Tropopause_Fold Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 It's out over ACK/MVY. So that means no snow for you. :cry:its going to snow from this back to the NY border. Amounts still in question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I like where you sit with this one. CC special incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 12z GFS Indiv Ensm Members. Couple really good hits in there for CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Many of those get snows back to NY state. The plot thickens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 okx just introduced a 30% chance of snow thursday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Many of those get snows back to NY state. The plot thickens Hopefully your cirrus deck is thick enough to keep your snow from melting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 16, 2013 Author Share Posted January 16, 2013 Can toss the NAM. Was off considerably with the energy up out of Canada. Also a bit too far south with the texas system. GFS was much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Hopefully your cirrus deck is thick enough to keep your snow from meltingHuh? I'm planning on 1-3 here currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 i wish this was 84 hours out and not 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 i wish this was 84 hours out and not 48 yea no doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 16, 2013 Author Share Posted January 16, 2013 Jeremey Reiner on WHDH just gave Phil and I 3-6". All of the Cape and back about 10-20 miles from the Canal up towards Duxbury SW to Wareham. I'd agree for now, pending the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Many of those get snows back to NY state. The plot thickens If by many, you mean 2 members, sure. Or are you counting Long Island? (I figure you meant the MA-NY border.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 i wish this was 84 hours out and not 48 I take this as a sign that you expect the trend to continue a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 16, 2013 Author Share Posted January 16, 2013 Euro more amped. Will see how much it carries through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Scary to see that spread in 48hrs. Southern vorts are model cliff hangers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I take this as a sign that you expect the trend to continue a bit. i think he means the cold coming in overwhelms and skirts it east, 48 more hours and the flow is aligned better allowing for a closer track and slower movement. I still like an enhanced band of inflow from Boston to New London with a 1-2 stripe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 16, 2013 Author Share Posted January 16, 2013 Scary to see that spread in 48hrs. Southern vorts are model cliff hangers. Yeah, I'd rather have seen a bunch of small hits in there then a few monsters and a bunch of scrapes, JMHO. Looking at the members we've eliminated the big misses though. But excluding the few big hits we're looking at a 1-2" deal on the Cape. Euro looks good initially, cannot tell about the northern stream no access. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Yeah, I'd rather have seen a bunch of small hits in there then a few monsters and a bunch of scrapes, JMHO. Looking at the members we've eliminated the big misses though. But excluding the few big hits we're looking at a 1-2" deal on the Cape. Euro looks good initially, cannot tell about the northern stream no access. Eh, I don't know if it will improve that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 The Cape can lock in an easy 4-8. Once these start coming NW they don't stop. This is full fledged coastal so it can do that, unlike the open wave we had today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 It's a miss I think based on 36 The northern stream is too strong in this setup. I think we have run out of time, and looks like the mid Atlantic will be getting a formidable snowstorm out of this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 16, 2013 Author Share Posted January 16, 2013 Eh, I don't know if it will improve that much. not sure why that got deleted, but based on the 30-36 it's a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 euro is not even going to be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Again as I said before, it's going to take a lot to try and get it northwest. The nrn stream is killing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 it's like .1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 The Cape can lock in an easy 4-8. Once these start coming NW they don't stop. This is full fledged coastal so it can do that, unlike the open wave we had today What do you think the ceiling is on this, and how far west can it get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Meh.. if the ensembles aren't any better I wouldn't be surprised to see the American models come back to earth at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 16, 2013 Author Share Posted January 16, 2013 12z euro shoved the precip another 100, maybe 200 miles NW of the last run. It seems to be playing catchup even with its ensembles. I don't know, it's not been good in the deep south, I would probably still go with the GFS/NAM until proven otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 it's like .1" at CHH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 WSW's just posted for DC, BWI and up into south Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I take this as a sign that you expect the trend to continue a bit. a bit, but not nearly enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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