Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Awt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Greenfield> Shelburne> Hubbardston> ORH> nw ct No one lives in some of those areas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Awt KURO is en fuego Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 New GFS is mostly frozen if not all for BOS. This is going to produce better. I'm a good 3-4 colder here than I am at this stage when u do flip. I think you get 2-4 anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Boston's cold on new GFS. Has bl colder than expected. This may have some tricks up its sleeve. Hey, I said that earlier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 KURO is en fuego Today's ice did bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Awt But we toss it right? Or not now that it is colder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Today's ice did bust Poor data assimilation on that run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 The GFS seems like less qpf, no? .5 line doesn't even make it to the south coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 At 12z tomorrow morning, the 18z GFS has a light north wind at KBOS, which is why their BL is much colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 But we toss it right? Or not now that it is colder?Yea we do. It just proves our point. It creates confusion when formulating a forecast. It caves again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 final call for big 4 per rev: BDL: 3.5 BOS: 1.5 (logan) PVD: 2 ORH: 6 OTHERs: GAY: 4 GINX 3 HUBB: 6.5 ME: C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Yea we do. It just proves our point. It creates confusion when formulating a forecast. It caves again LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 The GFS seems like less qpf, no? .5 line doesn't even make it to the south coast? This is a 0.30-0.40" qpf type of event...maybe some weenie 0.50" bullseyes in a weenie band that models never forecast well. The Euro tends to be king especially when it comes to QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 The GFS seems like less qpf, no? .5 line doesn't even make it to the south coast? 0.5 line runs into DE Maine and includes the Cape but it orients more N/S vs SW/NE. I have no idea how much but I'm assuming BOS gets around 0.4 and maybe areas further west a tad less? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teebrdsfan Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Kocin-Ucelleni (spelling?) They authored two famous books on the evolution of ne snowstorms. There is a scale called nesis that qualifies a storm as a KU. Thanks to those that replied. Appreciate it. Still trying to ramp up my knowledge. Good luck all tonight-tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Here's mine: BDR - 2.0" BDL - 4.0" BOS - 3.0" PVD - 2.5" ORH - 5.0" Kevin (not including inflation for slant-sticking) 4.5" Me - 3.5" final call for big 4 per rev: BDL: 3.5 BOS: 1.5 (logan) PVD: 2 ORH: 6 OTHERs: GAY: 4 GINX 3 HUBB: 6.5 ME: C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Here's mine: BDR - 2.0" BDL - 4.0" BOS - 3.0" PVD - 2.5" ORH - 5.0" Kevin (not including inflation for slant-sticking) 4.5" Me - 3.5" Torrington? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 This is a 0.30-0.40" qpf type of event...maybe some weenie 0.50" bullseyes in a weenie band that models never forecast well. The Euro tends to be king especially when it comes to QPF. Yeah it seems like that although there is a little bit of discrepancy ..NAM has .45 in a pretty large area of snow and SREF has a mean of .55 with a pretty large clustering of .5 to .6. Either way I think its a pretty easy forecast for this area. 3-5, 4-6". Boston is another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 3/4 mile south but higher than Garth who is just North, watch him beat by a half inch again lol SNOW DEVELOPS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUES THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING COMMUTE. THE SNOW SHOULD MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO RAIN AND/OR SLEET WEDNESDAY MORNING... WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF THIS SOUTH OF US ROUTE 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 New GFS is mostly frozen if not all for BOS. GFS has been pretty good, ride it hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Torrington? 5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 OKX just refreshed their forecast. It's much snowier for CT just away from the coast. Not sure I buy the 4.5" forecast for these parts, but I'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 5" Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Yeah it seems like that although there is a little bit of discrepancy ..NAM has .45 in a pretty large area of snow and SREF has a mean of .55 with a pretty large clustering of .5 to .6. Either way I think its a pretty easy forecast for this area. 3-5, 4-6". Boston is another story. Yeah I could see us getting a half inch of QPF...but I just think the SREFs are a bit juicey IMHO. I'd like to see more mesoscale models printing out some weenie totals. RGEM is usually juicey and it wasn't quite so gung ho. I don't think this matters too much as we are discussing like 0.15" qpf difference in the scheme of things...but just for kicks...I think advisory amounts are solid for central hills here. Won't be shocked at a few lollis higher, maybe up toward Hunchback where some of the preliminary banding signals look a bit stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 final call for big 4 per rev: BDL: 3.5 BOS: 1.5 (logan) PVD: 2 ORH: 6 OTHERs: GAY: 4 GINX 3 HUBB: 6.5 ME: C you know my climo very well. By the way COD, Norfolk might have gotten 2 feet but not 40" and certainly not 25 foot drifts, catch my drift? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 It's all about the wind. I may have to rethink BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 It's all about the wind. I may have to rethink BOS.come out of the dark side obi won Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 It's all about the wind. I may have to rethink BOS. Yes... there's a bit of a high across Maine that is nosing down. I feel a lot better for E Mass now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 It's all about the wind. I may have to rethink BOS. Gonna be close there... just a few degrees of direction and you are either wet or white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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