weathafella Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 We need omega and minimal winds and it will be ok I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 This winter blows.yes it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 What is the timing and how long is the event? It's modeled to be like a 6am Wednesday to late afternoon Wednesday deal. Obviously modeling over the next few days could change that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 40's for pats game? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 40's for pats game? low 50s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 We need omega and minimal winds and it will be ok I think. can't see the maps but I like where I am after reading the analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Gfs trying to torch us this weekend. Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 low 50s on Long Island? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 We need omega and minimal winds and it will be ok I think. If the mid-levels stay cold enough, then you'll get snow. There's no obvious red flags why you wouldn't. Onshore flow is almost absent or very very weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 low 50s the game is sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Guys, this is the Jan 15-16 event thread...you should probably jump back to the banter thread if you want to do GFS play by play in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 The soundigns on GFS show a colder layer underneath 850mb when I look at the BDL sounding, so there could def be some sleet in this. It wouldn't be a peppering sleet like Vday '07 or anything, but transitional sleet could happen. Usually though the 900-950 layer eventually warms too and goes to light rain before ending. there's a bit of a wedge of cooler air that hangs in the lowest few thousand feet so it's possible that some areas could have a bit of sleet i think. Thanks. In that case this could be one of those events that the vertical pointing spectral width plots are interesting... they illustrate the height and depth of those warm layers pretty well as the transitions occur and are good to match up with the interpolated soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 There is no cf to speak of. I think if it comes down hard a lot of us will be pleasantly surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 There is no cf to speak of. I think if it comes down hard a lot of us will be pleasantly surprised. There is on the GFS, sets up near You and I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 i don't see anything in the GFS that screams it's wrong. i was actually "surprised" (ignoring the fact that the model sucks) to see how cold the NAM was. the euro was on the colder side of things too though. i think it'll tick warmer. hopefully not but flow would suggest it can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS/NAM both indicate that precip rapidly shuts off after noon and ends by about 3 p.m. for eastern areas. It's mainly being modeled as a morning deal here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 And sorry for the OT but GFS has it us feeding and dropping by game time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 There is on the GFS, sets up near You and I. The issue is where....I'm not expecting much snow but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 The issue is where....I'm not expecting much snow but we'll see. It won't go far inland no matter what, so you might be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 It won't go far inland no matter what, so you might be ok. You may be too if the low can swing out just another 20 miles... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 if we could just have the MLK weekend airmass here this week, there'd be no precip type issues that is a brutal air mass coming south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 i don't see anything in the GFS that screams it's wrong. i was actually "surprised" (ignoring the fact that the model sucks) to see how cold the NAM was. the euro was on the colder side of things too though. i think it'll tick warmer. hopefully not but flow would suggest it can. Also pretty consistent tread of the cold air not getting as far south in advance. The first wave failing isn't helping either, not helping to drag anything south. Saw Will's comment on the other thread, nobody should be surprised by the weekend the models have been in general agreement for days that we would have a mildup in advance. What's changed is the first cold shot is muting but that shouldn't be a surprise. I would keep a close eye on something developing this weekend around the timing of the cold air. Hoping the Euro is colder, but like Phil said I think this one is destined to deliver further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 RGEM/ Euro/ Srefs/ nam/ GGEM and Ukie to lesser degree all cold enough for snow to coast. With no support be careful how much faith you put in GFS. I have a feeling Euro is going to be plenty cold . Maybe it tickles warmer than 00z but I a good way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 LOL at every TV MET tweeting about Foxboro weather for next Sunday starting at the end of the game yesterday. I've never seen them do it right away like that. A week away things could change big time. What's up with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Re this system Wednesday. The old pattern is not goi g out without a fight. And we knew a step down. Stepping down to a snowstorm in sne with the cold too far west is tough when eastern areas are so hot today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Last winter blew along the coast, and this winter blows as well. fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 a bunch of sref members are warm http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21TYPNE_9z/srefloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Re this system Wednesday. The old pattern is not goi g out without a fight. And we knew a step down. Stepping down to a snowstorm in sne with the cold too far west is tough when eastern areas are so hot today. there's definitely some truth to that. especially considering we don't ever really scour out this garbage. it's a slow process. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Re this system Wednesday. The old pattern is not goi g out without a fight. And we knew a step down. Stepping down to a snowstorm in sne with the cold too far west is tough when eastern areas are so hot today. This is a big concern I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 This is a big concern I think you'll probably be fine way up there. you'll cool faster and be deeper into the air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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