Bobby EPAWA Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Looks like the Lehigh Valley has issues too on the NAM/RGEM/GFS combo... some frozen but more of a PL signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2013 Author Share Posted January 14, 2013 the bigger question after this rain is whether the cold is ever going to get here in the coastal plain or is this all just long-range fantasy PV stuff? Ray? the cold is coming. The question then becomes do we get any precip while its cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 the bigger question after this rain is whether the cold is ever going to get here in the coastal plain or is this all just long-range fantasy PV stuff? Ray? I don't think the cold will be denied. Maybe tempered but not denied. The snow cover as Tony mentioned is not as robust as ideal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 We need a change, this will be the third year my Rosemary plants have survived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2013 Author Share Posted January 14, 2013 euro holds the course, maybe a hair warmer than 0z. Frozen from smq -ukt-ptw-mdt on north, solely going off 850s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 euro holds the course, maybe a hair warmer than 0z. Frozen from smq -ukt-ptw-mdt on north, solely going off 850s. Looks like ABE still has a SN/PL mix on this one... I-78 looks to be the battle zone - north of it by 10 miles is all snow, south of say... Lehighton through ABE to UKT is your mix zone. 2-4" north, 1-2"/mix Lehigh Valley, South of Lansdale is rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2013 Author Share Posted January 14, 2013 Looks like ABE still has a SN/PL mix on this one... I-78 looks to be the battle zone - north of it by 10 miles is all snow, south of say... Lehighton through ABE to UKT is your mix zone. 2-4" north, 1-2"/mix Lehigh Valley, South of Lansdale is rain. i would bank on more ice, like snowgoose said earlier. The mid levels, as we know always are under forecasted temperature wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 i would bank on more ice, like snowgoose said earlier. The mid levels, as we know always are under forecasted temperature wise. Yes definitely... was just quoting the model output verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Around TTN they should feel very very lucky if the get a coating out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Around TTN they should feel very very lucky if the get a coating out of this. I am at the point where I'm thinking UKT may be stretching it let alone TTN. Wouldn't be surprised at all to see ABE not reach an inch of SN/PL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Not surprised to see a warmer/wetter trend for Wednesday. Battleground well north of philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 tombo with the curse on snow threads. need am19 to start one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2013 Author Share Posted January 14, 2013 tombo with the curse on snow threads. need am19 to start one as long as part of the region gets snow or ice, not a total curse lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2013 Author Share Posted January 14, 2013 still really don't buy into the nam. But since the first wave is stronger it is able to drill the colder air further south thus making the 2nd wave wintrier. Basically majority frozen, fall line on north and west, expect it to look completely different on 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Where is UKT anyway? Seems like my region (Berks) always is on the dividing line. I can still remember living in Schuylkill County as a kid and getting snow while everyone south of the Blue Mountain was rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 as long as part of the region gets snow or ice, not a total curse lol Tom's curse is that now, all threat threads he starts will only affect Gilbertsville on north and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Where is UKT anyway? Quakertown in upper Bucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Thanks...is that the Quakertown International Airport? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2013 Author Share Posted January 14, 2013 Tom's curse is that now, all threat threads he starts will only affect Gilbertsville on north and west but ray, the 18z nam pushes frozen towards the city and ewing, see im not bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Thanks...is that the Quakertown International Airport? yes, lots of traffic i hear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 but ray, the 18z nam pushes frozen towards the city and ewing, see im not biases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2013 Author Share Posted January 14, 2013 fwiw, the 12z euro ens mean is in pretty much agreement with the op on 850 line for the wednesday event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Thundersnow/sleet at ABE on the 00z NAM... courtesy of DeFino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Euro paints a 2-3" stripe along I-78 tonight with wave 2 per wunderground. (wunderground might be a bit off on the grid placement but I think 2-3 is possible north of 78 and into Poconos). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Great write up on this storm last night mt holly. Hopefully you can start talking snow further south in the coming weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Euro paints a 2-3" stripe along I-78 tonight with wave 2 per wunderground. (wunderground might be a bit off on the grid placement but I think 2-3 is possible north of 78 and into Poconos). That seems to be the general thinking. I was watching Snedeker on WNEP this morning, and the graphic he showed had a small stripe through Schuylkill, Carbon, and Monroe Counties in a 2-4 inch range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 That seems to be the general thinking. I was watching Snedeker on WNEP this morning, and the graphic he showed had a small stripe through Schuylkill, Carbon, and Monroe Counties in a 2-4 inch range. That's a very reasonable call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Real tough call for the far NW burbs of Philly (just south of Lehigh Valley). Not sure what to make of the icing potential shown. Haven't had much time to look at things. Looking solid from about I-78 northward for snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 NWS going with 1-2" snow sleet in upper bucks overnight, seems like a good call, qtown in no mans land in the boundary between rain and snow getting back on track with this 2009 like winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 NWS going with 1-2" snow sleet in upper bucks overnight, seems like a good call, qtown in no mans land in the boundary between rain and snow getting back on track with this 2009 like winter... to bad it will melt off before cold arrives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.