watch out with the fishes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 Does Saki have multiple personality disorder? You get 1 every 90 days with the subscription and i hated the other name. When you guys go to the gtg do you call each other by the forum names or birth names? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 The beloved srefs bumped north at 9z. .1 line moved from the canal to almost up to Bob but still to his se a little, .25" from about ack last run to about the vineyard and near the eastern part of the cape. Some spread into even pa and ct now must be a member jacked up a little And the new nam is way north of its old runs for places like snj thru 12 hours then not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 The beloved srefs bumped north at 9z. .1 line moved from the canal to almost up to Bob but still to his se a little, .25" from about ack last run to about the vineyard and near the eastern part of the cape. Some spread into even pa and ct now must be a member jacked up a little Yup. Just looking at them. Still fell areas S & E of BOS/PVD will see some snow out of this. I'd cut back my totals from yestrday in half though. T-1" for the Canal W to I-95 w/ 1-3" for the Cape/Islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 You get 1 every 90 days with the subscription and i hated the other name. When you guys go to the gtg do you call each other by the forum names or birth names? Birth names except Wiz is Wiz, my nickname is Ginx so that is what some call me all the time anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 CC special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 Birth names except Wiz is Wiz, my nickname is Ginx so that is what some call me all the time anyways. Did Jerry tell a story the other day about introducing someone to Zeus as Zeus when bumping into him? Flurries to an inch this way, Nantucket might get one of their biggest events in a few years. (Pretty sure it hasn't snowed there in at least 2) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Did Jerry tell a story the other day about introducing someone to Zeus as Zeus when bumping into him? Flurries to an inch this way, Nantucket might get one of their biggest events in a few years. (Pretty sure it hasn't snowed there in at least 2) Looks like a hair over 0.25" per the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 17, 2013 Author Share Posted January 17, 2013 Looks like a hair over 0.25" per the NAM. Taunton said it best in the afd, could move east and we get little to nothing, could bump north for 3-4". Will just have to watch. 2-3" on ack is as rare as a normal winter around here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 17, 2013 Share Posted January 17, 2013 Taunton said it best in the afd, could move east and we get little to nothing, could bump north for 3-4". Will just have to watch.2-3" on ack is as rare as a normal winter around here now. Lol pretty much, our averages are more of a balance of the extremes than a guide to what each year is like sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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