Cold Miser Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Will do LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 NAM looks all snow for BOS. 925 temps stay cold until it tapers off. I would love to see everyone cash in on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 NAM gets 850s above freezing here for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 16, 2013 Author Share Posted January 16, 2013 Precip really making a north push now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 After seeing 0zNAM(Which keeps me below 0c until 15Z), 18z GFS, and assorted other models, Upton has issued a WWA which they usually hesitate to do for immediate south coast, combined with the fact that SW CT is way past due for a nice suprise, final call is this thing ticks south a bit and I see 1-3" IMBY tomorrow morning, BOS sees 1-3 before switch and Jackpot zone is somewhere in northern MA/ORH area with 5-7"ish. Good luck to all and to all a good night-skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 As I watch this unfold, I've realized what drives the qpf-fetish. Normally, I don't have temp issues to worry about. So, all the discussion here about boundary levels, coastal fronts, etc., etc. leaves me with nothing to consider. But qpf-----man, that's where it's at. 2-5" for all per NAM. Right where we started this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Wetbulbed too as precip develops. Yup exactly. The OKX sounding is a classic wet bulb situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I feel bad already for Boston forecasters. I can see the complaints in their future no matter what happens. Most had 1-2" in BOS...Logan will get 2" but someone 5 miles inland will get 4" and there will be complaints. You honestly can't win in a situation like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Yup exactly. The OKX sounding is a classic wet bulb situation. what do you think about the NAMs 850 temps? Got over 0c here for a while tomorrow. A good amount of the precip is done by then but definitely doesn't jive with NWSs all snow forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 NAM is surprisingly paltry with QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 This would be painful. KHGR 160153Z 06005KT 4SM RA BR FEW012 OVC046 01/00 A3023 RMK AO2 SLP252 P0008 T00110000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 what do you think about the NAMs 850 temps? Got over 0c here for a while tomorrow. A good amount of the precip is done by then but definitely doesn't jive with NWSs all snow forecast. NAM is basically all snow with some spits of drizzle and sleet pellets after 10 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 NAM is surprisingly paltry with QPF. Look at all the soundings everywhere all over SNE for 09z and 12z...the SG region is kind of ugly...a bit of dry air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 what do you think about the NAMs 850 temps? Got over 0c here for a while tomorrow. A good amount of the precip is done by then but definitely doesn't jive with NWSs all snow forecast. Not a big deal...so what if you get a little -SG or FZDZ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 NAM at 0Z matches qpf relatively speaking ith the 12Z euro and 18z NAM and GFS I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Chris its all over by then, Thumpity Dump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 This should make Jay feel better.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 16, 2013 Author Share Posted January 16, 2013 Nam is fast down here, quick thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I feel bad already for Boston forecasters. I can see the complaints in their future no matter what happens. Most had 1-2" in BOS...Logan will get 2" but someone 5 miles inland will get 4" and there will be complaints. You honestly can't win in a situation like this. I wish there were two official observing sites in the city, kind of like NYC has Central Park, JFK, and LaGuardia. Would give a much better representation of what happens in Boston not only in situations like this, but on summer days when a slight seabreeze kicks in at Logan and it's 75 there but 80+ in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Look at all the soundings everywhere all over SNE for 09z and 12z...the SG region is kind of ugly...a bit of dry air. Really? Not seeing that on the Plymouth State soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 This should make Jay feel better.... image.jpg This close to game time it's a little surprising to still see the 4" probs almost completely N of MA/NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I wish there were two official observing sites in the city, kind of like NYC has Central Park, JFK, and LaGuardia. Would give a much better representation of what happens in Boston not only in situations like this, but on summer days when a slight seabreeze kicks in at Logan and it's 75 there but 80+ in the city. Agree. Boston officially is at 3.8" for the year but I think Scott said just inland is like 6-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Verbatim... the NAM would jackpot New Haven here in CT lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 weenie total imby on the nam. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I wish there were two official observing sites in the city, kind of like NYC has Central Park, JFK, and LaGuardia. Would give a much better representation of what happens in Boston not only in situations like this, but on summer days when a slight seabreeze kicks in at Logan and it's 75 there but 80+ in the city. Gee, why, makes perfect sense to have the official obs station in a location that regionally is the warmest in the winter and the coolest in the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Really? Not seeing that on the Plymouth State soundings. Its not uber dry, but there's def something going on there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 NAM sim radar is missing a good deal of actual hitting the ground obs in the Indiana area. Wonder if this ends up juicer than progged with more icing on the back end than appears for CNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Nam is fast down here, quick thump Which could keep totals at the low end of the spectrum for all. My rule is any system that has swfe charecteristics you should error on the low side of forecast totals. Still a nice event for most though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 16, 2013 Author Share Posted January 16, 2013 Which could keep totals at the low end of the spectrum for all. My rule is any system that has swfe charecteristics you should error on the low side of forecast totals. Still a nice event for most though. I think you are just fine 3-6 of snow, enjoy, you stay in the precip much longer up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Its not uber dry, but there's def something going on there. That looks pretty moist to me. Normally when you see a model start pegging a mid level dry slot it's a dramatic drop in RH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.