Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 With temps in the low 30s to our west and dewpoints in the low 20s I think the push is just right to set us up for a snowstorm, antecedent colder air will be place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 you'll probably be fine way up there. you'll cool faster and be deeper into the air mass. Its like -5C at 900mb back this way...the hills would cool very quickly once precip started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Be happy Kevs Tues event is squished, more time for better air to get in the mix. I think we will be in good shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 west best at least for SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Its like -5C at 900mb back this way...the hills would cool very quickly once precip started. yeah barring some huge jog north you're fine. further S and E there's legit concern i think - going from way a above normal to above normal air mass isn't great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 yeah barring some huge jog north you're fine. further S and E there's legit concern i think - going from way a above normal to above normal air mass isn't great Inland is fine..they look good. Caveat is here of course, but the good news is that it doesn't really change anything down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Inland is fine..they look good. Caveat is here of course, but the good news is that it doesn't really change anything down the road. I want to see arctic squalls live from Gillette. Hopefully we can see frostbite on Belicheks nose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Inland is fine..they look good. Caveat is here of course, but the good news is that it doesn't really change anything down the road. Glad to see you came back from the mini meltdown....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Glad to see you came back from the mini meltdown....lol. No meltdown, just tough to catch a break around here. But, when I'm not feeling it....it's been the correct feeling so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 No meltdown, just tough to catch a break around here. But, when I'm not feeling it....it's been the correct feeling so we'll see. we have a real good bunch of Red Tags in this forum...most of the melt downs i see are from the non-red tags who say they have this "feeling" everything is going to work out and get aggravated when the Mets actually talk about the science behind the pattern instead of going along with "feelings" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Looks meh for the coast. Sooo, meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 interested to see how the euro handles this. it was pretty chilly...but i feel like it can lean too cold sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 we have a real good bunch of Red Tags in this forum...most of the melt downs i see are from the non-red tags who say they have this "feeling" everything is going to work out and get aggravated when the Mets actually talk about the science behind the pattern instead of going along with "feelings"Do you have "feelings" for Scooter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS ENS are much cooler, look great actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 No meltdown, just tough to catch a break around here. But, when I'm not feeling it....it's been the correct feeling so we'll see. It would be hard to get this with the slow step down. We're torch central today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS ENS are much cooler, look great actually. GGEM was colder than the GFS as well. FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 14, 2013 Author Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS ENS are much cooler, look great actually. yes they are, snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Scooter and Jerry FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I think the immediate south coast is pretty much toast unless this thing decides to develop a bit more to the south of us. Antecedent airmass just doesn't look good enough down here. Tempering expectations for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 As far as QPF distribution goes, 12z models today are in pretty good agreement on ~0.25" for the MA/CT/RI area with less N and more S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 ens have a sneaky wave on Sunday too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Sunday would be an ENE special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 ens have a sneaky wave on Sunday too Yeah noticed that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS would only have "tick" (used that for forky) a bit south and BOS would probably be OK. verbatim it's a big melting layer but it's not a torched melting layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS would only have "tick" (used that for forky) a bit south and BOS would probably be OK. verbatim it's a big melting layer but it's not a torched melting layer.Tickle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS would only have "tick" (used that for forky) a bit south and BOS would probably be OK. verbatim it's a big melting layer but it's not a torched melting layer. Yeah I definitely am not ruling snow out..and the GFS would thump me, but just has the look of possibly ruining my fun here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Yeah I definitely am not ruling snow out..and the GFS would thump me, but just has the look of possibly ruining my fun here. if it were quite literally like 1C too warm, you're all snow. certainly possible. just can't afford a warmer solution at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 if it were quite literally like 1C too warm, you're all snow. certainly possible. just can't afford a warmer solution at all. Yeah and that's my worry. I hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Yeah and that's my worry. I hope not. I think you're fine. Might be one of those situations where Logan is 34 rn/sn, while the Common is accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 interested to see how the euro handles this. it was pretty chilly...but i feel like it can lean too cold sometimes. Warming vs the 0z...same struggle to get that cold air to us in advance. Fog just broke here, shot up to 59, gorgeous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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