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Snow Event 1/15-1/16


Mr Torchey

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it's like making a move on a girl in a bar and realizing shes way out of your league.. she surprises you much to your dismay and teases you a little with good conversation.. you then think you might be in for something and you get her number.. you wake up on a day or two with a stab in the heart when you call her and the numbers fake.. coastal bos relationships with snowstorms after the supermodel that was 10/11' dumped us has been rough.. dumped and duped by no good lying tramps since.

Two thoughts:

1. You are too young to be so jaded by women and weather.

2. She gave you a fake # but you used a fake ID to get in the bar.  Sort of equals things out.  <_<

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I'm going to say that mixing gets at least up to the pike...but that sounds a bit deceiving as a lot of the guidance moves the mixing north after the best lift is gone. I think the BOX snow map is pretty decent.

 

The models almost always try and prolong that mixing after the DGZ has dried out.

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I was slapped in the face once lol.

 

 

haha, nice!    one time, at band camp ...   no, I was once talking to this French chick at a bar back when I was young, good looking, arrogant and well... basically utterly clueless (see if you can keep up, Ray).  She was hot. She had southern France olive toned skin with no blemishes.  Smooth and youthfully electric was her complexion.  She was like 20 or something, oozing sex.  CutE face to the point of instant adoration...   In fact, she was borderline so hot you were just like ... pissed off by it - it's weird, but I think it is a phenomenon where the woman's undeniable gravitation attraction meets with the reality that if you cross the event horizon she will devour your soul.  

 

THAT one went WAY over Ray - 

 

haha.

 

Annnyway, so we're sitting there and I'm amazed this piece of angelic artistry in motion was actually motioning in my favor.  Some part of me thought perhaps it was too good to be true, but her overall hotness summoned my delusion.   So, picture the scene, two young adults, sitting there over drinks, other members of our friend groups intermingling in their own rites, laughing, quaff, and out of the blue, having 0 provocative gesture on my part comes the palm of her hand across my face!  

 

Hard too.  The f b**ch just had some kind of schizoid Turretsian impulse and acted on it.   It was the most non sequitur thing - "Oh, that's impressive that you teach chorus to your 10-year old church youth league" - SMACK!

 

WTF

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haha, nice!    one time, at band camp ...   no, I was once talking to this French chick at a bar back when I was young, good looking, arrogant and well... basically utterly clueless (see if you can keep up, Ray).  She was hot. She had southern France olive toned skin with no blemishes.  Smooth and youthfully electric was her complexion.  She was like 20 or something, oozing sex.  Cut face to the point of instant adoration...   In fact, she was borderline so hot you were just like ... pissed off by it - it's weird, but I think it is a phenomenon where the woman's undeniable gravitation attraction meets with the reality that if you cross the event horizon she will devour your soul.  

 

THAT one went WAY over Ray - 

 

haha.

 

Annnyway, so we're sitting there and I'm amazing this piece of angelic artistry in motion was motioning in my favor.  Some part of me thought perhaps it was too good to be true, but her overall hotness summoned my delusion.   So, picture the scene, too young adults, sitting there over drinks, other members of our friend groups intermingling in their own rites, laughing, quaff, and out of the blew, having 0 provocative gesture on my part comes the palm of her hand across my face!  

 

Hard too.  The f b**ch just had some kind of schizoid Turretsian impulse and acted on it.   It was the most non sequitur thing - "Oh, that's impressive that you teach chorus to your 10-year church youth league" - SMACK!

 

WTF

this is disturbing. 

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haha, nice!    one time, at band camp ...   no, I was once talking to this French chick at a bar back when I was young, good looking, arrogant and well... basically utterly clueless (see if you can keep up, Ray).  She was hot. She had southern France olive toned skin with no blemishes.  Smooth and youthfully electric was her complexion.  She was like 20 or something, oozing sex.  Cut face to the point of instant adoration...   In fact, she was borderline so hot you were just like ... pissed off by it - it's weird, but I think it is a phenomenon where the woman's undeniable gravitation attraction meets with the reality that if you cross the event horizon she will devour your soul.  

 

THAT one went WAY over Ray - 

 

haha.

 

Annnyway, so we're sitting there and I'm amazing this piece of angelic artistry in motion was motioning in my favor.  Some part of me thought perhaps it was too good to be true, but her overall hotness summoned my delusion.   So, picture the scene, too young adults, sitting there over drinks, other members of our friend groups intermingling in their own rites, laughing, quaff, and out of the blew, having 0 provocative gesture on my part comes the palm of her hand across my face!  

 

Hard too.  The f b**ch just had some kind of schizoid Turretsian impulse and acted on it.   It was the most non sequitur thing - "Oh, that's impressive that you teach chorus to your 10-year church youth league" - SMACK!

 

WTF

 

 

Euro a tick north, but still chilly.

Is this a comment on the model run or Tip's story?

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The models almost always try and prolong that mixing after the DGZ has dried out.

Yeah a lot of times we'll end up seeing snow grains and junk when the models try to make it more like freezing drizzle. Regardless, unless we see a monster punch of warm air well ahead of where most guidance has it, the snow amounts won't really be affected that much whether mixing gets to Tolland, the pike, or Hubbdave in N ORH county. Most of the snow falls in 5-6 hours between 10z and 16z anyway or there abouts.

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With weak midlevel lows, I bet the temp profile will develop an increasingly near zero isothermal look, especially along and south of the Ma/Ct border.  Most of the precip is over before BL temps warm above freezing except SE of I-95.  But I think a compromise between the NAM and GFS on temp profiles is reasonable.  Definitely a marginal airmass for the SE half of CT, RI, and SEMa.  Mostly teens and low 20s dps up in NNY and NNE.  Cool but not cold airmass.

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